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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page. Link to those threads CLICK HERE
Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com
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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
July 4th through July 11th
Current risk: None.
Current confidence level: High confidence in the forecast.
Comment: No tornado threats.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? YES. Scattered lightning is in the forecast Sunday through Friday.
2. Are organized severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NOT AT THIS TIME. I will be monitoring next week’s cold front. Some storms could be intense.
3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? ISOLATED. I will monitor next week. Slow-moving summer storms can produce torrential downpours that can briefly flood ditches and roadways.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees? YES. Scattered 90s are likely today through Monday. The chance of 90 degrees and above will be lower Tuesday through Friday (because of clouds and scattered thunderstorms).
6. Will temperatures rise above 100 degrees? NO.
7. Will the heat index (feels like) rise above 100 degrees? POSSIBLE. That is possible on Saturday.
8. Will the heat index rise above 115 degrees? NO.
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A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics
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I hope you and your family have a great holiday weekend!
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Forecast discussion.
- Hot and somewhat humid today through Sunday. Typical July weather.
- Calm weather through Saturday afternoon.
- Watching another slow-moving cold front next week. That will bring increasing clouds and at least scattered thunderstorms.
- Where will the front stall?
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Good day, everyone.
Happy Independence Day!
Once again, I made no significant changes to the current forecast.
I made minor adjustments to the rain probabilities next week. Additional adjustments are likely as confidence in the placement of the cold front increases.
It will be hot today through Sunday! A bit humid, but not extreme. Typical July weather for our region.
Calm weather is anticipated tonight through Saturday evening. I am monitoring late Saturday night for a few showers and thunderstorms over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. I capped the chances around 20% to 30%.
Temperatures will range from 90 to 94 degrees today through Sunday. Heat index values will range from 96 to 102 degrees. Again, nothing too extreme.
A cold front is expected to push into the region by early next week.
I have thunderstorm chances increasing on Sunday and lingering through much of the week. Perhaps the entire week (this will depend on where the front stalls).
For now, if you have outdoor plans on Sunday through Friday, then I would not change them. Monitor updated forecasts. Have a plan B, like always.
At this time, questions remain regarding the strength of the front and its exact placement.
Let me show you the current rain probabilities. Adjustments are still possible. Remember, a 20% chance of thunderstorms during the summer months usually means someone will have a gullywasher, but most areas will remain dry. It does not mean that it won’t rain on your picnic.
Sunday 7 AM to 7 PM rain probabilities (%)
Sunday night 7 PM to 7 AM rain probabilities (%)
Monday 7 AM to 7 PM rain probabilities (%)
Monday 7 PM to 7 AM rain probabilities (%)
Tuesday 7 AM to 7 PM rain probabilities (%)
Tuesday 7 PM to 7 AM rain probabilities (%)
Wednesday 7 AM to 7 PM rain probabilities (%)
Wednesday 7 PM to 7 AM rain probabilities (%)
Thursday 7 AM to 7 PM rain probabilities (%)
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Have a great weekend!
Fireworks forecast for July 4th.
Saturday evening conditions will be similar, perhaps a few more clouds.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
NAM 3K model
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GFS model..
The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.40″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather
Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?
Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account
You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.
Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)
🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.
Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.
Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.
Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)
GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF
I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.
Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson
Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live. I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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We do have some sponsors! Check them out.
Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here
INTEGRITY ROOFING AND EXTERIORS!
⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/
Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.
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Want to add more products to your Beau Dodson Weather App?
Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!
Here is how to do add those additional products to your app notification settings!
Here is a video on how to update your Beau Dodson Weather payment.
The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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