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Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.
This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.
THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION.
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.
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** A WIDE RANGE OF WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. SEE THE WRITTEN FORECAST FOR EACH AREA FURTHER DOWN IN THE BLOG **
48-hour forecast
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Tuesday to Tuesday
1. Is lightning in the forecast? No.
2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? No.
The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Possible. Locally heavy rain will be possible Wednesday and Thursday. Some water issues will be possible. The greatest concern will be across western Tennessee and Kentucky.
4. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? Yes. Wednesday night into Saturday morning.
5. Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast? Yes. Accumulating freezing rain, sleet, and snow will occur Wednesday into Thursday night. First across Missouri and Illinois and then spreading into Kentucky and Tennessee.
6. Will the heat index top 100 degrees? No.
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February 1, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Becoming cloudy. Mild. A chance of scattered showers. Shower activity will be greater over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% / the rest of SE MO ~ 50% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% / the rest of South IL ~ 30% / West KY ~ 20% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20% / NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered (mainly MO/IL)
Timing of the rain: Mostly after 12 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 56° to 64° / SE MO 55° to 60° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 54° to 58° / South IL 56° to 62° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 58° to 60° / West KY 56° to 62° / NW TN 58° to 64°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 8 to 16 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 60°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? N0
UV Index: 1. Low.
Sunrise: 6:58 AM
Sunset: 5:20 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Rain. A wide range of temperatures north to south.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 100% / the rest of SE MO ~ 100% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 90% / the rest of South IL ~ 90% / West KY ~ 90% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 90% / NW TN ~ 90%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 45° to 50° / SE MO 34° to 40° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 34° to 38° / South IL 38° to 44° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 40° to 44° / West KY 43° to 46° / NW TN 45° to 50°
Winds will be from the: South at 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 45°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
Moonrise: 7:40 AM
Moonset: 5:57 PM
The phase of the moon: New
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February 2, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Wednesday Forecast: Cloudy with rain likely. A wide range of temperatures north to south. Rain may mix with sleet and freezing rain over portions of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. Any ice concerns Wednesday would be across northern portions of southeast Missouri and then into portions of southeast Illinois. The colder air will slowly push in from the northwest.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 90% / the rest of SE MO ~ 90% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 80% / the rest of South IL ~ 80% / West KY ~ 80% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 80% / NW TN ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 53° to 56° / SE MO 32° north to 42° south / I-64 Corridor of South IL 38° to 42° / South IL 45° to 50° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 48° to 50° / West KY 50° to 55° / NW TN 54° to 56°
Winds will be from the: Winds south of the cold front will be from the south at 10 to 20 mph. Winds north of the cold front will be from the north at 10 to 20 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 45°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Monitor temperatures over MO/IL.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
UV Index: 1. Low.
Sunrise: 6:58 AM
Sunset: 5:21 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Cloudy. Rain likely. Rain will likely mix with freezing rain, sleet, and snow across portions of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. Some accumulation possible. I will need to fine tune temperatures. That will be the deciding factor of whether we experience rain vs a wintry mix. Monitor updates.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 100% / the rest of SE MO ~ 100% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 100% / the rest of South IL ~ 100% / West KY ~ 90% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 90% / NW TN ~ 90%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 32° to 34° / SE MO 22° to 26° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 23° to 26° / South IL 28° to 32° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 32° to 34° / West KY 32° to 34° / NW TN 33° to 36°
Winds will be from the: West northwest at 8 to 16 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Icy roadways where wintry precipitation develops.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
Moonrise: 8:17 AM
Moonset: 7:05 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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February 3, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Thursday Forecast: Cloudy with rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow. Accumulation of frozen precipitation likely. The change-over will occur last over eastern portions of western Kentucky. Rain will linger longer there.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 90% / the rest of SE MO ~ 90% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~80% / the rest of South IL ~ 80% / West KY ~ 80% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 80% / NW TN ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 32° to 34° / SE MO 26° to 32° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 25° to 30° / South IL 28° to 32° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 32° to 34° / West KY 32° to 36° / NW TN 36° to 42°
Winds will be from the: West northwest 10 to 25 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
UV Index: 1. Low.
