Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

June 19, 2021. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

 

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Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section

Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

The live severe weather blog has been activated for Monday’s thunderstorm chances.  Click here to view that.

CAMPING FORECAST.   This will vary area-wide.  Please see the area by area forecast further down in the blog.

48-hour forecast

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Monday to Monday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.   Lightning will be possible today.  Then, a low chance Thursday/Thursday night.  A higher chance Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.  I will monitor Monday.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? MonitorThe live severe weather blog has been activated for Monday’s thunderstorm chances.  Click here to view that.   A few storms could be severe Monday.  Damaging wind is the main concern.  Hail is a second concern.  Tornado risk is low.  I will monitor Thursday night into the weekend.  Storms this time of the year can occasionally produce wind damage.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Monitor.   Thunderstorms will produce locally heavy rain today.  I will monitor the weekend.  Typically, any thunderstorms this time of the year produce locally heavy rain.

4. Will the heat index top 100 degrees?  Not at this time.

5. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees above zero? No.

6. Will there be accumulating snow and ice in the forecast?  No.

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June 21, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?   High confidence

The live severe weather blog has been activated for Monday’s thunderstorm chances.  Click here to view that.

Monday Forecast:  A weakening band of showers/storms will push into southeast Missouri and southern Illinois.  It will then redevelop further south.  It is possible that portions of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois miss out on the heavier storms.  They may occur near the Ohio River southward.  Monitor.  Intervals of clouds and sun.  Showers and thunderstorms likely.  Some will produce heavy rain, gusty wind, frequent lightning, and perhaps hail.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 90% /  SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 50% /    South IL ~ 80%  /  West KY ~ 90%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70%  /  NW TN ~ 90%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of the day.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 83° to 86°  /  SE MO 82° to 85°  /  South IL 80° to 85°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 84°  /  West KY  83° to 86°  /  NW TN 84° to 88°
Wind direction and speed: Southwest becoming west northwest at 10 to 20 mph.  Higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 86°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.  Some storms could be severe.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
UV Index: 9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset: 8:20 PM
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Monday night Forecast:  Cloudy early.  Clearing late.  A good chance of showers and thunderstorms the first half of the night.  Ending northwest to southeast through the evening and overnight hours.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 70% /  SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /    South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 70%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70%  /  NW TN ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation:  Numerous early in the night.  Ending overnight.
Timing of the rain:  Mainly before 1 AM.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 52° to 55° /  SE MO 50° to 55°  /  South IL 50° to 55° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 52° to 55° /  West KY 52° to 55° /  NW TN 52° to 55°
Wind direction and speed: North northwest at 7 to 14 mph.  Higher gusts before midnight.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 55°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning.  Locally heavy rain.  Evening storms could produce high winds.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Have a plan B early in the night.  Check the radars.
Moonrise: 5:01 PM
Moonset:  2:57 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Gibbous

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June 22, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?   High confidence
Tuesday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Less humid.  Nicer.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /    South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 78° to 80°  /  SE MO 75° to 80°  /  South IL 75° to 80°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 74° to 76°  /  West KY  75° to 80° /  NW TN 75° to 80°
Wind direction and speed:  North at 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 74° to 78°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset: 8:20 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Pleasant conditions.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /    South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 54° to 58° /  SE MO 54° to 56°  /  South IL 54° to 56° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 54° to 56° /  West KY 54° to 58° /  NW TN 54° to 58°
Wind direction and speed: Northeast to east at 5 to 10 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 52° to 56°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   No
Moonrise: 6:18 PM
Moonset:  3:34 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Gibbous

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June 23, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?   High confidence
Wednesday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  A nice day.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /    South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 83° to 86°  /  SE MO 82° to 85°  /  South IL 82° to 85°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 85°  /  West KY  82° to 85° /  NW TN 83° to 86°
Wind direction and speed:  Southeast at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 86°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset: 8:20 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  A few passing clouds.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /    South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 65° /  SE MO 62° to 65°  /  South IL 62° to 65° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 62° to 65° /  West KY 62° to 65° /  NW TN 62° to 65°
Wind direction and speed: Southeast at 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 65°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   No
Moonrise: 7:33 PM
Moonset:  4:19 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Gibbous

