** A brief period of freezing rain, sleet, and snow possible tonight **
A fast moving band of freezing rain, sleet, and perhaps snow will push across portions of the region tonight.
It appears the precipitation will be brief at any given location.
The greatest area if concern is from Henderson, KY, to Calvert City, KY, to Fulton, KY. Along and east of that line stands the greatest chance of receiving precipitation.
Confidence in measurable precipitation occurring west of that line is lower. That means don’t discount the possibility of some precipitation to the west of that line. It is possible that areas to the west also see a brief period of wintry precipitation. It only takes a little bit of ice to cause problems.
Surfaces are cold. If freezing rain, sleet, and snow does develop then it would most likely cause icy surfaces such as sidewalks, stairs, and porches. Bridges, of course, freeze first. Untreated roads could be a concern.
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Black ice is possible tonight and into the early morning hours.
The main time frame of concern will be 5 PM through 1 AM. The precipitation won’t last long at any given spot.
Here are your live local-city view radars. Don’t forget to click the winterize button above each city radar (example in the image below). That button separates the freezing rain, sleet, snow, and rain.
Here is an example from one of the radars. Push that button that says winterize.
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Radar Link
http://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm.
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Here is the area of concern. Least concern over our northwest counties. Greatest concern over our southeast counties.
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Here is the NAM future-cast radar. You can see the time stamp at the upper left part of the graphic. This is what radar might look like tonight.
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Special weather statement from the NWS
Click to enlarge
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.LONG RANGE OUTLOOKS/Videos/Graphics
A general spring and summer outlook has been posted. More details will be posted over time.
Bonus maps and videos have been updated.
Link to the long range outlooks (Scroll down to the 2nd post at this link for the latest long range outlook) and videos (for subscribers) – Click here
You haven’t subscribed? Subscribe at www.beaudodsonweather.com
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Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link.
Don’t forget, on the city-view local radars, to click the winterize button. That will show you where freezing rain, sleet, snow, and rain is occurring.
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Example
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February 11, 2018
Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Cloudy and cold. Freezing rain, sleet, and snow developing. See above for greatest risk zone. Some icy road conditions are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 18 to 24 IL ~ 18 to 24 KY ~ 20 to 25
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 50% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: A band of precipitation will push northeast into the region. It will then move west to east across our local area.
Wind chill values: 8 to 16
Accumulating snow or ice: Icy surfaces are possible
Winds: North and northeast winds 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 16 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Icy roadways are possible. Some snow may mix in with the freezing rain.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: Have a plan B and monitor updates
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February 12, 2018
Monday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. Any clouds will clear and move off to the east. Cold.
Temperatures: MO ~ 38 to 44 IL ~ 38 to 44 KY ~ 40 to 45
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None anticipated
Wind chill values: 20 to 30
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: North and northeast winds 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 18 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Cold.
Temperatures: MO ~ 20 to 25 IL ~ 18 to 24 KY ~ 22 to 26
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind chill values: 22 to 30
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: East and northeast winds 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
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February 13, 2018
Tuesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny during the morning. Some increase in clouds as the day wears on.
Temperatures: MO ~ 48 to 54 IL ~ 48 to 54 KY ~ 48 to 54
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: Winds becoming variable at 4 to 8 mph. Winds become southeast as the day wears on.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. A rumble of thunder possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 36 to 44 IL ~ 36 to 44 KY ~ 38 to 44
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 50% IL ~ 50% KY ~ 50% TN ~ 50%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Wind chill values: 30 to 35
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
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February 14, 2018
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. A rumble of thunder possible. Mild. Breezy.
Temperatures: MO ~ 56 to 62 IL ~ 56 to 62 KY ~ 56 to 62
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 60% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps widespread
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 20
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor updates.
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Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Breezy. Mild.
Temperatures: MO ~ 53 to 56 IL ~ 52 to 56 KY ~ 54 to 58
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 50% IL ~ 50% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 50%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps widespread.
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest at 8 to 16 mph and gusty
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: Have a plan B and monitor updates.
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February 15, 2018
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Mild. Breezy.
Temperatures: MO ~ 64 to 66 IL ~ 62 to 66 KY ~ 64 to 68
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor updates.
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Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Cloudy. Turning colder. Windy. Rain. Falling temperatures.
Temperatures: MO ~ 34 to 40 IL ~ 34 to 38 KY ~ 38 to 46 (warmest towards Hopkinsville vs Paducah)
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 60% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps widespread.
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest at 8 to 16 mph and gusty. Winds becoming west and northwest at 10 to 20 mph and gusty.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: Have a plan B and monitor updates.
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February 16, 2018
Friday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Colder. Rain showers. Rain may end as light snow showers.
Temperatures: MO ~ 44 to 48 IL ~ 44 to 48 KY ~ 44 to 48
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps widespread
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: Most likely no, but monitor updates.
Winds: North and northwest at 10 to 20 mph.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor updates.
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Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Colder. A flurry possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 24 to 28 IL ~ 24 to 28 KY ~ 24 to 28
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation:
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: Most likely no, but monitor updates.
Winds: North and northeast at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Monitor snow chances.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: Have a plan B and monitor updates.
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February 17, 2018
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny.
Temperatures: MO ~ 44 to 48 IL ~ 44 to 48 KY ~ 44 to 48
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: North and northwest at 7 to 14 mph. Winds becoming variable late in the day.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear early. Some increase in clouds after midnight.
Temperatures: MO ~ 26 to 34 IL ~ 26 to 34 KY ~ 26 to 34
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: North and northeast at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
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February 18, 2018
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast: Increasing clouds. Isolated showers possible. A bit milder.
Temperatures: MO ~ 48 to 54 IL ~ 48 to 54 KY ~ 48 to 54
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest winds at 6 to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
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Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Cloudy. Scattered showers.
Temperatures: MO ~ 36 to 44 IL ~ 36 to 44 KY ~ 36 to 44
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest winds at 6 to 12 mph becoming west.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No, bu monitor updates.
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Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link.
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Sunday night: Another round of freezing drizzle and freezing rain will move into our area from Arkansas. It will spread northeast and then move eastward. The greatest chance of measurable precipitation will be across the Missouri Bootheel into northwest Tennessee and western Kentucky. Some accumulation of freezing rain, sleet, and snow will be possible.
This will be a quick moving system. Accumulation totals will be light.
The main concern will be icy surfaces. Sidewalks, stairs, and porches may become icy. Untreated roads and bridges may become icy, as well. Use care.
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The National Weather Service definition of a severe thunderstorm is one that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a tornado.
Now through Wednesday: Severe weather is not in the forecast.
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Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link.
Brief update today. Graphics above give you the overview. Monitor for winter weather advisories. The NWS may issue one for portions of the region tonight.
Either way, some light wintry mix is likely to occur. Monitor the interactive radars.
Don’t forget to click the winterize button above each local city-view radar. That will show you the different precipitation types.
The preliminary summer forecast has been posted on the subscription website. Subscribe at www.beaudodsonweather.com
Summer outlook – Click here
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We offer regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not update then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. This will usually fix any problems.
During the winter you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link
National interactive radar: Click this link.
