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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page. Link to those threads CLICK HERE
Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com
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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
August 7th through August 13th
Current risk: NONE.
Current confidence level: High confidence in the forecast.
Comments: We are not anticipating tornadoes.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? ISOLATED. A small chance of lightning through Sunday. Scattered lightning is possible from Monday through Thursday.
2. Are organized severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO. Thunderstorms, during the summer months, can produce isolated gusty winds. Organized severe weather is not anticipated.
3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NO. Slow-moving summer storms can produce isolated torrential downpours that can briefly flood ditches and roadways. Organized or widespread flash flooding is not anticipated.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees? LIKELY. Today through at least Tuesday. Perhaps beyond Tuesday.
6. Will temperatures rise above 100 degrees? NO.
7. Will the heat index (feels like) rise above 100 degrees? NOT AT THIS TIME. It is possible we flirt with 100 next week (depending on the placement of a cold front).
8. Will the heat index rise above 115 degrees? NO.
Here is my concern meter through Friday. No significant concerns.
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Here is the extended concern meter outlook. This takes us through next Wednesday. Extreme weather is not anticipated.
Keep in mind that typical August/summer thunderstorms can produce isolated heavy rain, lightning, and gusty winds.
.A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics
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This afternoon
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Forecast discussion.
- More warm and humid weather ahead. Typical August weather. No extremes.
- An isolated shower or thunderstorm will be possible through Saturday. Most areas will remain dry.
- The chance of showers and thunderstorms will be low today through Sunday.
- Scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Monday through Thursday.
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Good morning, everyone. I hope you are having a nice week.
Yesterday was warm and humid. There were one or two showers in the region, but the vast majority of the area was dry.
Today will be a repeat. Warm and humid. The dog days of summer?
We do have some patchy dense fog in the area this morning. Use care.
The closest rain was in southeast Iowa. That was moving southeast, but is forecast to weaken with time.
We will have a relatively stagnant weather pattern through next Monday. I can’t rule out an isolated heat-of-the-day pop-up storm, but the vast majority of the region will remain dry.
Currently, I have a 20% to 30% chance of storms from Sunday through Thursday. We will see if one of those days trends higher with probabilities.
At this time, it appears the highest chance of precipitation will be on Tuesday and Wednesday.
It will be warm this week. Temperatures will range from the upper eighties to the lower nineties for daytime highs. And around seventy degrees for overnight lows. We are not going back to the extreme numbers we saw over the last two weeks. Thankfully.
It will be a bit humid, at times. Typical August weather. Summer isn’t over, quite yet!
The extended EC model output shows warm weather ahead of us. A lot of upper 80s to lower 90s in the charts.
The GFS model, not shown here, has middle to upper 90s. That seems a bit hot to me, but I will monitor trends.
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Here is my mugmometer. How muggy will it feel?
Remember, dew point is what controls how humid it feels outside. It will be a bit more humid/sticky as we move through the week, but nothing extreme.
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No tropical storm or hurricane threats in our region through the next ten days.
I will keep an eye on mid to late August for a higher risk of tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico. For now, nothing of concern.
Have a super Wednesday!
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
NAM 3K model
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Hrrr model
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather
Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?
Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account
You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.
Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)
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Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.
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Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)
GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF
I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.
Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson
Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live. I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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We do have some sponsors! Check them out.
Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here
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⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/
Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.
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The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
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The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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