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June 24, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  LOW confidence
Confidence in the Thursday night forecast is low.  A complex of thunderstorms may move into the region from the north.  There is uncertainty surrounding the timing and strength of this thunderstorm complex.  Monitor updates.
Thursday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Warmer.  More humid.  A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /    South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None for most.  Isolated (MO/IL)
Timing of the rain: During the afternoon (MO/IL)
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 92°  /  SE MO 86° to 90°  /  South IL 86° to 90°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 86° to 90°  /  West KY  86° to 90° /  NW TN 86° to 90°
Wind direction and speed:  South at 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 86° to 94°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None for most.  Isolated wet roadways and lightning (MO/IL)
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 5:36 AM
Sunset: 8:20 PM
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Thursday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Low confidence in the rain chances Thursday night.  Monitor updates.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /    South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered (monitor)
Timing of the rain: Any given point of the night
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 72° /  SE MO 68° to 72°  /  South IL 68° to 72° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 68° to 72° /  West KY 68° to 72° /  NW TN 68° to 72°
Wind direction and speed: South at 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 68° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   No, but check the radars
Moonrise: 8:43 PM
Moonset:  5:12 AM
The phase of the moon:  Full

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June 25, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?   Medium confidence
Friday Forecast:  Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /    South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 40%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 92°  /  SE MO 86° to 90°  /  South IL 86° to 90°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 86° to 90°  /  West KY  86° to 90° /  NW TN 86° to 90°
Wind direction and speed:  South at 8 to 16 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 88° to 94°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but check weather radars.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 5:36 AM
Sunset: 8:20 PM
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Friday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% /    South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 72° /  SE MO 68° to 72°  /  South IL 68° to 72° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 68° to 72° /  West KY 68° to 72° /  NW TN 68° to 72°
Wind direction and speed: South at 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 68° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but check weather radars.
Moonrise: 9:44 PM
Moonset:  6:14 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Gibbous

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June 26, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?   Medium confidence
Saturday Forecast:  Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% /    South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 85°  /  SE MO 82° to 85°  /  South IL 82° to 85°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 85°  /  West KY  82° to 85° /  NW TN 82° to 85°
Wind direction and speed:  Southwest at 8 to 16 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 85°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Have a plan B and check the latest forecasts.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 5:36 AM
Sunset: 8:20 PM
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Saturday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /    South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 40%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 72° /  SE MO 68° to 72°  /  South IL 68° to 72° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 68° to 72° /  West KY 68° to 72° /  NW TN 68° to 72°
Wind direction and speed: West southwest at 7 to 14 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but check weather radars.
Moonrise: 10:35 PM
Moonset:  7:23 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Gibbous

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June 27, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?   Medium confidence
Sunday Forecast:  Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /    South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 85°  /  SE MO 82° to 85°  /  South IL 82° to 85°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 85°  /  West KY  82° to 85° /  NW TN 82° to 85°
Wind direction and speed:  West at 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 16 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 76° to 80°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but check weather radars.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 5:37 AM
Sunset: 8:20 PM
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Sunday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /    South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 72° /  SE MO 68° to 72°  /  South IL 68° to 72° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 68° to 72° /  West KY 68° to 72° /  NW TN 68° to 72°
Wind direction and speed: Variable wind direction at 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 62°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?
Moonrise: 11:15 PM
Moonset:  8:33 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Gibbous

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These graphics are changed out between 10:00 AM and 11:00 AM (Monday through Friday only)

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

Click the images to enlarge them.

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CLICK IMAGES TO ENLARGE THEM

 


Graphic-cast

Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

Illinois

During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.

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Kentucky

During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.


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.Tennessee

During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.


