Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

Noon graphic update

Snow has arrived in St Louis.  Portions of southeast Missouri and northern portions of southern Illinois are reporting snow, as well.

St Louis photo

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Updated graphics

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❄️ Don’t forget, our LOCAL CITY-VIEW RADARS have a special winterize button above them. ❄️

This shows you the precipitation type.

Beau Dodson Weather Radars

There are several backup sites for those local city-view radars. Links below.

Beau’s Weather Radars (local interactive radars)
https://beaudodsonweather.com/weather-radars/

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
Or
https://beaudodsonweather.com/weather-radars-legacy/

Backup radar site (in case the other sites are temporarily down)
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

Zoom National Interactive Radar
https://wtalk.co/AVWG7GM7

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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page.  Link to those threads CLICK HERE

Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

December 1st through December 7th.

Current risk:  NONE

Current confidence level: High confidence.

Comments:    

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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  NO.

2.  Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.

.3. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? NO.     

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph?  NO.    

5. Will the temperature fall below 20 degrees?  POSSIBLE.  Some counties will fall below 20 degrees Tuesday night through Thursday night.

6. Is the wind chill forecast to drop below ten degrees?  NO.

7.  Is accumulating snow or ice in the forecast?  YES.   A light wintry mix is likely later this afternoon and tonight.  Another chance on Thursday night and Friday.

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Here is the short-range concern meter.

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Here is the extended concern meter.

No severe weather concerns.

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A quick forecast glance.  Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

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Here is your bus stop forecast.

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This afternoon

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Forecast discussion

•   Cold week ahead of us.
•   A light wintry mix later today and tonight.  There could be some slick spots on surfaces and roadways.
•   Don’t be surprised if some areas receive very little precipitation.  That is the forecast.
•   Another weak system arrives on Thursday night and Friday.

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Good morning, everyone.

We are waking up to cold temperatures.  The entire week is going to be chilly with below average temperatures.

A fast-moving weak system will bring a mixture of rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow to the region late this afternoon and especially tonight and tomorrow.

This event won’t bring much in the way of accumulation, but a few spots could receive an inch or two of snow.  Other areas will have a glaze of sleet and freezing rain.

Do not be surprised if some areas receive little in the way of measurable precipitation.  This is not a big event.

Let’s look  at some totals.

This won’t be exact, of course.  Take the general idea from it.

Freezing rain totals

Snow totals

Sleet totals

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Rain may linger a bit longer along the Kentucky/Tennessee border.  Then, with time, it will change to a mix there, as well.

Officially, the NWS has issued a winter weather advisory for portions of the region.  This is where confidence is a bit higher that there will be impacts.

Watch sidewalks, decks, porches, and elevated surfaces.  They will freeze before other surfaces.  Watch your first step.  It could be a slick one.

Historically, these light events actually produce more traffic accidents.

The precipitation will move out of the region by Tuesday morning.  Perhaps some lingering freezing drizzle in some spots.

Tuesday night will be dry and cold.

Let’s look at a few NWS graphics

Double-click images to enlarge them.

This is from the Memphis, Tennessee, NWS.  This shows you the Bootheel and  northwest Tennessee advisory

These graphics are from the Paducah, Kentucky, NWS

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Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Hrrr model  

Green is rain.  Blue is snow.  Pink, red, and purple are freezing rain and sleet.

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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

NAM 3K model 

Green is rain.  Blue is snow.  Pink, red, and purple are freezing rain and sleet.

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 60 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 40 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 58 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 38 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF

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I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.

Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson

Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live.  I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.

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