February 24, 2026: Light rain event on Wednesday night/Thursday. Don’t expect much.

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

February 24th through March 1st

Current risk: NONE.

Current confidence level: High confidence.

Comments: Severe weather is not anticipated through next Monday.

Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast? LOW RISK. I will monitor on Wednesday night and Thursday. There is a low risk of lightning. A lot of data shows no risk.

The SPC (Storm Prediction Center/NOAA/NWS) has us outlined for a few thunderstorms. No severe weather concerns.

2. Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms. No.

..3. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? NO.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? UNLIKELY. A few gusts today (Tuesday) could top 35 mph.

5. Will the temperature fall below 20 degrees? No.

6. Is the wind chill forecast to drop below ten degrees? No.

7. Is accumulating snow (one inch or more of snow) or ice in the forecast? No.

⛈️ Here is the short-range thunderstorm concern meter.

A small chance of lightning on Wednesday night and Thursday. I kept us in the green, since the risk is so low.

⛈️ Here is the extended thunderstorm concern meter.

A small chance of lightning on Wednesday night and Thursday. I kept us in the green, since the risk is so low.

A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

Here is your bus stop forecast

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This afternoon

My daily video

Forecast discussion

Cold this morning. A warming trend begins today.
Gusty winds today.
A chance of rain on Wednesday evening into Thursday. Light rain totals as they continue to trend downward.
Another chance of light rain on Sunday (low chances for now)

What is the primary weather concern?

No significant concerns through Wednesday afternoon. It will be cold this morning. A warming trend begins today.

Gusty winds today. Gusts above 25 mph are likely. Some gusts above 35 mph are possible. Use caution if burning brush.

Our next rain chance arrives Wednesday night and Thursday. A small chance of thunder. No severe weather concerns. Rain totals continue to go down with this system. Seems that has been the theme over the last few months.

Another chance of light rain on Sunday and Monday. Light totals with both events.

These were the 5 am temperatures.

A chilly start to the day.

Seven-day outlook graphic.

See the video or graphics below for more details specific to your county. This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.

Today’s high temperatures

A bit warmer today (after a cold start).

Wednesday will be a bit warmer.

Thursday’s high temperatures.

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Friday’s high temperatures. A bit nicer.

Saturday will be the warmest day of the week. A bit cooler on Sunday.

Today into Wednesday Afternoon

No significant concerns. It will be windy today, with wind gusts likely above 25 mph.

Use caution if burning leaves or brush. The fire risk is elevated.

Wednesday into Sunday Afternoon

Rain chances will increase on Wednesday night and Thursday.

This is not a big rain event. A bit higher totals as you travel eastward in the region. Lower to the west.

There will be a range of rain totals. The totals continue to go down. As I mentioned 24 hours ago. I suspected the WPC/NOAA totals were too high.

Some locations may receive little or no rainfall. Less than 0.10″.

They continue to drop, and we may not be finished with them dropping. Seems we can’t buy a soaking rain around here.

We need this rain. We are in a drought. Even though the surface may be muddy, the long-term drought is the problem. Deeper soil moisture.

Double-click on the image to enlarge it.

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Western counties

Let’s look at rain probabilities for that system. What is the % chance of rain at your location?

This is for Wednesday night.

Wednesday 6 PM to Wednesday 6 AM precipitation chances.

Double-click on these images to enlarge them.

Thursday 6 AM to Thursday 6 PM

Thursday 6 PM to Friday 6 AM

As you can see, the rain will be moving out on Thursday evening.

A weak system may impact the region on Sunday. Confidence in that one is low.

Sunday 6 AM to 6 PM rain chances

Another light rain event will arrive on Sunday and Monday. Totals will be light. Don’t expect much.

Sunday 6 PM to Monday 6 AM rain probabilities. What is the % chance of rain?

Monday 6 AM to Monday 6 PM rain probabilities. What is the % chance of rain?

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange and red indicate locally heavy rain.

Blue is snow.

This model pops most of the storms east northeast of our region (on Thursday PM)

GFS Model
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Red is locally heavy rain.

Blue is snow.

NAM model

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Red is locally heavy rain.

Blue is snow.

NAM 3K model

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 49 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 30 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.60″ to 0.90″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 50 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 30 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.60″ to 0.90″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

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