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Today through June 27th:  A few storms could become severe with damaging wind and hail late Monday morning into the afternoon hours.  The tornado risk is low.  Locally heavy rain is almost certain.  Lightning, as well.

The live severe weather blog has been activated for Monday’s thunderstorm chances.  Click here to view that.

I am monitoring Thursday night into Sunday.  For now, it is too early to know if severe weather will be a concern.  Locally heavy rain is likely.  Peak chances may end up being Friday night into Saturday night.  Monitor updates.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.   Thunderstorm chances increasing today.
    2.   Locally heavy rain.  Monitoring the risk of severe weather Monday morning and afternoon.
    3.   Nice Tuesday and Wednesday.
    4.   Unsettled weather returns for the weekend.

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Weather advice:

The live severe weather blog has been activated for Monday’s thunderstorm chances.  Click here to view that.

Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather app.  Thunderstorms are likely Monday morning into the evening.  A few storms could become severe with damaging wind and hail.

Avoid flooded roadways if thunderstorms train over the same area.

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Discussion

The primary weather concern will be thunderstorm chances Monday.

A strong cold front will advance across the region Monday.  This front will bump into an unstable atmosphere.  The end result will be a band or two of showers and thunderstorms.

The band of storms will approach southeast Missouri and southern Illinois late Sunday night and then continue east/southeast through the day.

This band of showers and thunderstorms may weaken some as it moves into the region.

It will then redevelop by mid to late morning.

The redevelopment will likely include some heavy thunderstorms.  The atmosphere will be moisten-laden and will help support torrential downpours.

A couple of the storms could warrant severe thunderstorm warnings.  That would primarily be for damaging wind gusts and perhaps hail.  The tornado risk is low, but not zero.

The live severe weather blog has been activated for Monday’s thunderstorm chances.  Click here to view that.

The bigger concern will be any training of showers and thunderstorms.  Training is when storms move repeatedly over the same area.  This can enhance rain totals.

Lightning is a concern, of course.

Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather app Monday.

The rain will end Monday night west to east.  That will leave us with a nicer atmosphere.  Less humid.  Cooler, as well.

Both Tuesday and Wednesday will be nice.

A few clouds and increasing temperatures/dew points by Thursday/Friday.  It will become humid again.

A couple of showers/storms may form as early as Thursday/Thursday night, but more likely by Friday and Saturday.

The GFS model brings in an MCS Thursday night.  That is a thunderstorm complex.  Other models do not show this.  We will need to monitor Thursday night.  If that complex of thunderstorms pushes into the region then I will need to increase rain probabilities.

You can see it here on the GFS.

10 PM Thursday

4 AM Friday

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There is a chance of numerous showers and thunderstorms Friday into Saturday.

I will need to monitor the exact timing of the weekend cold front.  That will determine peak thunderstorm chances.

The front is forecast to push out of the region by Sunday.  Confidence, however, in that happening is low.  Typically, during the Month of June and July, these fronts will stall or wash out.  That will need to be monitored.

If the front stalls then thunderstorm chances will linger into Sunday and Monday.

 


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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
  3. The EC European weather model is in Zulu time.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Longer range GFS

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Long range

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 86 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers June 21st through June  26th

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 87 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.50″
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This outlook covers June 27th through July 3rd

Click on the image to expand it.

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.50″ to 2.90″

This outlook covers July 2nd through July 18th

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Precipitation outlook

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LONG RANGE DISCUSSION

Key Points: This was written by the BAMwx team. I don’t edit it.

 

The June outlook

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Temperature departures

Final June Forecast

 

June precipitation outlook

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Preliminary outlooks

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

July Temperature Outlook

July precipitation outlook

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Preliminary outlooks

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

August Temperature Outlook

August precipitation outlook

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Summer Outlook

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

June, July, and August Temperature Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

June, July, and August Precipitation Outlook

 

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Great news! The videos are now found in your Weathertalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.

These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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2016-11-19_11-50-24

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