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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page. Link to those threads CLICK HERE
Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com
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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
July 1st through July 7th
Current risk: None.
Current confidence level: High confidence in the forecast.
Comment: No tornado threats.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? YES. A slight chance of lightning this morning. Scattered lightning on Sunday and Monday. I will monitor Tuesday.
2. Are organized severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.
3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NO.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees? YES. Temperatures are anticipated to be near or above 90 degrees Thursday through Saturday. I will monitor Sunday through Tuesday.
6. Will temperatures rise above 100 degrees? NO.
7. Will the heat index rise above 100 degrees? MONITOR. That is possible on Saturday and Sunday. The risk appears lower on Monday and Tuesday.
8. Will the heat index rise above 115 degrees? NO.
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A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics
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Forecast discussion.
- Not as hot. Not as muggy.
- Calm weather through Saturday.
- Watching another front next Sunday and Monday.
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Good morning, everyone.
Well, yesterday’s forecast from 7 am to 4 pm did not pan out as expected. I expected numerous showers and thunderstorms. A warm layer of air aloft (a CAP) kept them from forming. So, it ended up mostly dry.
We had to wait until after 4 pm for thunderstorms to form over southeast Missouri. Overnight, those spread eastward. Some areas picked up no rain. Some areas picked up one to two+ inches of rain.
There was one severe thunderstorm in southeast Missouri. About what was expected (we were in a low risk for severe storms).
This is what radar looked like at midnight. Numerous showers and thunderstorms pushed across the region.
The good news is that the cold front is moving through the region this morning. This will bring the showers and storms to an end.
There were still a few showers on radar (as of 6 am). The showers will continue to move east southeast. With time, all the showers will come to an end.
Calm weather is anticipated tonight through Saturday night.
Temperatures today through Thursday will be warm, but not as hot as last week. It will be somewhat humid, but not as humid as last week. That is the good news.
Let’s look at dew points.
Dew point is a measure of moisture. The higher the dew point, the muggier it feels. Dew points in the seventies and eighties are oppressive. Muggy.
Dew points in the fifties and sixties feel nicer.
Yesterday’s dew points. Muggy! Air you wear.
Compare that to today’s dew points. Better!
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Temperatures will mostly range from 85 to 90 degrees today through Thursday.
Temperatures are expected to rise by Friday and Saturday, returning to the nineties. Heat index values will rise into the 98- to 104-degree range. It will become hot and muggy again.
A cold front is expected to push into the region by Sunday and Monday. This will bring a return to the daily shower and thunderstorm chances. At this time, there remain questions on the strength of the front and timing.
The front may stall in the region. If that happens, then we will have daily chances of showers and thunderstorms into much of next week. Since this is in the long range, there remain questions about where it stalls. The placement will be key to thunderstorm chances.
For now, let’s enjoy the calm weather!
Have a great Tuesday.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
NAM 3K model
Organized or widespread rain and storms are not anticipated through Saturday.
Calm weather.
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Hrrr model..
The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Organized or widespread rain and storms are not anticipated through Saturday.
Calm weather.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.40″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather
Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?
Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account
You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.
Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)
🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.
Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.
Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.
Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)
GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF
I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.
Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson
Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live. I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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We do have some sponsors! Check them out.
Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here
INTEGRITY ROOFING AND EXTERIORS!
⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/
Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.
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Want to add more products to your Beau Dodson Weather App?
Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!
Here is how to do add those additional products to your app notification settings!
Here is a video on how to update your Beau Dodson Weather payment.
The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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