Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

January 31, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.

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** A WIDE RANGE OF WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  SEE THE WRITTEN FORECAST FOR EACH AREA FURTHER DOWN IN THE BLOG **


48-hour forecast



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Monday to Monday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  No.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  No.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  Possible.  Locally heavy rain will be possible Wednesday and Thursday.  Some water issues will be possible.

4. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees?  Yes.  Wednesday night into Friday night.

5.  Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast?   Yes.  A winter storm appears increasingly likely Wednesday into Thursday.  The greatest risk zone will be Missouri and Illinois.  Confidence in heavier snow and ice decreases as you move into Kentucky and Tennessee.  Storm track will be key to this event.  Monitor updates concerning this winter storm.

6. Will the heat index top 100 degrees?  No.

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January 31, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Monday Forecast:  Partly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 53° to 56°  /  SE MO 50° to 55° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 45° to 50° /  South IL 50° to 55°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 50° to 55°  /  West KY 52° to 55° /  NW TN 54° to 56°
Winds will be from the: South southeast 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 45° to 55°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? N0
UV Index: 2.  Low.
Sunrise: 6:59 AM
Sunset:  5:16 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Becoming cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~   0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  0% /  the rest of South IL ~  0%  /  West KY ~  0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 35° to 40° /  SE MO 33° to 36° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 33° to 36° /  South IL 34° to 38° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 34° to 38° /  West KY 34° to 38° /  NW TN 35° to 40°
Winds will be from the:  South southeast at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 28° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   No
Moonrise: 6:54 AM
Moonset: 4:42 PM
The phase of the moon: New

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February 1, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Tuesday Forecast:  Becoming cloud.  A chance of showers.  Shower activity will be greater over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Mostly after 12 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 56° to 62°  /  SE MO 55° to 60° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 54° to 58° /  South IL 55° to 60°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 55° to 60°  /  West KY 56° to 62° /  NW TN 58° to 62°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 8 to 16 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 60°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? N0
UV Index: 1.  Low.
Sunrise: 6:58 AM
Sunset:  5:20 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast:  Rain.  A wide range of temperatures north to south.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 100% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 100%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 90% /  the rest of South IL ~ 90%  /  West KY ~ 90%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 90%  /  NW TN ~ 90%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 45° to 50° /  SE MO 35° to 40° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 34° to 36° /  South IL 38° to 44° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 40° to 42° /  West KY 43° to 46° /  NW TN 45° to 50°
Winds will be from the:  South at 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 45°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   Have a plan B
Moonrise: 7:40 AM
Moonset: 5:57 PM
The phase of the moon: New

