Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

The only weather concerns through Tuesday night will be today’s cold temperatures.

Temperatures will remain well below seasonal averages.

Tuesday will be a bit warmer.  You can expect widespread 40s across the region!  That will feel great after our single-digit readings.

No precipitation through Tuesday night.

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Wednesday through Friday

Temperatures will pop above average on Wednedsay and Thursday.  That is the good news.

It is possible that high temperatures are reached early in the day on Thursday (for some).  A cold front will sweep across the region on Thursday with falling temperatures behind it.

It is just a matter of how fast the front moves across the region.

Time stamp at the top of the animation.

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

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Here are the highs for Wednesday

Here are the highs for Thursday

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The front will be accompanied by scattered showers and thunderstorms.

The bulk of the rain will fall on Wednesday night and Thursday.  Perhaps lingering into Thursday evening.

The rain should end before colder air arrives on Thursday night.  Perhaps a flurry here and there late Thursday night, but no impacts.

At this time, it does not appear that dewpoints will be high enough for severe thunderstorms.

Severe weather is not anticipated at this time.  I will keep a close eye on it.  At most, a few of the storms could produce gusty winds.

Speaking of gusty winds.

It will be a bit windy on Thursday.  A deep area of low pressure will pass to our north.  This will produce a tight pressure gradient.  That equals gusty winds in general. Mainly in the 15 to 25 mph range.  Occasionally, higher gusts.

Let’s look at rain totals.  This will fall on Wednesday night into Thursday afternoon.

Double-click the image to enlarge it.

Rainfall totals over Missouri and Illinois will mainly range from 0.10″ to 0.30″.  Rainfall totals over Kentucky and Tennessee will range from 0.30″ to 0.60″.  Locally higher in thunderstorms.

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Friday through Sunday

It will turn colder on Friday.

Highs will be in the 30s and 40s.

Double-click the image to enlarge it.

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Friday will be dry.

Temperatures will warm into the fifties on Saturday and Sunday.

There will be a chance of a few showers on Saturday and Sunday.  For now, I kept the chances low.  I will monitor trends over the coming days.

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Christmas Eve and Christmas Day

At this time, both Christmas Eve and Christmas Day will deliver average to above-average temperatures.

You can see that in the ensembles.

The more squares that agree, the higher the confidence in the final forecast.

Red and deep red indicate above-average temperatures.

As you can see, the vast majority of squares indicate above-average temperatures.

There could be some showers around Christmas.  Right now, the signal for a bigger system is not there.

No significant snow or ice in the forecast.

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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

GFS model 

Green is rain.  Blue is snow.  Pink, red, and purple are freezing rain and sleet.

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 50 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 32 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 49 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 31 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

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You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

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Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
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Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

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I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.

Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson

Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live.  I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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