December 31, 2025: Calm and cool weather conditions.

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

December 31st through January 6th

Current risk: None

Current confidence level: High confidence.

Comments: None.

Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast? NO.

2. Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.

.3. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? NO.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.

5. Will the temperature fall below 20 degrees? NO.

6. Is the wind chill forecast to drop below ten degrees? NO.

7. Is accumulating snow or ice in the forecast? NO.

Here is the short-range thunderstorm concern meter.

Here is the extended concern meter.

We are in the green. No severe concerns.

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A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

Here is your bus stop forecast

No school. Holidays.

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This afternoon

No school. Holidays.

Forecast discussion

Cool temperatures. A slow warming trend this weekend.
A few showers over our southern counties on Friday. The system continues to trend southward. Rainfall totals, if any, will be under 0.10″.
Watching the long range for a few systems.

What is the primary weather concern?

The significant weather concerns today through Monday. Cool conditions. A slow warming trend into next week.

Isolated showers on Friday/Friday night. Rain totals will be light (if any).

Here were the 6 AM temperatures. Chilly.

Seven-day outlook graphic.

See the video or graphics below for more details specific to your county. This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.

Today through Thursday night

2025 was one of the most extreme years that I have experienced in our region.

Here is a summary of some of the more extreme weather events. The Paducah, Kentucky, NWS put this out.

Link https://www.weather.gov/pah/2025YearInReview

A record number of tornadoes, record hailstorms (some larger than softballs), record flooding, and severe drought.

Here were the 2025 tornadoes.

Our region was very active.

Double-click images to enlarge them.

Here were the tornadoes by state.

Illinois

Kentucky

Missouri

Tennessee

There are no significant weather concerns through Thursday.

Cool and calm weather.

Somewhat “not as cold” temperatures will arrive later this week.

Friday through Sunday

There will be a slow warming trend from Friday into Monday.

Friday highs

Saturday highs

Sunday

Monday

A weak weather system will bring some clouds to the region on Friday. For now, I kept rain chances around 20% to 30%.

The chance of rain is highest along the MO/AR and KY/TN border. In other words, my southern counties.

Rain chances will be lower as you travel north.

Let me show you the official rainfall probability maps.

Thursday 6 pm to Friday 6 am

Friday 6 am to Friday 6 pm

Friday night

.Rain totals on Friday/Friday night will likely remain below 0.10″.Not much and not enough. We are walking back into drought.

The long-range precipitation outlook, however, shows the potential for at least two events between the 8th and the 15th.

We need rain. Drought is developing.

These are all of the model ensembles through mid-January.

Each square is one model run. The more squares that agree, the higher the probability of that outcome.

The good news, for those needing precipitation, is that there is a strong signal for a couple of events.

These maps do not tell you what type of precipitation. Too soon to know that.

Too soon for specifics, but I am monitoring the trends.

The GFS model shows a couple of systems. Too soon to know the exact track or precipitation type.

I feel confident we will have a few systems in the long-range forecast.

Perhaps one around the 9th to 12th.

Another one follows it.

I will keep a close eye on them. I will know more over the coming days.

We are abnormally dry. Portions of the region are in drought.

We need rain.

Here are the latest drought monitor maps.

Double-click on the images to enlarge them.

Have a great day and a happy New Year!

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Blue is snow.

GFS model

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Blue is snow.

EC model

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 43 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 26 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 42 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 25 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

** NEW SERVICE ** I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning. It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Radars and Lightning Data

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Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.