Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

January 29, 2026: Cold weather is the main story. Patchy freezing drizzle or snow showers.

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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page.  Link to those threads CLICK HERE

Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

January 29th through February 4th

Current risk: No concerns.

Current confidence level: High confidence.

Comments:   Severe weather is not anticipated. 

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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  NO.

2.  Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.

..3. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? NO.     

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph?  NO.  

5. Will the temperature fall below 20 degrees?  YES.   Tonight through Sunday night.

6. Is the wind chill forecast to drop below ten degrees?  YES.  Yes, on and off into Sunday.

7.  Is accumulating snow (one inch or more of snow) or ice in the forecast?  MONITORING.  A few snow showers are possible later today into Saturday morning.  I can’t rule out patchy freezing drizzle.  It does not take much freezing drizzle to cause issues.    Any snow accumulation would be light.

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Watch out for black ice each night and morning.

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If you have experienced frozen pipes at temperatures in the single digits or teens, you may have problems.

Use these on outdoor water faucets.  They cover the faucet.  You could also wrap the nozzle in a blanket.

You can buy these at Lowe’s, Home Depot, Rural King, and other similar stores.

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Check out our weather sponsor.

If you have roof damage from the snow and ice.

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⛈️ Here is the short-range thunderstorm concern meter.

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⛈️ Here is the extended thunderstorm concern meter.

We will remain in the green.  No thunderstorm threats.


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A quick forecast glance.  Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

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Here is your bus stop forecast

I will start this back up tomorrow.  Some schools are starting to go back.

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This afternoon

I will start this back up tomorrow.  Some schools are starting to go back.

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My daily video
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Forecast discussion

  •   Patchy snow showers and freezing drizzle are possible later today into Saturday morning.
  •   Any accumulation would be light.
  •   It does not take much freezing drizzle to cause issues.  Thus, monitor updates.
  •   Bitterly cold, at times.  Use care.
  •   If the kids play outside, layer them in warm clothes and mittens/gloves.  This is frostbite weather.
  •   Cold weather into the weekend.  Somewhat warmer next week.

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What is the primary weather concern?

Watch out for black ice each night and morning through Monday.

Watch for patchy freezing fog, as well.

Cold temperatures will be the primary concern today through Sunday.  Bitterly cold, at times.

A few snow showers and/or freezing drizzle are possible from late today through Saturday.  Perhaps the peak chances will be Friday/Saturday.  This has slowed a bit since a few days ago.

Several weak disturbances will move across the region.

What is the chance of a dusting of snow?  This is the % chance.

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What is the % chance of precipitation?

Today.

Tonight

Tomorrow

Tomorrow night

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I will keep an eye on next week.  Some light precipitation is possible.

At this time, any accumulation appears light.  Keep in mind, it does not take much freezing drizzle to cause travel issues.

Don’t forget to change your pets’ outdoor water bowls.  They will freeze over.

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Here are this morning’s temperatures as of 5 AM.
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Seven-day outlook graphic.

See the video or graphics below for more details specific to your county.  This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.


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Today through Sunday night

The primary weather story will be the cold temperatures.   

Some snow flurries and snow showers are possible from Thursday into Sunday.  Mainly on Thursday night into Saturday.

Accumulation, if any, will be light.  That means a dusting to maybe one inch.

Here are three models.  All show at least a chance of a dusting.  Hit and miss.

I would not take the specific location from these; rather, I would take the general idea.

The general idea is that some spotty light accumulation is possible into Saturday.  A few models show snow showers on Sunday and Sunday night, as well.

This is the NAM model snowfall for Thursday PM into Saturday.

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This is the NAM model snowfall for Thursday into Saturday.

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This is the GFS model snowfall for Thursday into Saturday.

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As you can see, most of the data indicates a hint of snow accumulation.

Wind chills will be an issue this week.  Remember, wind chill is what it feels like to the human body.

Wind chill can lead to frostbite.  Bundle up.  Bundle up the kids.

Let me show you the wind chill values

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Several people have fallen through the ice over the past few days.  Please make sure the kids stay off area lakes and ponds.  Rivers, as well.
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Let’s take a look at the low temperatures for the upcoming week and weekend.

A WIDE variety of temperatures.  If you have a deeper snow pack, then temperatures are a bit lower than shown.  If you have a few clouds during the overnight period, then temperatures will be a tad warmer.  Either way, it is cold.

Thursday’s low temperatures.


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Friday’s low temperatures


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Sunday’s low temperatures
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Monday’s low temperatures
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Tuesday’s low temperatures

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That is the main story.  Cold weather.

Again, the wind chill values will be quite a bit lower than the actual temperature.

A cold front will move into the region today and tonight.  This will bring a fresh batch of cold air.

A few snow showers are possible on Thursday into Saturday.  As mentioned above.

A dusting to 1″ of snow is possible in a few spots.

I am also monitoring the risk of freezing drizzle.  That would betonight into Saturday.  At most, a thin glaze.  There is some disagreement about whether this will be all light snow or some freezing drizzle.

I will monitor it and update later today.  Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather App.

I am watching next week and the following week for a few cold fronts.

Here are the GFS and EC models.  Both show a quick-moving light event.

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A lot of data shows a wintry mix changing to all rain.  It is still a bit early for confidence levels to be all that high.

That would be on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Some precipitation is likely.  Just a matter of what kind.

Stay warm out there.  Spring is not toooooooo far off!

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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Green is rain.  Yellow is moderate rain. Orange and red indicate locally heavy rain.

Blue is snow.

NAM model  


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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Green is rain.  Yellow is moderate rain.  Red is locally heavy rain.  Blue is snow.

GFS model 


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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Green is rain.  Yellow is moderate rain.  Blue is snow.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

EC model 

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 44 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 28 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 42 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 26 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.
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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.
Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
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Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

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Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson

Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live.  I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar


If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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We do have some sponsors!  Check them out.

Roof damage from recent storms?  Link – Click here

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⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/

 

Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool.   Click here.

College of DuPage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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