Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

June 14, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section

Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.


48-hour forecast



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Tuesday to Tuesday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.  Lightning is possible Thursday into Friday morning.  The chance is low.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Unlikely.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  Unlikely.  There could be brief water issues where thunderstorms occur.

4. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  Yes.  Today, tomorrow, and Thursday.  Perhaps Friday.  Then, another chance Sunday through Tuesday of next week.

5.  Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast?   No.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

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June 14, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Mostly sunny. Hot. Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 95° to 100°  /  SE MO 95° to 100° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 95° to 100° /  South IL 95° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 95° to 100°  /  West KY 95° to 100° /  NW TN 95° to 100°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 8 to 16 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 105° to 110°+
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:17 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Mostly clear.  Warm. Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 74° to 78°  /  SE MO 74° to 78° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 74° to 78° /  South IL 74° to 78°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 74° to 78°  /  West KY 74° to 78° /  NW TN 74° to 78°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 75° to 80°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 9:04 PM
Moonset:  5:23 AM
The phase of the moon: Full

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June 15, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Wednesday Forecast: Mostly sunny. Hot.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 95° to 100°  /  SE MO 95° to 100° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 95° to 100° /  South IL 95° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 95° to 100°  /  West KY 95° to 100° /  NW TN 95° to 100°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 7 to 14 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 100° to 110°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:18 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Warm.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 74° to 78°  /  SE MO 74° to 78° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 74° to 78° /  South IL 74° to 78°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 74° to 78°  /  West KY 74° to 78° /  NW TN 74° to 78°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 74° to 78°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 10:10 PM
Moonset:  6:26 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

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June 16, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Thursday Forecast: Mostly sunny. Hot. Muggy. A slight chance of thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range:  MO Bootheel 95° to 100°  /  SE MO 95° to 100° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 95° to 100° /  South IL 95° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 95° to 100°  /  West KY 95° to 100° /  NW TN 95° to 100°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 7 to 14 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 100° to 105°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values.  Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:18 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Warm. Muggy. A slight chance of thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MMO Bootheel 74° to 78°  /  SE MO 74° to 78° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 74° to 78° /  South IL 74° to 78°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 74° to 78°  /  West KY 74° to 78° /  NW TN 74° to 78°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 5 to 10 mph.  Wind becoming west.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 74° to 78°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 11:04 PM
Moonset:  7:37 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

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June 17, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Friday  Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Hot.  Not quite as muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range:  MO Bootheel 93° to 96°  /  SE MO 93° to 96° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 93° to 96° /  South IL 93° to 96°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 93° to 96°  /  West KY 93° to 96° /  NW TN 93° to 96°
Winds will be from the: Northwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 93° to 96°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:18 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 72°  /  SE MO 68° to 72° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 68° to 72° /  South IL 68° to 72°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 68° to 72°  /  West KY 68° to 72° /  NW TN 68° to 72°
Winds will be from the: North 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 68° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 11:48 PM
Moonset:  8:53 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

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June 18, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Saturday Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Not as muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 92°  /  SE MO 88° to 92° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 88° to 92° /  South IL 88° to 92°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 88° to 92°  /  West KY 88° to 92° /  NW TN 88° to 92°
Winds will be from the: North northeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 88° to 92°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:19 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 63° to 66°  /  SE MO 63° to 66° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 63° to 66° /  South IL 63° to 66°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 63° to 66°  /  West KY 63° to 66° /  NW TN 63° to 66°
Winds will be from the: North northeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 63° to 66°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: :
Moonset:  10:07 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

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June 19, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Sunday  Forecast: Mostly sunny. Hot.  Not as muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range:  MO Bootheel 92° to 94°  /  SE MO 90° to 94° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 90° to 94° /  South IL 90° to 94°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 90° to 94°  /  West KY 90° to 94° /  NW TN 90° to 94°
Winds will be from the: East 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 94° to 98°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:19 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Warm. Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 66° to 70°  /  SE MO 66° to 70° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 66° to 70° /  South IL 66° to 70°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 66° to 70°  /  West KY 66° to 70° /  NW TN 66° to 70°
Winds will be from the: East southeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 66° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 12:23 PM
Moonset:  11:18 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

