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I have launched a new weather texting service! Be sure and sign up and fully support all of the weather data you see each day.
This is a monthly subscription service. Supporting this helps support everything else. The cost is $3 a month for one phone, $5 a month for three phones, and $10 a month for seven phones.
Winter storm forecasts will be posted on the www.weathertalk.com website. Look under the Daily Weather Summary tab. Forecasts begin the week of Thanksgiving.
For more information visit BeauDodsonWeather.com
Or directly sign up at Weathertalk.com
This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog
Here is the link to the winter weather update – Daily Weather Summary tab
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here
If you use the radars click WINTERIZE to see the snow. Otherwise, you won’t see much.
QUICK update. I spent most of the day on the January and February winter weather outlook.
Friday Night: Snow showers likely this evening (esp southern half of the region). Bitterly cold temperatures. Low wind chill temperatures.
What impact is expected? Frost bite. Low wind chills. It will not be pleasant outdoors. Some slick roads still possible. Don’t forget the outdoor pets.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Low temperatures from 4 to 12 degrees (colder if you have snow on the ground)
Wind Chill: -8 to 8 above
Winds: North at 4-8 mph with gusts to 10 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Snow showers scattered
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? Snow showers possible. Esp for the Missouri Bootheel, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? It will be cold and there will be some icy roads.
Sunset will be at 4:53 p.m.
Moonrise will be at 12:20 p.m. and moonset will be at 12:31 Waxing Gibbous
January 7, 2017
Saturday: Partly sunny. Cold. Morning wind chills of -8 to 12 above.
What impact is expected? Some icy roads still possible. Frost bite. Bitterly cold air during the morning, especially.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 24 to 28 degree range. Perhaps a few degrees warmer over parts of the Bootheel and into the Kentucky/Tennessee border counties.
Wind Chill: -8 to 12 above during the morning hours. Teens in the afternoon.
Winds: North at 5 to 10 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation? Most likely none
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? Unlikely, but monitor updates.
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B. Cold.
Sunrise will be at 7:08 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:54 p.m.
UV Index: 1-2
Moonrise will be at 1:00 p.m. and moonset will be at 1:38 Waxing Gibbous
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy. Cold.
What impact is expected? Most likely none
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Low temperatures from 12 to 16 degrees (coldest where snow blankets the ground)
Wind Chill: 5 to 12 degrees
Winds: North and northeast winds at 5-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph. Winds becoming more easterly after 3 am
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cold.
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January 8, 2017
Sunday: Sunny and cold.
What impact is expected? Morning temperatures and wind chills will be bitterly cold.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 28 to 34 degree range
Wind Chill: 8 to 14 degrees early in the morning.
Winds: East winds becoming east/southeast and possibly south at 6-12 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? None
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cold.
Sunrise will be at 7:08 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:55 p.m.
UV Index: 1-2
Moonrise will be at 1:45 p.m. and moonset will be at 2:46 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
Sunday Night: Clear and cold. Windy.
What impact is expected? Most likely none.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Low temperatures from 14 to 18 degrees
Wind Chill: 10 to 18 degrees
Winds: Variable winds becoming gusty at 7-14 mph with gusts to 22 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cold.
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January 9, 2017
Monday: Mostly sunny. Perhaps some high clouds late in the day.
What impact is expected? Most likely none
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 34 to 38 degree range I will monitor temperature trends. Some guidance shows lower 40’s for portions of the region.
Wind Chill: 10-20 degrees early in the morning.
Winds: Becoming south and southeast at 10-20 mph with higher gusts likely.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? None
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cold.
Sunrise will be at 7:07 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:56 p.m.
UV Index: 1-2
Moonrise will be at 2:34 p.m. and moonset will be at 3:54 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
Monday Night: Some clouds. A late night shower possible. Temperatures may rise overnight. Becoming windy.
What impact is expected? Most likely none. Patchy fog, perhaps.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Low temperatures early in the night (30’s). Temperatures may rise into the 40’s by sunrise
Wind Chill:
Winds: South winds at 10-20 mph and gusty
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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January 10, 2017
Tuesday: Cloudy. A chance for showers. Windy. Warmer.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Perhaps lightning. Windy.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 54-58 degree range
Wind Chill:
Winds: South at 10-20 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? None
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely, but monitor updates.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor. Rain is possible.
Sunrise will be at 7:07 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:57 p.m.
UV Index: 0 to 1
Moonrise will be at 3:30 p.m. and moonset will be at 5:01 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
Tuesday Night: Cloudy. Showers possible. A thunderstorm possible. Breezy.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Gusty winds. Perhaps lightning.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Low temperatures from 48-54 degrees
Wind Chill:
Winds: Southwest to west at 10-25 mph and gusty.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps widespread.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? Monitor updates.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates. Rain is possible.
More information on the UV index. Click here
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The School Bus Stop Forecast is sponsored by Heath Health and Wellness. Located next to Crowell Pools in Lone Oak, Kentucky.Visit their website here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!
Heath Health Foods is a locally owned and operated retail health and wellness store. Since opening in February 2006; the store has continued to grow as a ministry with an expanding inventory which also offers wellness appointments and services along with educational opportunities. Visit their web-site here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook.
Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming day
Ran out of time today for the blog update. I worked most of the day on the winter weather outlook.
Will try to have a full blog update on Saturday afternoon/evening.
If you would like to receive a text notification, when the winter weather outlooks are updated, then make sure you have opted in to text option number three. The text options are found under the Personal Notification Settings tab on the weathertalk.com web-site.
Find me on Twitter
We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not seem to be updating then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here —
We also have a new national interactive radar – you can view that radar by clicking here.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky – these are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
Regional Radar
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The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
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Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 38 years of experience in observing our region’s weather patterns.
I hold a Bachelor’s of Science in Geosciences with a concentration in Broadcast Meteorology. I graduated from Mississippi State University.
My resume includes the following:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
I am the owner and operator of Weather Talk (in partnership with The Fire Horn)
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross. In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple…
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, email, and the blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
Many of my graphics are from www.weatherbell.com – a great resource for weather data, model data, and more
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions.
