Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

June 17, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.


48-hour forecast



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Friday to Friday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.  A chance today.   A slight chance Wednesday night and Thursday.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Possible.  A few storms today could produce high wind and hail.  Overall, the risk is low.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  Low-risk.  There could be brief water issues where thunderstorms occur.

4. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  Yes.  Today.  Next Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday.  Perhaps Friday.

5.  Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast?   No.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

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June 17, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Friday  Forecast: Partly sunny. Hot. A chance of thunderstorms along an incoming cold front.  A few storms could be intense.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 80% /  the rest of South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~70%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous north and scattered south.
Timing of the rain:  Mostly during the morning and early afternoon.
Temperature range:  MO Bootheel 93° to 96°  /  SE MO 93° to 96° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 90° to 94° /  South IL 92° to 95°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 92° to 95°  /  West KY 92° to 95° /  NW TN 93° to 96°
Winds will be from the: Becoming northwest 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 98° to 108°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Torrential rain.  Damaging wind. Hail.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:18 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Some evening clouds.  Becoming clear.  Cooler.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 72°  /  SE MO 68° to 72° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 68° to 72° /  South IL 68° to 72°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 68° to 72°  /  West KY 68° to 72° /  NW TN 68° to 72°
Winds will be from the: North 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 68° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 11:48 PM
Moonset:  8:53 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

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June 18, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Saturday Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Cooler. Not as muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 83° to 86°  /  SE MO 83° to 86° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 83° to 86° /  South IL 83° to 86°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 83° to 86°  /  West KY 83° to 86° /  NW TN 83° to 86°
Winds will be from the: North northeast 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 83° to 86°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:19 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 63° to 66°  /  SE MO 63° to 66° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 63° to 66° /  South IL 63° to 66°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 63° to 66°  /  West KY 63° to 66° /  NW TN 63° to 66°
Winds will be from the: North northeast 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 63° to 66°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: :
Moonset:  10:07 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

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June 19, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Sunday  Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range:  MO Bootheel 92° to 94°  /  SE MO 90° to 94° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 90° to 94° /  South IL 90° to 94°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 90° to 94°  /  West KY 90° to 94° /  NW TN 90° to 94°
Winds will be from the: East 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 94° to 98°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:19 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 62°  /  SE MO 58° to 62° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 58° to 62° /  South IL 58° to 62°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 58° to 62°  /  West KY 58° to 62° /  NW TN 60° to 64°
Winds will be from the: East southeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 12:23 PM
Moonset:  11:18 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

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June 20, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Monday  Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Hot.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 95° to 100°  /  SE MO 95° to 100° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 95° to 100° /  South IL 95° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 95° to 100°  /  West KY 95° to 100° /  NW TN 95° to 100°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 104° to 108°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:19 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Warm. Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 73° to 76°  /  SE MO 73° to 76° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 73° to 76° /  South IL 73° to 76°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 73° to 76°  /  West KY 73° to 76° /  NW TN 73° to 76°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 73° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 12:23 PM
Moonset:  11:18 AM
The phase of the moon: Last Quarter

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June 21, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Tuesday  Forecast: Mostly sunny. Hot.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 96° to 102°  /  SE MO 96° to 102° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 96° to 102° /  South IL 96° to 102°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 96° to 102°  /  West KY 96° to 102° /  NW TN 96° to 102°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 105° to 110°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset:  8:20 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Mostly clear.  Warm. Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 76° to 80°  /  SE MO 76° to 80° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 76° to 80° /  South IL 76° to 80°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 76° to 80°  /  West KY 76° to 80° /  NW TN 76° to 80°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 1:10 AM
Moonset:  1:30 PM
The phase of the moon: Last Quarter

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June 22, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Wednesday  Forecast: Mostly sunny. Hot.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 96° to 102°  /  SE MO 96° to 102° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 96° to 102° /  South IL 96° to 102°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 96° to 102°  /  West KY 96° to 102° /  NW TN 96° to 102°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 105° to 110°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset:  8:20 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Warm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 76° to 80°  /  SE MO 76° to 80° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 76° to 80° /  South IL 76° to 80°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 76° to 80°  /  West KY 76° to 80° /  NW TN 76° to 80°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 1:44 AM
Moonset:  2:32 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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June 23, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Thursday Forecast: Mostly sunny. Hot.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 96° to 102°  /  SE MO 96° to 102° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 96° to 102° /  South IL 96° to 102°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 96° to 102°  /  West KY 96° to 102° /  NW TN 96° to 102°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 105° to 110°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset:  8:21 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Warm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 76° to 80°  /  SE MO 76° to 80° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 76° to 80° /  South IL 76° to 80°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 76° to 80°  /  West KY 76° to 80° /  NW TN 76° to 80°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 2:44 AM
Moonset:  3:32 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **


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Today through June 24th:  A few storms could be intense today (Friday).  The primary concern will be damaging wind and hail.  Overall, the risk of severe weather is low.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.


