Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

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January 24, 2018
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast:  Mostly sunny
Temperatures:  MO ~  44 to 48        IL ~  44 to 48      KY ~  44 to 48
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~  0%      IL ~  0%       KY ~  0%          TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Wind chill values:  N/A
Accumulating snow or ice:  N0
Winds:  West winds at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No

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Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:   Mostly clear.
Temperatures:    MO ~  25 to 30        IL ~  25 to 30       KY ~  25 to 30
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest winds at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans:  No

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January 25, 2018
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast:  Mostly sunny.
Temperatures:  MO ~  55 to 60         IL ~  55 to 60      KY ~  55 to 60
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%      IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%          TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds:  South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 20 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No

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Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Clear.
Temperatures:    MO ~  34 to 38        IL ~ 34 to 38        KY ~ 34 to 38
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds:  Southwest and west at 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 18 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans:  No

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January 26, 2018
Friday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly to mostly sunny.  Breezy.  Increasing clouds late in the day.  Mild.
Temperatures:  MO ~  55 to 60        IL ~  55 to 60     KY ~  55 to 60
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 10%      IL ~ 10%       KY ~ 10%          TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds:  South and southwest at 10 to 20 mph and gusty.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No

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Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Cloudy.  Showers possible early and then increasing chances after 11 PM.
Temperatures:    MO ~  44 to 48      IL ~ 44 to 48        KY ~ 44 to 48
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 60%    IL ~ 50%    KY ~ 50%    TN ~ 50%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds:  Southwest at 10 to 20 mph and gusty.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans:  Monitor updates

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January 27, 2018
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly cloudy.  Showers likely.
Temperatures:  MO ~  52 to 56        IL ~  52 to 56      KY ~  52 to 56
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 60%      IL ~ 60%       KY ~ 60%          TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps widespread.  A band of showers will push across the area.
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds:  South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Monitor updates

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Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Cloudy.  Showers possible.  Slight chance of snow showers.
Temperatures:    MO ~  32 to 35      IL ~ 32 to 35        KY ~ 32 to 35
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 40%    IL ~ 40%    KY ~ 40%    TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: Unlikley
Winds:  West at 6 to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans:  Monitor updates

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January 28, 2018
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny with a few passing clouds.  Cooler.
Temperatures:  MO ~  45 to 50       IL ~  45 to 50      KY ~  45 to 50
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 10%      IL ~ 10%       KY ~ 10%          TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds:  West at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No

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Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly clear and chilly.
Temperatures:    MO ~  28 to 32      IL ~ 28 to 32        KY ~ 28 to 32
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds:  West at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans:  No

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January 29, 2018
Monday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny.
Temperatures:  MO ~  40 to 45       IL ~  40 to 45      KY ~  40 to 45
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%      IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%          TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind chill values: 36 to 42
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: Variable at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No

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Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear.
Temperatures:    MO ~  28 to 32      IL ~ 28 to 32        KY ~ 28 to 32
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind chill values: 25 to 30
Accumulating snow or ice:  No
Winds: Variable at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No

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January 30, 2018
Tuesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny.
Temperatures:  MO ~  45 to 50       IL ~  45 to 50      KY ~  45 to 50
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%      IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%          TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds:
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No

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Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear.
Temperatures:    MO ~  28 to 32      IL ~ 28 to 32        KY ~ 28 to 32
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind chill values: 25 to 30
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds:
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No

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The National Weather Service definition of a severe thunderstorm is one that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a  tornado.

Tuesday through Sunday:  Severe weather is not anticipated.  Small chance of lightning Friday night and Saturday.  Low confidence.

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Interactive Weather Radar Page.  Choose the city nearest your location:  Click this link.

Short term outlook:

Today through Friday

THE SPRING OUTLOOK has been posted on the subscriber page.  Click here to view that

Subscriber at www.beaudodsonweather.com

Quiet weather will continue into Friday.  See the day to day forecast at the bottom of this post.

No extremes through Friday.  That is the good news.

Highs on Thursday and Friday will top out in the middle 50’s.  Nice compared to recent weeks.

Friday night through Sunday

A rain maker will push into the region Friday night into Saturday.

Here is the future-cast radar.  Time stamp is located in the upper left part of the graphic.

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Here are your rain probabilities.

What is the % chance of X amount of rain falling.
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Beau’s Winter Weather Outlook

I am not anticipating any snow or ice accumulation through next Monday.

I am closely monitoring a system towards the last half of next week.  There is some potential for wintry precipitation, but it is too soon for there to be any confidence in the outcome.  Monitor updates.

I may initiate my winter storm probability graphics tomorrow or Friday.  I am going to monitor the trends in the guidance.
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We offer regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not update then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared.  You may also try restarting your browser.  This will usually fix any problems.

During the winter you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.

You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

Interactive Weather Radar Page.  Choose the city nearest your location:  Click this link

National interactive radar:  Click this link.