Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

December 20, 2024: Cold into this weekend. Milder next week. Active pattern with multiple precipitation chances.

 

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Seven Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  MONITOR.   I will monitor Monday and Tuesday.  I am monitoring another system around the 27th and 28th.  Active pattern.

2.  Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  MONITOR.  I am watching a system around the 27th/28th.

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  NOT AT THIS TIME.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph?  NO.   

5. Will temperatures drop below 32 degrees?  YES.   Tonight, Friday night, Saturday night, and Sunday night.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees?  LOW CHANCE.  A chance tonight and tomorrow morning.

7.  Is measurable snow and/or sleet in the forecast?  LOW CHANCESome snow showers possible today over SE IL and NW KY.

8.  Is freezing rain/ice in the forecast? NO .

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Fire weather risk level.

Friday: 4. Low risk.
Friday night: 4. Low risk.
Saturday: 3. Very low risk.
Saturday night: 4. Low risk.

Fire Weather Discussion

A cold frontal passage during the pre-dawn hours today will bring in breezy northwesterly winds gusting to 25-30 mph. Flurries or light snow are possible in the northeast through the day today. Dry and cold conditions are forecast for the weekend as winds become light. Active weather is expected for the week ahead including rain chances Christmas Eve into Christmas Day.

A Haines Index of 6 means a high potential for an existing fire to become large or exhibit erratic fire behavior, 5 means medium potential, 4 means low potential, and anything less than 4 means very low potential.

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THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 

Scroll down to see your local forecast details.

Seven-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region.  Scroll down to see the region by region forecast.

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Beau’s Seven Day Video Outlook

 

48-hour forecast Graphics

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Today’s Local Almanacs (for a few select cities).  Your location will be comparable.

Note, the low is this morning’s low and not tomorrows.

The forecast temperature shows you today’s expected high and this morning’s low.

The graphic shows you the record high and record low for today. It shows you what  year that occurred, as well.

It then shows you what today’s average temperature is.

It shows you the departures (how may degrees above or below average temperatures will be ).

It shows you the average precipitation for today.  Average comes from thirty years of rain totals.

It also shows you the record rainfall for the date and what year that occurred.

The sunrise and sunset are also shown.



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Friday Forecast:   Partly to mostly sunny.  Cold.  A chance of snow showers near the Evansville tri-state area.  Gusty winds.
What is the chance of precipitation?

Far northern southeast Missouri  ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~  0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 20%
Southern Illinois ~ 10%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 10%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 10%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 10%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 20%
Northwest Tennessee ~  0%

Coverage of precipitation:  Isolated (our northeast counties)
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 34° to 38°
Southeast Missouri ~ 34° to 38°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40° to 42°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 34° to 38°

Southern Illinois ~ 34° to 38°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 36° to 40°
Far western Kentucky ~ 40° to 42°

The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 40° to 42°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 38° to 42°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40° to 42°

Winds will be from this direction:  North northwest wind 10 to 25 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 25° during the morning.  In the twenties during the afternoon.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? A few wet roadways where snow showers develop.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index:  2. Low.
Sunrise: 7:06 AM
Sunset: 4:41 PM
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Friday Night Forecast:   Partly cloudy.  Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri  ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%

Coverage of precipitation:  Isolated
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 18° to 22°
Southeast Missouri ~ 22° to 24°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 24° to 28°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 20° to 22°
Southern Illinois ~ 20° to 24°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 22° to 25°
Far western Kentucky ~ 22° to 25°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~26° to 28°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 22° to 24°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 24° to 28°

Winds will be from this direction: North at 10 to 20 mph.  Gusty over our eastern counties.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 12° to 20°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 10:17 PM
Moonset: 11:03 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Gibbous

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Saturday Forecast:  Partly to mostly sunny. Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri  ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~  0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~  0%

Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 36° to 40°
Southeast Missouri ~ 34° to 38°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40° to 42°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 34° to 38°

Southern Illinois ~ 34° to 38°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 36° to 40°
Far western Kentucky ~ 40° to 42°

The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 40° to 42°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 38° to 42°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40° to 42°

Winds will be from this direction:  North northeast 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 25° during the morning.  In the twenties during the afternoon.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index:  2. Low.
Sunrise: 7:06 AM
Sunset: 4:41 PM
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Saturday Night Forecast:  Mostly clear. Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri  ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%

Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 20° to 22°
Southeast Missouri ~ 22° to 24°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 24° to 28°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 20° to 22°
Southern Illinois ~ 20° to 24°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 22° to 25°
Far western Kentucky ~ 22° to 25°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~24° to 26°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 22° to 24°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 24° to 28°

Winds will be from this direction: North at 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 25°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 11:17 PM
Moonset: 11:26 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Gibbous

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Sunday Forecast:  Mostly sunny. Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri  ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~  0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~  0%

Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 40° to 44°
Southeast Missouri ~ 40° to 44°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 42° to 45°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 40° to 44°

Southern Illinois ~ 40° to 44°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 40° to 44°
Far western Kentucky ~ 40° to 44°

The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 40° to 44°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 40° to 44°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 42° to 45°

Winds will be from this direction:  Southeast 7 to 14 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 25° during the morning.  In the twenties and thirties during the afternoon.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index:  2. Low.
Sunrise: 7:07 AM
Sunset: 4:42 PM
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Sunday Night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri  ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%

Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 24° to 28°
Southeast Missouri ~ 25° to 30°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 30° to 34°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~  24° to 28°
Southern Illinois ~  26° to 28°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 25° to 30°
Far western Kentucky ~ 26° to 30°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~26° to 30°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 25° to 30°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 28° to 32°

Winds will be from this direction: South southeast at 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 30°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise:
Moonset: 11:47 AM
The phase of the moon:  Last Quarter

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Monday Forecast:  Increasing clouds. A slight chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation?

Far northern southeast Missouri  ~ 30%
Southeast Missouri ~  20%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 10%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 30%
Southern Illinois ~ 20%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 10%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 10%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 10%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 10%
Northwest Tennessee ~  10%

Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the precipitation: After 12 pm
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 44° to 46°
Southeast Missouri ~ 44° to 48°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 46° to 50°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 42° to 45°

Southern Illinois ~ 44° to 46°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 46° to 50°
Far western Kentucky ~ 46° to 50°

The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 46° to 50°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 44° to 48°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 46° to 50°

Winds will be from this direction:  South 7 to 14 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 30° during the morning.  In the thirties and forties during the afternoon.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index: 1. Low.
Sunrise: 7:07 AM
Sunset: 4:42 PM
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Monday Night Forecast:  Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation?

Far northern southeast Missouri  ~ 70%
Southeast Missouri ~ 70%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 60%
Southern Illinois ~ 60%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 60%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 40%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 30%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 40%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 30%

Coverage of precipitation:   Scattered
Timing of the precipitation:  Any given point of time
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 40° to 44°
Southeast Missouri ~ 40° to 44°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40° to 44°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 40° to 44°
Southern Illinois ~ 40° to 44°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 40° to 44°
Far western Kentucky ~ 40° to 44°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~40° to 44°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 40° to 44°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40° to 44°

Winds will be from this direction: South at 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 35° to 40°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.
Moonrise: 12:14 AM
Moonset: 12:09 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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A wet Christmas Eve.

Tuesday Forecast:  Mostly cloudy. Showers likely.
What is the chance of precipitation?


Far northern southeast Missouri  ~ 70%
Southeast Missouri ~  70%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 70%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 60%
Southern Illinois ~ 70%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 70%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 70%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 60%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 60%
Northwest Tennessee ~  60%

Coverage of precipitation:  Numerous
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 48° to 52°
Southeast Missouri ~ 48° to 52°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 50° to 52°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 48° to 52°

Southern Illinois ~  48° to 52°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 48° to 52°
Far western Kentucky ~ 48° to 52°

The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 48° to 52°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 48° to 52°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 50° to 52°

Winds will be from this direction:  South 8 to 16 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 40° to 50°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Have a plan B and monitor updates and the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index:  1. Low.
Sunrise: 7:07 AM
Sunset: 4:43 PM
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Tuesday Night Forecast:  Mostly cloudy. Rain likely.
What is the chance of precipitation?

Far northern southeast Missouri  ~ 60%
Southeast Missouri ~ 60%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 60%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 60%
Southern Illinois ~ 60%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 60%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 60%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 60%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 60%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 70%

Coverage of precipitation:  Numerous
Timing of the precipitation:   Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 40° to 44°
Southeast Missouri ~ 40° to 44°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 43° to 46°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 40° to 44°
Southern Illinois ~ 42° to 45°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 42° to 45°
Far western Kentucky ~ 42° to 45°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~44° to 46°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 42° to 44°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 44° to 46°

Winds will be from this direction: Southeast at 7 to 14 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 35° to 40°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor updates.
Moonrise: 1:11 AM
Moonset: 12:23 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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Wednesday Forecast:  Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.  There remain questions about Wednesday’s rain coverage.
What is the chance of precipitation?Far northern southeast Missouri  ~ 40%
Southeast Missouri ~  40%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 40%
Southern Illinois ~ 40%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 60%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 60%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 60%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 40%
Northwest Tennessee ~  60%

Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 50° to 55°
Southeast Missouri ~ 50° to 55°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 50° to 55°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 50° to 55°

Southern Illinois ~  50° to 55°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 50° to 55°
Far western Kentucky ~  50° to 55°

The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 50° to 55°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 50° to 55°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 50° to 55°