Sunrise: 6:57 AM
Sunset: 5:22 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Cloudy. Colder. A chance of snow showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% / the rest of SE MO ~ 10% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% / the rest of South IL ~ 10% / West KY ~ 10% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10% / NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 14° to 16° / SE MO 10° to 15° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 8° to 12° / South IL 10° to 15° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 10° to 15° / West KY 10° to 15° / NW TN 14° to 16°
Winds will be from the: North 7 to 14 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 0° to 10°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 8:48 AM
Moonset: 8:17 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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February 4, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Friday Forecast: Partly cloudy. Snow flurries possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% / the rest of SE MO ~ 20% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / the rest of South IL ~ 20% / West KY ~ 20% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20% / NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 30° to 32° / SE MO 25° to 30° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 25° to 30° / South IL 30° to 34° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 30° to 34° / West KY 32° to 34° / NW TN 30° to 32°
Winds will be from the: North 10 to 20 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B in case roads are icy.
UV Index: 1. Low.
Sunrise: 6:56 AM
Sunset: 5:23 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Clearing and cold.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% / the rest of SE MO ~ 10% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% / the rest of South IL ~ 10% / West KY ~ 10% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10% / NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 10° to 14° / SE MO 8° to 12° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 8° to 12° / South IL 10° to 15° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 10° to 15° / West KY 10° to 15° / NW TN 10° to 14°
Winds will be from the: North 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 0° to 10°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 9:16 AM
Moonset: 9:22 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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February 5, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Saturday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 32° to 35° / SE MO 30° to 34° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 28° to 32° / South IL 30° to 34° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 30° to 34° / West KY 32° to 34° / NW TN 32° to 35°
Winds will be from the: North 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 1. Low.
Sunrise: 6:55 AM
Sunset: 5:24 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 10° to 15° / SE MO 8° to 12° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 8° to 12° / South IL 10° to 15° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 10° to 15° / West KY 10° to 15° / NW TN 10° to 15°
Winds will be from the: North 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 0° to 10°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 9:42 AM
Moonset: 10:25 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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February 6, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Sunday Forecast: Partly sunny. Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 34° to 36° / SE MO 32° to 35° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 30° to 32° / South IL 30° to 34° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 30° to 34° / West KY 32° to 34° / NW TN 32° to 35°
Winds will be from the: West southwest at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 1. Low.
Sunrise: 6:54 AM
Sunset: 5:26 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 18° to 20° / SE MO 15° to 20° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 14° to 18° / South IL 15° to 20° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 15° to 20° / West KY 15° to 20° / NW TN 18° to 20°
Winds will be from the: Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 10° to 20°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 10:07 AM
Moonset: 11:26 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down. Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook. You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **
Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
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Today through February 7th Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Today’s outlook (below).
Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.
Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.
One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.
A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.
The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.
The black outline is our local area.
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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.
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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.
24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion
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- Scattered showers today over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois.
- Locally heavy rain may cause some flooding issues.
- Significant winter storm to impact the Missouri and Ohio Valleys.
- Bitterly cold air behind the front Thursday into Saturday.
Weather advice:
Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages. We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner. Thus, we made the app. See links at the bottom of the page.
Join me tonight for a question and answer Facebook thread.
See that on the Beau Dodson Weather Facebook page. Link
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Weather Discussion
Widespread precipitation event Tuesday through Thursday:
Most of the region will remain dry today.
Clouds will be on the increase. A few showers are possible this afternoon and evening over primarily southeast Missouri and southeast Illinois. Rain totals today will be light (where rain occurs).
Widespread rain Tuesday night into Wednesday evening. Some of the rain will be locally moderate with amounts exceeding two inches in some counties.