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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.   One more hot day.
    2.   Thunderstorm chances today.
    3.   Cooler and less humid Saturday and Sunday.
    4.   Heat wave next week with triple digits likely.

 

Weather advice:

Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages.  We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner.  Thus, we made the app.  See links at the bottom of the page.

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Forecast Discussion

Today 

A cold front is pushing southward through the region.  Severe thunderstorms formed last night over northern Missouri and Central, Illinois.  These storms have been slowly moving south southeast.

The storm complex (an MCS) is weakening as it pushes southward.  Pretty much as anticipated.

You can see the thunderstorm complex on the morning radar images.  Here was the 6 AM radar screen-shot.

A few of the storms were still producing damaging wind gusts as of 6 AM.

The storms should weaken further as they push into southeast Missouri and southern Illinois.  I can’t rule out some additional severe thunderstorm warnings before additional weakening.  The concern would be high winds.

The storms were producing a lot of lightning and pockets of torrential downpours.

Not everyone will receive rain today.  The complex is likely to weaken to the point where it just because a scattered mass of showers and thunderstorms.

There is a low level risk of additional severe storms today as the outflow boundary moves across the region.  Additional storms should form along that boundary.

The highest chances of showers and thunderstorms will be across the northern half of southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, and northwest Kentucky   Chances of showers and thunderstorms will decrease as you move towards the Missouri Bootheel and northwest Tennessee.

Some models are more bullish than other models.  The NAM model shows a larger band of storms sweeping across the region (see the future-cast radars).  The Hrrr model is a bit more conservative.

Let me show you how the Hrrr handles today.

You can see the early morning future-cast radar.  This matches up fairly well with what is happening at 6 AM.

Double click on all images to enlarge them.

Then at 8 AM.  What radar might look like.

Then that weakens.  Then, it develops a few more storms further south and southeast.

9 AM future-cast radar.

10 AM.  We will see how this goes.  Confidence isn’t great on what happens once the primary complex weakens.

I know everyone needs rain.  Let’s hope quite a few locations receive something.

Rain totals of 0.01 to 0.25″ will be the norm.  Obviously, thunderstorms can produce much higher totals (even over an inch).

The cold front will push south of the region tonight.

It will be hot today (outside of storms).  Temperatures will rise into the 90s with heat index values above 100.

Cooler and drier (less humid) air will push into the region tonight.  You will be able to tell a difference in the air mass.

Saturday and Sunday will deliver highs in the 80s and lows in the upper 50s to middle 60s.  Lower humidity, as mentioned above.  Decent weekend on tap for the region.

Another heat wave will develop Monday through Thursday.  Beyond Thursday, there are questions above whether a trough will form in the region.  If that develops, then it would bring cooler air.  Confidence isn’t great.

Highs Monday through Thursday will range from 96 to 104 degrees.  Heat index values will once again range from 100 to 110 degrees.  Hot week ahead of us.  Dry, as well.

The EC model goes all in on the heat.

Here is the heat matrix.  These are ensembles.  Each row is one ensemble member.  The model is ran over and over again with slightly different starting variables.  The idea is the more of these numbers that match – the higher the confidence in the overall forecast.

The left side is the ensemble member number.  The bottom row shows you the date.  The numbers in the matrix are temperatures.  If you see a row where all the numbers match (within a few degrees) then confidence in those temperature verifying is higher.

This is one hot forecast!  Check out next Tuesday and Wednesday.  Most of those numbers are above 100 degrees.  The extended range is very hot, as well.  Let’s hope it is wrong.

Double click on all images to enlarge them.

The ten day EC model precipitation is dry, as well.

Drought monitor is starting to show some yellow over our region.

This is the beginning of drought.

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Use common sense heat safety rules.

Time to remember the heat safety rules.  We don’t want anyone becoming sick from the heat.

 

 

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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

 

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 84 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers June 16th through June 22nd

Click on the image to expand it.

These are usually updated between 8:30 and 9:30 AM

 

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 83 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″
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This outlook covers June 22nd through June 28th

Click on the image to expand it.

 

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  86 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 66 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers June 28th through July 11th
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Precipitation outlook

 

Monthly Outlooks

SUMMER OUTLOOK

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

June Temperature Outlook

June Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

July Temperature Outlook

July Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

August Temperature Outlook

August Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

September Temperature Outlook

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https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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Find Beau on Facebook! Click the banner.

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Find Beau on Twitter! Share your weather photos! @beaudodson

2016-11-19_11-50-24

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