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February 2, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Wednesday Forecast:  Cloudy with rain likely.    A wide range of temperatures north to south.  Rain may mix with sleet and freezing rain over portions of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  90% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 90%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 80% /  the rest of South IL ~ 80%  /  West KY ~ 80%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 80%  /  NW TN ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 53° to 56°  /  SE MO 34° to 38° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 34° to 38° /  South IL 45° to 50°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 43° to 46°  /  West KY 50° to 55° /  NW TN 54° to 56°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 8 to 16 mph.  Wind will turn out of the north behind the cold front that will slowly be moving through the region.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 30° to 45°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Monitor temperatures over MO/IL.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
UV Index: 1.  Low.
Sunrise: 6:58 AM
Sunset:  5:21 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast:  Cloudy. Rain likely.  Rain will likely mix with freezing rain and sleet across portions southeast Missouri and southern Illinois.  Some accumulation possible.  I will need to fine tune temperatures.  That will be the deciding factor of whether we experience rain vs a wintry mix.  Monitor updates.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  100% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 100%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 100% /  the rest of South IL ~ 100%  /  West KY ~ 90%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 90%  /  NW TN ~ 90%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 32° to 34° /  SE MO 22° to 26° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 23° to 26° /  South IL 28° to 32° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 34° to 38° /  West KY 33° to 36° /  NW TN 34° to 38°
Winds will be from the:  West northwest at 8 to 16 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Icy roadways where wintry precipitation develops.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   Have a plan B
Moonrise: 8:17 AM
Moonset: 7:05 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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February 3, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  LOW confidence
Thursday Forecast:  Cloudy with rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow.  Rain will linger longer over Kentucky and Tennessee.  We will need to monitor temperatures.  Model guidance shows a wide range of temperatures across our region.  I will need to monitor trends in the model data.  Some of the data shows much warmer air over Kentucky and Tennessee.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 90% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 90%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~80% /  the rest of South IL ~ 80%  /  West KY ~ 80%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 80%  /  NW TN ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 33° to 36°  /  SE MO 25° to 35° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 25° to 30° /  South IL 32° to 35°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 32° to 35°  /  West KY 34° to 38° /  NW TN 36° to 42°
Winds will be from the: West northwest 10 to 20 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
UV Index: 1.  Low.
Sunrise: 6:57 AM
Sunset:  5:22 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Cloudy.  Colder. A chance of snow showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 14° to 18° /  SE MO 10° to 15° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 8° to 12° /  South IL 10° to 15° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 10° to 15° /  West KY 10° to 15° /  NW TN 14° to 18°
Winds will be from the: North 7 to 14 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 0° to 10°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   No
Moonrise: 8:48 AM
Moonset: 8:17 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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February 4, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Friday Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Snow flurries possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 30° to 34°  /  SE MO 25° to 30° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 25° to 30° /  South IL 30° to 34°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 30° to 34°  /  West KY 32° to 34° /  NW TN 32° to 34°
Winds will be from the: North 10 to 20 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B in case roads are icy.
UV Index: 1.  Low.
Sunrise: 6:56 AM
Sunset:  5:23 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Clearing and cold.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 10° to 15° /  SE MO 8° to 12° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 8° to 12° /  South IL 10° to 15° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 10° to 15° /  West KY 10° to 15° /  NW TN 10° to 15°
Winds will be from the: North 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 0° to 10°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   No
Moonrise: 9:16 AM
Moonset: 9:22 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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February 5, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Saturday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 33° to 36°  /  SE MO 30° to 35° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 28° to 32° /  South IL 30° to 35°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 30° to 34°  /  West KY 32° to 35° /  NW TN 33° to 36°
Winds will be from the: North 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 1.  Low.
Sunrise: 6:56 AM
Sunset:  5:23 PM
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Saturday night Forecast:  Mostly clear. Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  0% /  the rest of SE MO ~  0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 10° to 15° /  SE MO 8° to 12° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 8° to 12° /  South IL 10° to 15° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 10° to 15° /  West KY 10° to 15° /  NW TN 10° to 15°
Winds will be from the: North 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 0° to 10°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   No
Moonrise: 9:16 AM
Moonset: 9:22 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **


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Today through February 7th  Severe weather is not anticipated.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.     Widespread precipitation event likely this week.
    2.     Locally heavy rain may cause some flooding issues.
    3.     Significant winter storm to impact the Missouri and Ohio Valleys.  Some of my forecast counties will likely experience a wintry mix.
    4.     Monitoring our regions risk of freezing rain, sleet, and snow.
    5.     Bitterly cold air behind the front Thursday into Saturday.

Weather advice:

Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages.  We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner.  Thus, we made the app.  See links at the bottom of the page.

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Weather Discussion

No weather concerns Monday into Monday night.

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Widespread precipitation event Tuesday through Thursday:

A few showers are possible Tuesday morning.  Rain will become widespread from west to east Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night.

Widespread rain Tuesday night into Wednesday evening.  Some of the rain could be locally heavy with amounts exceeding two inches in some counties.  Some of the guidance indicates three inches possible.

Much of this rain will quickly runoff into creeks and rivers.  There may be some water issues in commonly flooded areas.  Field flooding and ditches flooding will be possible.

At this time, the risk of lightning appears small.  Certainly no severe thunderstorm concerns with this event.  We can be thankful for that.

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Winter Storm Possible Wednesday into Thursday.

A complex winter storm will develop in and near our region starting late Wednesday and continuing into Thursday.

It is important to remember that I  forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee.

Unfortunately, this event will likely have a wide range of temperatures and precipitation type from northwest to southeast.

Not everyone will experience the same amount or duration of wintry precipitation.

Model guidance has not come into agreement on temperatures Thursday.

For example, let me show you the difference between the NAM and GFS models.

NAM for Thursday morning.  Look at how much warmer the NAM is vs the GFS. It actually has 50s into portions of our region!

GFS for  Thursday morning.  A much colder look to the GFS.  The GFS would bring wintry precipitation to a larger portion of the region.

That is the difference between a lot of rain across Kentucky and Tennessee vs a lot of ice and snow.

For example, let me show you the NAM vs the GFS precipitation type maps.