Here is the official WPC/NOAA rainfall forecast. They are showing a widespread one to two inches.
Much of this rain will quickly runoff into creeks and rivers. There may be some water issues in commonly flooded areas. Field flooding and ditches flooding will be possibl
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Winter Storm likely Wednesday into Thursday.
This is not a slam-dunk forecast on the placement of rain vs freezing rain vs sleet vs snow.
If you don’t want freezing rain then hope for sleet. Sleet does not stick to power lines.
The difference between receiving quite a bit of freezing rain vs quite a bit of sleet will only be a couple of degrees. We are attempting to forecast exact temperatures more than 24 to 48 hours in advance.
Thus, confidence in the exact frozen precipitation totals is medium. A shift in the storm track by as little as twenty miles will impact your local city forecast.
If the colder air arrives slightly faster then you will experience more snow vs ice. I would focus on impacts. Icy road conditions beginning as early as Wednesday afternoon and evening over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois and then spreading south and east Wednesday night into Thursday.
Portions of western Kentucky may remain rain longer than other areas. Keep that in mind, as well.
What determines precipitation type? Temperatures at the surface and aloft. The deeper the cold layer the greater chance of all snow. A warm nose of air aloft will change that snow to sleet and freezing rain.
Examples (double click to enlarge graphics)
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A complex winter storm will develop Wednesday into Thursday evening.
The primary concern, during this time period, will be the timing of the cold front and arrival of the below freezing temperatures.
The colder air will be behind the front. This push of cold air will make its way across our entire region by Thursday.
Rain will change to freezing rain, sleet, and eventually snow across northern portions of southeast Missouri and portions of southern Illinois beginning Wednesday. The cold air will slowly continue to push further south and east during the day (Wednesday).
As the colder air pushes further south and east, the precipitation will change from rain to a wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet, and snow. As the deeper cold air arrives, the freezing rain and sleet will change to snow. See graphics above on precipitation types.
The highest chance of snow totals in excess of four inches will be along a north of a line from Butler County, Missouri and then northeast into Jackson County, Illinois and then northeast from there. See graphic below.
Areas along and north of that line will find itself deeper in the cold air. Thus, a highest chance of accumulating snow on top of some freezing rain and sleet.
If the cold air arrives earlier and is deeper, then snow totals would increase. In other words, the less freezing rain and sleet that you experience the greater your snow totals will be. Trends in the guidance have been colder. Thus, snow totals have increases across portions of my forecast area.
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Here is the latest official snowfall forecast. There could still be adjustments. Most of this snow will fall Wednesday night into Thursday.
Totals have increased over the past 24 hours. The reason for that is the cold air will be deeper than previously thought.
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South and east of that line will be the battleground between rain, freezing rain, and sleet.
Remember, sleet are the little pellets of ice.
Freezing rain
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Guidance, over the past 24 hours, has trended colder. That means more of the region is under the risk of wintry precipitation with travel issues.
Let me show you the NAM model and how it advances the cold air from west to east.
Follow the freezing line to get an approximate time of change-over in your county. Keep in mind, this won’t be perfect (it is a model). It will be close.
Double click on the animation to enlarge it.
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There is some disagreement on where to place the heaviest band of freezing rain. The trend, over the past 24-hours, has been to push it further south and east.
Here is what the WPC is showing for the risk of 0.25″ or greater of freezing rain. This may be too far north and west. I think it will be a tad further south and east with the higher probabilities.
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Let’s compare that forecast to the Paducah, Kentucky, NWS forecast for freezing rain accumulation.
This is a bit further southeast vs the above image.
I do believe the Paducah, Kentucky, NWS has a good handle on the placement of freezing rain.
Freezing rain totals are extremely difficult to forecast. They have lowered their forecast amounts from 12 hours ago.
I suspect these numbers will fluctuate a bit. Either way, some accumulating freezing rain is likely to occur as we move into Wednesday and Thursday. This will cause some tree limbs to break and perhaps some scattered power outages. This is NOT like 2009. The 2009 ice storm was 1″ to 2″ of freezing rain. We are not forecasting anything even close to that.
