Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

February 21, 2025: A warming trend is on the way.

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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page.  Link to those threads CLICK HERE

Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com

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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  NO.

2.  Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  NO.

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  ONGOING ISSUES.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph?  NO.   

5. Will temperatures drop below 10 degrees?  NO.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 0 degrees?  NO.  

7.  Is measurable snow and/or sleet in the forecast?  NO.   

8.  Is freezing rain/ice in the forecast? NO .

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A quick forecast glance.  Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

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Double-click this image to make it larger.  Find a city near you.

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Forecast discussion.   Active weather.

  •  Bitterly cold weather to continue into tonight.
  •  Frostbite weather.  Use care.  Watch for black ice.
  •  Slow warming trend Saturday and Sunday.  Quiet weather.
  •  Much warmer early next week!  I can’t rule out some sixties on Tuesday.  That will feel amazing.
  •  Flooding continues in some areas.  Avoid flooded roadways

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We are waking up to bitterly cold temperatures.

5 AM Temperatures

This is a mid-January-type cold.

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5 AM Wind chill values.  Brrr!  That is cold.
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Check out these temperatures from the Wunder website.  Portions of southeast Missouri are showing -5 to -11 readings!

Double click image to enlarge it

Use care this morning.  Watch for black ice.  Some roads in rural areas are still covered by snow and ice.  Many schools are still closed.

We will see additional road improvements today and tomorrow.

Here is the snow verification map from the other day.  The top image was my final forecast.  The bottom image is the NWS snow totals map.

Someone always receives more than expected.  Someone always receives less than expected.

Double-click the image to enlarge it.
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The good news is that we are entering a quiet weather pattern over the coming days.  A much-needed break from our recent natural disasters.

It will remain cold today into Saturday morning.  Bundle up for this weather.

There will be a slow warming trend tomorrow and Sunday.  Every milder temperatures on Monday and Tuesday!

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We still have icy roads this morning.  Use care.

Watch for freezing fog, as well.  Fog is patchy (not widespread).

Watch for fog tonight, as well.

Bitterly cold air will linger into tonight and tomorrow morning,  Then, a warming trend.

Check out this morning’s temperature anomaly map.  How many degrees below average are temperatures?

Normal highs for mid-February are around 49 degrees

Normal lows for mid-February are around 30 degrees

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Zoomed in view.

Again, these are not actual temperatures.  These numbers represent how many degrees above or below average temperatures will be.

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These are some of the coldest anomalies on the planet.

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The great news is that it will be warmer from Sunday into next Wednesday.

Check out Tuesday’s temperature anomalies.   We pop above freezing.

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Remember, the body responds to wind chill.  The wind chill is more important than the actual temperatures.  Frostbite is a real concern with this upcoming winter event.

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We still have some areas with flooded roadways.  Avoid those roads, please.

The good news is that I do not have any significant precipitation in the forecast through Tuesday.

I am monitoring a chance of showers next Wednesday.

Confidence in this system bringing rain to the rain is low.  Quite a bit of data is dry.  It is a bit moisture-starved.

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What radar might look like.   

Here is the GFS future-cast radar.  You can see those scattered showers on Wednesday.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.


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I am watching a bigger system around the first week of March.

That is a long way off to know how that event will impact us, if at all.  Monitor updates.

The GFS shows that one.  It keeps showing up on the charts.  Something to monitor.


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Have a great Friday, and stay warm.

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar


If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 50 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 30 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 51 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 31degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.

Weather Talk is one of those ways!  Now, I have another product for you and your family.

** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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We have a new service to compliment your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.
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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is in a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you if your home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.
Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

Want to add more products to your Beau Dodson Weather App?

Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!

Here is how to do add those additional products to your app notification settings!

Here is a video on how to update your Beau Dodson Weather payment.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here



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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool.   Click here.

College of DuPage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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