The NAM takes the low into southern Illinois.  That means warmer air across much of our region well into Thursday.

Blue is snow.  Purple is sleet.  Red is freezing rain.  Green and yellow represent rain.

The GFS model is further southeast with the cold air.  It pushes the wintry precipitation will into our region by Thursday morning.

For now, it is too early to know which will be correct.  I will be watching trends in the model data.

What determines precipitation type?  Temperatures at the surface and aloft.  The deeper the cold layer the greater chance of all snow.  A warm nose of air aloft will change that snow to sleet and freezing rain.

Examples (double click to enlarge graphics)

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Confidence continues to increase for a winter storm across southeast Missouri and southern Illinois.  At this time, it appears the primary concern will be Wednesday night into Thursday.  A significant amount of sleet and freezing rain is likely to fall across this area.  Freezing rain accumulation may exceed 0.25″ in some counties.  That would be enough to bring down some tree limbs and possibly some power outages.

Further southeast into the Missouri Bootheel, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee you can expect quite a bit of rain.  The rain may change to a wintry mix at some point Thursday.  This is highly dependent on how fast the cold air pushes southeast.  Amounts, however, will depend on when the transition occurs.  The longer temperatures remain above freezing, the lower snow and ice totals would be.

For now, my confidence in a winter storm is greatest in the NWS winter storm watch zone (across portions of Missouri and Illinois).

Here is the current watch zone.

Click to enlarge.   The blue zone is the highest risk (for now) of wintry precipitation.

The winter storm is primarily for sleet and freezing rain ending as light snow.  Again, the type of precipitation will be highly dependent on temperatures at the surface and aloft.

The St Louis, Missouri, NWS put this graphic out to cover their zones.

Let’s take a look at WPC probabilities for snow and ice.

This is the zone where the heaviest snow should fall.

72-hour probability of two or more inches of snow.

Let’s look at the current ice forecast.  Subject to adjustments.

What is the probability of 0.10″ or more of freezing rain?

What is the probability of 0.25″ or more of freezing rain?

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I like to look at ensembles when forecasting.  The same model but with different parameters loaded in at the beginning.  In theory, the more squares that agree with each other the higher the confidence in the eventual forecast.

The EC model is colder than the NAM model and tracks the low further south and east.

It has the frozen precipitation deeper into our region vs the NAM model guidance.

Blue is snow.  Pink/purple represents a wintry mix. Green represents rain.

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The GEFS (different model) looks similar to the EC model guidance.

Double click images to enlarge them.

Blue is snow. Purple a wintry mix.  Green and yellow represent rain.

It is still early for confidence levels to be high concerning exact temperatures from MO/IL vs KY/TN.   The cold air will be slowly moving south and east Thursday.  How quick it moves will be key to the eventual forecast county to county.  Monitor updates.

Rain totals could exceed two inches in some counties between Tuesday and Thursday.

WPC/NOAA rain totals forecast.

 

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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
  3. The EC European weather model is in Zulu time.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Time is in Zulu.  12z=6 AM.  18z=12 PM.  00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

 

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Time is in Zulu.  12z=6 AM.  18z=12 PM.  00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
Time is in Zulu.  12z=6 AM.  18z=12 PM.  00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Time is in Zulu.  12z=6 AM.  18z=12 PM.  00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Time is in Zulu.  12z=6 AM.  18z=12 PM.  00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Time is in Zulu.  12z=6 AM.  18z=12 PM.  00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.     

 

 

 

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 44 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 27 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers January 31st through February 6th

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 45 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 27 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
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This outlook covers February 7th through February13th

Click on the image to expand it.

 

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  41 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 26 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.40″ to 2.80″

This outlook covers February 8th through February 21st

The next update for these two graphics will be Tuesday after 9 AM.

Precipitation outlook

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Outlooks

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

January Temperature Outlook

January Precipitation Outlook

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February Temperature Outlook

February Precipitation Outlook

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Winter Outlook

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

December, January, and February Temperature Outlook

 

December, January, and February Precipitation Outlook

Green represents above average precipitation.

EC means equal chances of above or below average snowfall.

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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

SPRING OUTLOOK

Temperatures

Precipitation.

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Monthly Outlooks

March Temperature Outlook

March Precipitation Outlook

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April Temperature Outlook

April Precipitation Outlook

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May Temperature outlook

May Precipitations Outlook

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
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Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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2016-11-19_11-50-24

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