Here was the previous forecast from the Paducah, Kentucky NWS. Notice that they lowered totals a tad. That is mainly because they believe there will be a bit more sleet.
The more sleet will have the better off we will be. Sleet does not stick to tree limbs and power lines.
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The morning NAM model is colder and would mean more sleet. It would also shift the freezing rain further south and east.
Here is what it shows. I usually cut these totals in half (from what the model shows).
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Now, let me show you some models.
I usually subtract some from what these graphics show. Don’t get caught up in exact numbers.
Focus on placement. The models are in fair agreement as to where the freezing rain will occur.
Focus on the fact that there will be a band of freezing rain in this mess. It may be just enough to bring down some tree limbs and cause scattered power issues.
My forecast is for a band of at least 0.25″ across portions of the area. That would most likely be from the Missouri Bootheel into northwest Tennessee and western Kentucky. Perhaps extreme southern Illinois, as well.
I think the above map, from the Paducah, Kentucky NWS, is close to my thinking, as well.
If the cold air pushes a tad faster then shift that freezing rain south and east by another county or so.
The bottom line is that there will be icy road conditions from this event area-wide.
Euro Model freezing rain totals. Again, don’t focus on the numbers. They are likely a tad too high. This is simply raw model output.
I typically cut these numbers in half when making a forecast.
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GFS model
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NAM model freezing rain totals.
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Let’s look at some NWS graphics concerning this event.
A winter storm watch covers almost all of my forecast counties (a few of my far eastern counties were left out of the watch for the time being).
An upgrade to a winter storm warning and ice storm warning is anticipated later today.
Pink is where the winter storm warning is in effect.
Blue is the watch (the watch will be upgraded to an ice storm warning and winter storm warning later today).
Notice a few of my east/southeast counties are currently not in the watch. That could still change if new data shows the cold air advancing faster.
Double click images to enlarge them.
This next graphic covers my southern counties (Missouri/Tennessee).
Winter storm watch zone in blue. This will be upgraded to a warning.
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What is the chance of X amount of freezing rain.
Double click images to enlarge them.
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What is the chance of X amount of sleet and freezing rain.
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This next graphic is from the St Louis, Missouri NWS. You can see some of my northern counties on this map.
NWS offices are close in their forecasts (agreeing).
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There are concerns about gusty winds in the ice zone. Winds may occasionally gust above 25 mph. This could enhance tree limb damage and power line issues. Keep that in mind. Hopefully, the winds won’t be as great as some of the guidance suggests. Either way, prepare for scattered power issues in the ice storm zone.
Bitterly cold air Friday and Saturday morning. Bundle up weather. Whatever falls will stick around into the weekend.
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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.
What should I take from these?
- The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
- The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
- The EC European weather model is in Zulu time.
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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.
I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.
You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.
Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.
This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This next animation is the GFS American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 44 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 27 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.
This outlook covers January 31st through February 6th
Click on the image to expand it.
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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 27 degrees
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
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This outlook covers February 7th through February13th
Click on the image to expand it.
The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.
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EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 26 degrees
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.40″ to 2.80″
This outlook covers February 8th through February 21st
The next update for these two graphics will be Tuesday after 9 AM.
Precipitation outlook
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Outlooks
E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
January Temperature Outlook
January Precipitation Outlook
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February Temperature Outlook
February Precipitation Outlook
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Winter Outlook
E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
December, January, and February Temperature Outlook
December, January, and February Precipitation Outlook
Green represents above average precipitation.
EC means equal chances of above or below average snowfall.
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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
SPRING OUTLOOK
Temperatures
Precipitation.
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Monthly Outlooks
March Temperature Outlook
March Precipitation Outlook
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April Temperature Outlook
April Precipitation Outlook
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May Temperature outlook
May Precipitations Outlook
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of Dupage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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