Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page.  Link to those threads CLICK HERE

Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

January 13th through January 19th

Current risk: No concerns.

Current confidence level: High confidence.

Comments:   Severe weather is not anticipated. 

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Here is your bus stop forecast

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This afternoon

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What is the primary weather concern?

Several shots of cold air will be the primary weather story.

Today will be mild.  Enjoy it.

A cold front will move through the region tonight and tomorrow.  Light rain will accompany the front.  It may end as a snow flurry or snow shower on Wednedsay afternoon and night.

A stronger cold front will arrive this weekend.  As a matter of fact, it will definitely feel like winter on Saturday and Sunday.  Brrr.

Rainfall totals between now and Sunday will range from trace to 0.15″.  Not much.  Not enough.  Drought conditions will worsen.

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Seven-day outlook graphic.

See the video or graphics below for more details specific to your county.  This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.

Notice the cold air this weekend.  Brrr.

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Today through Wednesday night

Today will be mild.  Well above average temperatures.

Check out these high temperatures!

Southeast Missouri will be solidly in the 60s.  Mostly fifties to around sixty everywhere else.

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No weather concerns today.  It will be breezy, at times.  Strong south southwesterly winds.

Use caution when burning brush or leaves.

You can see today’s gusty winds in this animation.

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Clouds will increase tonight, with a chance of light showers after midnight.   Rain totals will be light.  Ranging from trace to 0.10″.

Here is the rainfall outlook.  See the future-cast radars below, as well.

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Tuesday night’s rain probabilities.  What is the % chance of rain?

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Temperatures on Wednesday will peak during the morning and will likely fall during the day.

You can see that on the NAM model.  This is the temperature animation.

I can’t rule out the light rain ending as flurries on Wednesday afternoon and evening.  Nothing of significance.

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Thursday through Monday

Thursday and Friday will be cool.

Wind chill values on Thursday morning will be in the teens.  Brrr.

Breezy, at times.  Winds on Friday could gust above 30 mph.

A cold front will move through the region late Thursday night into Friday.  Some light showers may accompany it.  Perhaps some snow flurries or snow showers.  Nothing of significance.

Friday night into Sunday night will be cold.  Cold temperatures.

As a matter of fact, wind chill values on Saturday and Sunday will likely be in the teens and may occasionally drop below ten degrees.  Brrr.

Check out this wind chill animation.  The timestamp is located in the upper-left corner of the image.

Double-click to enlarge the animation.

This takes us from Friday into next Tuesday.  Notice another surge of cold air next Monday night and Tuesday.

There will be a mix of sun and clouds over the weekend.  A few weak disturbances will move across the region.

These could be accompanied by light snow showers or snow flurries.

There is only a 20% chance of a dusting of snow between now and Sunday.

Here is the EC model snowfall through Sunday night.

Here is the GFS snowfall totals through Sunday night

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I am not tracking any major precipitation events over the next seven days.

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 44 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 28 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 42 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 26 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF

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I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.

Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson

Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live.  I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.