January 20, 2025: Cold weather into the middle of the week, Then, a moderating trend.

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Seven Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast? NO.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NO.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? POSSIBLE. Gusty winds tonight.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? YES. Wind chill values will be bitterly cold over the coming days. Occasionally, dropping below zero.

Double click image to enlarge it.

Wind chill forecast.

Actual highs and lows. Find a city near you.

7. Is measurable snow and/or sleet in the forecast? NOT AT THIS TIME. I will keep an eye on Thursday and Thursday night as a clipper moves through the region.8. Is freezing rain/ice in the forecast? NOT AT THIS TIME.

The images below are from NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center.

24-hour precipitation outlook..
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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Field and Brush Fire weather risk level.

Monday: 4. Low risk.
Monday night: 4. Low risk.
Tuesday: 4. Low risk.
Tuesday night: 4. Low risk.

Fire Weather Discussion

Cold conditions continue through Tuesday. Light and variable winds and low afternoon relative humidity, around 20 to 30 percent, is anticipated through Tuesday. Gustier winds and warmer temperatures are anticipated on Wednesday.

A Haines Index of 6 means a high potential for an existing fire to become large or exhibit erratic fire behavior, 5 means medium potential, 4 means low potential, and anything less than 4 means very low potential.

Notes:

THE FORECAST WILL TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION.

Scroll down to see your local forecast details.

Seven-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. Scroll further down to see the region by region forecast.

—> Note. A wide range of temperatures across the region over the coming days. See the hand written area by area forecast farther down in this blow update.

Beau’s Seven Day Video Outlook

A quick glance. 48-hour forecast Graphics

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Monday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 18° to 22°
Southeast Missouri ~ 18° to 22°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 20° to 24°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 18° to 22°
Southern Illinois ~ 18° to 22°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 18° to 22°
Far western Kentucky ~ 18° to 22°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 18° to 22°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 18° to 22°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 20° to 24°
Winds will be from this direction: North northwest 6 to 12 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: -10° below to 15° above (coldest before noon)
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 3. Moderate
Sunrise: 7:06 AM
Sunset: 5:07 PM
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Monday Night Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Bitterly cold.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri 2° to 5°
Southeast Missouri 8° to 12°
The Missouri Bootheel 16° to 18°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois 2° to 5°
Southern Illinois 6° to 8°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) 8° to 12°
Far western Kentucky 8° to 14°
The Pennyrile area of western KY 8° to 14°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) 6° to 10°
Northwest Tennessee 12° to 15°
Winds will be from this direction: North northwest at 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: -10° below to 10° above
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 12:00 AM
Moonset: 10:31 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

Tuesday Forecast: Some morning clouds. Clearing. Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 15° to 20°
Southeast Missouri ~ 18° to 22°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 22° to 24°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 12° to 15°
Southern Illinois ~ 14° to 18°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 18° to 22°
Far western Kentucky ~ 20° to 22°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 20° to 24°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 18° to 22°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 22° to 25°
Winds will be from this direction: North northwest 8 to 16 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: -5° below to 15° above (coldest before noon)
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 3. Moderate
Sunrise: 7:08 AM
Sunset: 5:08 PM
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Tuesday Night Forecast: Partly cloudy. Bitterly cold.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri 5° to 10°
Southeast Missouri 10° to 12°
The Missouri Bootheel 12° to 15°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois 2° to 5°
Southern Illinois 6° to 8°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) 8° to 10°
Far western Kentucky 8° to 10°
The Pennyrile area of western KY 8° to 10°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) 6° to 10°
Northwest Tennessee 8° to 12°
Winds will be from this direction: North northwest at 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 0° below to 15° above
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise:
Moonset: 10:54 AM
The phase of the moon: Last Quarter

Wednesday Forecast: Partly sunny. Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri 32° to 34°
Southeast Missouri 32° to 34°
The Missouri Bootheel 32° to 35°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois 32° to 34°
Southern Illinois 32° to 34°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) 32° to 35°
Far western Kentucky 32° to 34°
The Pennyrile area of western KY 32° to 34°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) 32° to 34°
Northwest Tennessee 32° to 35°
Winds will be from this direction: South 10 to 20 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 5° below to 20° above (coldest during the morning)
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 2. Low
Sunrise: 7:05 AM
Sunset: 5:09 PM
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Wednesday Night Forecast: Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri 20° to 22°
Southeast Missouri 20° to 24°
The Missouri Bootheel 22° to 25°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois 20° to 25°
Southern Illinois 20° to 25°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) 20° to 25°
Far western Kentucky 20° to 25°
The Pennyrile area of western KY 20° to 25°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) 20° to 25°
Northwest Tennessee 22° to 25°
Winds will be from this direction: South 8 to 16 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 10° to 20°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 12:57 AM
Moonset: 11:20 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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Weather Highlights and Forecast Discussion

1. Bitterly cold temperatures.
2. Cold into the middle of the week.
3. Watching a clipper Thursday. Perhaps some flurries or snow showers.
4. Watching another system Sunday and Monday. Looks like rain.
5. Moderating temperatures Thursday into the weekend. Not as cold. Warming trend.

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Beau’s Forecast Discussion

Brrrr and brrrr

Please use care with heating sources. There have been multiple fires this morning.

Check out the early morning temperatures. These were the 7 AM numbers.

Wind chill values. Bitterly cold. Dangerous cold.

Check out all the advisories. A lot of those light blue colors are cold weather advisories. Dark blue are cold weather warnings.

Winter storm warnings into Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida! Wow.

Our weather concerns will be the bitterly cold temperatures into Wednesday.

No snow or ice through Wednesday night.

A fast moving clipper could bring some snow flurries or snow showers Thursday and Thursday night. For now, this does not to be a big concern, but I will monitor trends and update accordingly. Perhaps a dusting of snow in spots. Confidence in accumulation is low, for now.

I will know a bit more tonight and tomorrow morning.

I am watching a rain event this weekend! A warming trend, as well. Hopefully, we can put the worst of this winter cold behind us.

Here are the current rainfall totals forecast for the weekend event.

Double click to enlarge

Bundle up.

Cold weather advice graphics.

The kids will need gloves at the bus stop.

Warning signs of cold illness.

What is wind chill? Wind chill impacts the body. Wind chill is more important than the actual air temperature.

Outdoor pets will be cold, as well.

Livestock

Don’t forget the outdoor pets. Water bowls will freeze.

Be careful with space heaters

Future-cast Radar

Time stamp is in Zulu. 00z=6 pm. 06z=12 am. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm.

This is the GFS Model

You can see the Thursday clipper. You can see the weekend rain potential. Several systems to watch.

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This outlook covers southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and far northwest Tennessee.

Today’s Storm Prediction Center’s (SPC) Severe Weather Outlook

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter or larger size hail, and/or a tornado.

Explanation of tables. Click here.

Day One Severe Weather Outlook

Day One Severe Weather Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.

Day One Tornado Probability Outlook

Day One Regional Tornado Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.

Day One Large Hail Probability Outlook

Day One Regional Hail Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.

Day One High wind Probability Outlook

Day One Regional Wind Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.

Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook. Day two outlook.

Day Two Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.

Day Three Severe Weather Outlook

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 44 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 27 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 44 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 27 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.

Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.

** NEW SERVICE ** I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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We have a new service to compliment your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is in a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning. It only calls you if your home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.