Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

December 8, 2025: More cold is on the way.

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

December 8th through December 14th.

Current risk:  NONE

Current confidence level: High confidence.

Comments:    

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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  NO.

2.  Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.

.3. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? NO.     

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph?  NO.    

5. Will the temperature fall below 20 degrees?  YES.  On Friday, Saturday, and Sunday night.

6. Is the wind chill forecast to drop below ten degrees?  YES. Friday, Saturday, and perhaps Sunday.

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7.  Is accumulating snow or ice in the forecast?  NOT AT THIS TIME.   There is a low risk of accumulating wintry mix on Thursday and Thursday night 
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Here is the short-range concern meter.

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Here is the extended concern meter.

No severe weather concerns.


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A quick forecast glance.  Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

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Here is your bus stop forecast

This graphic was not updated

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This afternoon

This graphic was not updated

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Forecast discussion

  •   A brief “warm up” and then more cold air.
  •   The Arctic front arrives on Friday.  Cold Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.  But, how cold?
  •   Low-end rain and snow chances this week.  We do not expect anything impactful at this time.
  •   Watching a bigger system around the 20th to 24th.  Too soon to know if that will be rain or mixed.

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Seven-day outlook graphic.

See the video for more details specific to your county.  This is a broad-brushed outlook for the entire region.


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Today  through Wednesday

Good morning, everyone.  I hope you had a nice weekend!  It was a bit cool.

6 AM temperatures

We are once again waking up to chilly temperatures.  Clouds have kept it a bit warmer over Kentucky and the Bootheel.

All in all, nothing extreme.  Just chilly.

There was some light rain and snow showers over the Pennyrile area of western Kentucky.

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A relatively tranquil weather pattern will continue into the weekend.  We will have some low-end rain and snow chances, but the precipitation will likely be so light that it has little or no impact on travel or otherwise.

We have some light rain and snow showers over our eastern counties this morning.  Those are moving off to the east southeast.

It will be dry tonight and mostly dry tomorrow and tomorrow night.  There is a low chance of light rain on Tuesday and Tuesday night, but most areas will remain dry.

A cold front will move through the region on Wednesday.  This will bring another chance of light rain showers on Wednesday and Wednesday night.

Tuesday and Wednesday will be warmer.  It will feel cool, however, because of strong southerly winds.  Winds will gust in the 10 to 20 mph range.

I am watching the timing of the cold front on Wednesday.  It is possible that we have falling temperatures during the afternoon and evening hours as the cold front pushes east southeast.

Here are the temperatures on Wednesday.  Notice how the fall during the day.

Double-click the animation to make it larger.

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Let me show you the precipitation probabilities.

What is the % chance of precipitation?

Tuesday 6 PM to Wednesday 6 AM

Wednesday 6 AM to Wednesday 6 PM

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Thursday to Sunday

Another cold front will push through the region on Thursday and Thursday night.

This front has a bit more moisture to work with, but we don’t expect any travel impacts.

Light showers are possible on Thursday and Thursday night.  The rain would change to a wintry mix or snow by Thursday night as temperatures fall.

A few flurries are possible on Friday, as well.

Again, we don’t expect travel impacts from this precipitation.  I will be closely monitoring it.

Let’s look at those precipitation probabilities.

Wednesday 6 PM to Thursday 6 AM

Thursday 6 AM to Thursday 6 PM

Thursday 6 PM to Friday 6 AM

Friday 6 AM to Friday 6 PM

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Bitterly cold air arrives on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.  Data this morning showed a bit warmer Friday night, with lows mainly in the teens.  Earlier data had shown single-digit numbers.  It will definitely turn cold.  It is just a matter of how cold.

Either way, expect bitterly cold air this coming weekend.  Wind chill (feels like) temperatures will be cold.

That could be cold enough to freeze pipes.  Areas that have had pipes freeze before will need to monitor the temperatures.  You may need to take precautions to keep your pipes from freezing.

Don’t forget to unscrew your water hose outside.  Then, cover it with something like this.

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Frostbite is a concern for those who work outside on Friday night and Saturday.  Don’t forget the gloves.

I am not tracking any significant storm systems yet.

I am watching December 20th through the 24th for a cold front or two.  Perhaps that will bring precipitation back to the region.

Here is what the GFS model shows.  A strong cold front.

The EC, however, is a weaker front.  Less precipitation.

It is too soon for an accurate forecast.  It is just something that I am watching.

It is becoming a bit dry in the area.  We could use some rain.

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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

NAM model  

Green is rain.  Blue is snow.  Pink, red, and purple are freezing rain and sleet.

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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

GFS model 

Green is rain.  Blue is snow.  Pink, red, and purple are freezing rain and sleet.

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 50 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 32 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 49 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 31 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.
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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool.   Click here.

College of DuPage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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