Winds will be from this direction:  East southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 55°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor updates and the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index:  1. Low.
Sunrise: 7:08 AM
Sunset: 4:44 PM
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Wednesday Night Forecast:  Mostly cloudy.  A slight chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri  ~ 20%
Southeast Missouri ~ 20%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 20%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 20%
Southern Illinois ~ 20%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 20%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 20%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~  20%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 20%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 20%

Coverage of precipitation:  Widely scattered
Timing of the precipitation:  During the evening hours.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 40° to 44°
Southeast Missouri ~ 42° to 44°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 46° to 50°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 40° to 44°
Southern Illinois ~ 42° to 45°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 44° to 48°
Far western Kentucky ~ 44° to 48°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~46° to 50°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 42° to 44°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 46° to 50°

Winds will be from this direction: Southeast at 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 38° to 44°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 2:16 AM
Moonset: 12:53 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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Weather Highlights and Forecast Discussion

    1.   Cold temperatures into the weekend.
    2.   Flurry chances  today (northeast counties).
    3.   Warming trend begins Monday into much of next week.
    4.   Watching several systems the week of Christmas into the following week.  Active pattern with multiple chances of precipitation.

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Beau’s Forecast Discussion

Good morning, everyone.  Welcome to the weekend!  Christmas is right around the corner.

We are waking up to chilly temperatures, but nothing extreme.  It will remain cold into the weekend.

A calm forecast through Sunday night.

We do have a fast moving clipper system moving through the Ohio Valley today.  This will bring some clouds.  It could bring a few snow showers to southeast Illinois and northwest Kentucky today.

You can see that on this morning’s 7 AM radar

At most a dusting on mainly grassy and elevated surfaces.  It is just as possible that there is little or no accumulation.

It will be cold today through Sunday.

Highs this weekend will only be in the 30s.  Brrr.  Lows in the teens and twenties.

Gusty winds tonight into Friday night.  Occasional gusts above 30 mph.  This is going to make it feel even colder.

Check out these wind chill maps.  Not extreme, but certainly cold.  Heavy coat type weather.

Noon today  wind chill values.


Saturday morning wind chill values


Sunday morning wind chill values.


Plenty chilly for the weekend before Christmas.

A slow warming trend will begin Monday ahead of our next storm system.

We could even have a few light showers on Monday.  The higher rain probabilities will arrive Monday night into Wednesday.  Peak chances Monday night into Tuesday night.

Christmas Eve will be damp.  Plan on showers. A rumble of thunder possible, but no severe thunderstorms.  Thankfully.

There remain questions about Christmas Day.  Rain may linger in the region.   Some data shows the rain coming to an end by Christmas morning.  I will monitor it.  For now, plan on a few showers.

I am watching another system around the 27th and 28th.  That one could bring some thunderstorms, but it is way too early to know if severe weather will be a concern.

There are two more systems after that one.  Whether one of those taps into colder air will need to be monitored.

There are signals for two solid cold shots in January.  Whether the cold mixes with precipitation is unknown.  It is an active pattern.  Monitor updates as we move deeper into winter.  As always, I will be tracking each system.

Here is the official rainfall outlook through Christmas morning.   A widespread 0.30″ to 0.60″ with higher totals possible over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois.  This does not include any additional rain that might fall on Christmas Day.

Double click images to enlarge them.


I continue to watch a couple of solid cold shots in January.  Perhaps some winter weather with those?  I will be monitoring.

 

Time stamp is in Zulu.  00z=6 pm.  06z=12 am.  12z=6 am.  18z=12 pm.

The Hrrr model

Double click images and animations to enlarge them.

Nothing of importance in the short range.

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Here is the NAM model.

Nothing of importance in the short range.

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Let’s look farther out.  The Monday and Wednesday systems.

GFS model

Time stamp is in Zulu.  00z=6 pm.  06z=12 am.  12z=6 am.  18z=12 pm.

 

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EC model

Time stamp is in Zulu.  00z=6 pm.  06z=12 am.  12z=6 am.  18z=12 pm.

 


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This outlook covers southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and far northwest Tennessee.

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Today’s Storm Prediction Center’s (SPC) Severe Weather Outlook

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter or larger size hail, and/or a tornado.

Explanation of tables.  Click here.

Day One Severe Weather Outlook

Day One Severe Weather Outlook.  Zoomed in on our region.

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Day One Tornado Probability Outlook

Day One Regional Tornado Outlook.  Zoomed in on our region.

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Day One Large Hail Probability Outlook

Day One Regional Hail Outlook.  Zoomed in on our region.

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Day One High wind Probability Outlook

Day One Regional Wind Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.  Day two outlook.

Day Two Outlook.  Zoomed in on our region.

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Day Three Severe Weather Outlook

 

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The images below are from NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center.

24-hour precipitation outlook..
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 45 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 30 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 45 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 28 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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2016-11-19_11-50-24

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