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June 20, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Monday  Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Hot.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 95° to 100°  /  SE MO 95° to 100° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 95° to 100° /  South IL 95° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 95° to 100°  /  West KY 95° to 100° /  NW TN 95° to 100°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 104° to 108°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:19 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Warm. Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 73° to 76°  /  SE MO 73° to 76° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 73° to 76° /  South IL 73° to 76°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 73° to 76°  /  West KY 73° to 76° /  NW TN 73° to 76°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 73° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 12:23 PM
Moonset:  11:18 AM
The phase of the moon: Last Quarter

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June 21, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Tuesday  Forecast: Mostly sunny. Hot.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 95° to 100°  /  SE MO 95° to 100° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 95° to 100° /  South IL 95° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 95° to 100°  /  West KY 95° to 100° /  NW TN 95° to 100°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 104° to 108°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset:  8:20 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Mostly clear.  Warm. Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 76° to 80°  /  SE MO 76° to 80° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 76° to 80° /  South IL 76° to 80°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 76° to 80°  /  West KY 76° to 80° /  NW TN 76° to 80°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 1:10 AM
Moonset:  1:30 PM
The phase of the moon: Last Quarter

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June 22, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Wednesday  Forecast: Mostly sunny. Hot.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range:  MO Bootheel 95° to 100°  /  SE MO 95° to 100° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 95° to 100° /  South IL 95° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 95° to 100°  /  West KY 95° to 100° /  NW TN 95° to 100°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 104° to 108°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset:  8:20 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Warm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 76° to 80°  /  SE MO 76° to 80° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 76° to 80° /  South IL 76° to 80°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 76° to 80°  /  West KY 76° to 80° /  NW TN 76° to 80°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 1:44 AM
Moonset:  2:32 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **


Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

 



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Today through June 20th:  A few storms are possible Thursday into early Friday morning.  Overall, the chance is low.  Severe weather is unlikely.  I can’t rule out an isolated report of wind damage (if storms form).

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.


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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.   Heat wave.
    2.   Monitoring thunderstorm chances Thursday/Thursday night.
    3.   Slightly cooler Friday and Saturday.
    4.   Another heat wave develops Sunday onward.

 

Weather advice:

Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages.  We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner.  Thus, we made the app.  See links at the bottom of the page.

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Forecast Discussion

Tuesday through Friday

No changes to the going forecast.  It is going to be hot into next week.

The primary weather concern, over the coming seven to ten days, will be the heat wave.

A large ridge of high pressure will be the reason for the heat.

You can see that on this graphic.

We call this a heat ridge.

This is an early season heat wave.  It is unusual, for the month of June, to have multiple days with temperatures in the mid to upper 90s.  Some years, we don’t even reach 90 degrees during June.

It also appears that we may have back to back heat waves.  One ongoing heat wave today through Friday and then another one next Sunday into the following week.

Temperature and humidity levels may be slightly lower Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday.   We will have to monitor humidity/dew point levels next Sunday and Monday.  It is possible they creep up a little bit.

Heat index values will reach dangerous levels this week.  Expect 105 to 115 degree readings Monday and Tuesday.  Perhaps closer to the 100 to 108 range Wednesday and Thursday.  Then, lower than 100 degrees Friday and Saturday.

A weak cold front will push through the region Thursday and Thursday night.  A couple of thunderstorms may develop along the cold front.  Don’t expect much.

The front will likely lower dew points Friday through Sunday.  That will make it feel somewhat better.  Actual air temperatures will also be less hot Friday and Saturday.

Unfortunately, it appears that the heat will build back in Sunday and that will take us into the following week.

Another heat ridge will build back into the area.  You can see that on this graphic.  This is next Tuesday.

Use common sense heat safety rules.

Time to remember the heat safety rules.  We don’t want anyone becoming sick from the heat.

 

 

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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

 

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 84 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers June 14th through June 20th

Click on the image to expand it.

These are usually updated between 8:30 and 9:30 AM

 

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 83 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″
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This outlook covers June 20th through June 26th

Click on the image to expand it.

 

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  86 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 66 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers June 28th through July 11th
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Precipitation outlook

 

Monthly Outlooks

SUMMER OUTLOOK

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

June Temperature Outlook

June Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

July Temperature Outlook

July Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

August Temperature Outlook

August Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

September Temperature Outlook

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Great news! The videos are now found in your WeatherTalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.

These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here



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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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2016-11-19_11-50-24

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