Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

August 4th 2021. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATON TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.

 

48-hour forecast



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Wednesday to Wednesday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Monitor.  Chances of lightning are low through Sunday.  I can’t rule out some isolated heat of the day thunderstorms Sunday into Wednesday.  For now, chances appear 20% or less.  Monitor updates in case the % needs to be increased next week.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? Not at this time.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Not at this time.

4. Will the heat index top 100 degrees?  Yes.  Sunday into much of next week.

5. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees above zero? No.

6. Will there be accumulating snow and ice in the forecast?  No.

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August 4th, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  High confidence
Wednesday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Some afternoon cumulus clouds. Some haze and smoke.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of  South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 84°  /  SE MO 82° to 84° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 82° to 84° /  the rest of South IL 82° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 84°  /  West KY  82° to 84° /  NW TN 82° to 84°
Wind direction and speed: Northeast 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:03 AM
Sunset: 8:00 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Pleasant.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /   the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 62° /  the rest of SE MO 58° to 62° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 58° to 62° /  the rest of South IL  58° to 62° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 58° to 62° /  West KY 60° to 62° /  NW TN 60° to 62°
Wind direction and speed:  North 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 62°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
Moonrise: 2:11 AM
Moonset:  5:27 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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August 5th, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  High confidence
Thursday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 83° to 86°  /  the rest of SE MO 82° to 85° /  I-64 Corridor of South IL 82° to 84° /  the rest of South IL 82° to 85°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 84°  /  West KY  82° to 85° /  NW TN 83° to 86°
Wind direction and speed: Becoming south at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 86°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:03 AM
Sunset: 7:59 PM
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Thursday night Forecast:  A few clouds.  Mild.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /   the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 05
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 65° /  the rest of SE MO 62° to 65° /  I-64 Corridor of South IL 62° to 64° /  the rest of South IL  62° to 65° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 62° to 65° /  West KY 62° to 64° /  NW TN 63° to 66°
Wind direction and speed: From the south at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 65°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.  Monitor radars.
Moonrise: 2:58 AM
Moonset:  6:20 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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August 6th, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Friday Forecast:  Partly to mostly sunny.  It now appears Friday will be dry.  I will monitor a weak system approaching from the northwest.   Any precipitation, would be isolated.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none
Timing of the rain: If a storm were to pop up, it would be during the PM hours.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 84° to 88°  /  the rest of SE MO 84° to 88° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 84° to 88° /  the rest of South IL 84° to 88°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 84° to 88°  /  West KY  84° to 88° /  NW TN 84° to 88°
Wind direction and speed:  From the southwest at 5 to 10 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 84° to 88°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Most likely none
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:04 AM
Sunset: 7:58 PM
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Friday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.   A bit warmer.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 65° to 70° /  the rest of SE MO 64° to 68° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 63° to 66° /  the rest of South IL  64° to 68° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 63° to 66° /  West KY 64° to 68° /  NW TN 65° to 70°
Wind direction and speed: Southwest at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 64° to 68°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Moonrise: 3:51 AM
Moonset:   7:09 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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August 7th, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Saturday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /   the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 90°  /  the rest of SE MO 86° to 90° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 86° to 90° /  the rest of South IL 88° to 90°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 85° to 90°  /  West KY  88° to 90° /  NW TN 88° to 92°
Wind direction and speed: Southerly at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 86° to 92°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:05 AM
Sunset: 7:56 PM
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Saturday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /   the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 72° /  SE MO 68° to 72° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 68° to 72° /  South IL  68° to 72° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 68° to 72° /  West KY 68° to 72° /  NW TN 68° to 72°
Wind direction and speed: Southerly at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 66° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
Moonrise: 4:51 AM
Moonset:   7:52 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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August 8th, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Sunday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.   A slight chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% / the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: During the afternoon
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 90° to 94°  /  SE MO 90° to 94° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 90° to 94° /  South IL 90° to 94°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 90° to 94°  /  West KY  90° to 94° /  NW TN 90° to 94°
Wind direction and speed: From the south at 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 90° to 100°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None for most.  Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:06 AM
Sunset: 7:55 PM
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Sunday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 73° to 76° /  SE MO 73° to 76° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 73° to 76° /  South IL  73° to 76° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 73° to 76° /  West KY 73° to 76° /  NW TN 73° to 76°
Wind direction and speed: From the south southwest at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 74° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
Moonrise: 5:54 AM
Moonset:   8:30 PM
The phase of the moon:  New

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August 9th, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Monday Forecast:   Mostly sunny.  Hot and humid.  Isolated thunderstorms possible during the afternoon.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Mainly during the PM hours.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 92° to 94°  /  SE MO 92° to 94° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 92° to 94° /  South IL 92° to 94°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 92° to 94°  /  West KY  92° to 94° /  NW TN 92° to 94°
Wind direction and speed: From the southwest at 6 to 12 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 98° to 104°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.  Monitor updates.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:07 AM
Sunset: 7:54 PM
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Monday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Warm and humid.  An isolated evening thunderstorm possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /    South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:  Isolated during the evening
Timing of the rain:  Before 10 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 72° to 75° /  SE MO 72° to 75° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 72° to 75° /  South IL  72° to 75° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 72° to 75° /  West KY 72° to 75° /  NW TN 672° to 75°
Wind direction and speed: Southwest at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 72° to 75°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None for most.  Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 7:00 AM
Moonset:   9:02 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Crescent

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August 10th, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Tuesday Forecast:   Mostly sunny.  Hot and humid.  Isolated thunderstorms possible during the afternoon.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Mainly during the PM hours.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 92° to 94°  /  SE MO 92° to 94° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 92° to 94° /  South IL 92° to 94°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 92° to 94°  /  West KY  92° to 94° /  NW TN 92° to 94°
Wind direction and speed: From the southwest at 6 to 12 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 104° to 108°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.  Monitor updates.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:08 AM
Sunset: 7:53 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Warm and humid.  An isolated evening thunderstorm possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /    South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:  Isolated during the evening
Timing of the rain:  Before 10 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 72° to 75° /  SE MO 72° to 75° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 72° to 75° /  South IL  72° to 75° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 72° to 75° /  West KY 72° to 75° /  NW TN 672° to 75°
Wind direction and speed: Southwest at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 72° to 75°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None for most.  Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 8:06 AM
Moonset:   9:32 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Crescent

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August 11th, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Wednesday Forecast:   Mostly sunny.  Hot and humid.  Isolated thunderstorms possible during the afternoon.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered
Timing of the rain: Mainly during the PM hours.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 92° to 95°  /  SE MO 92° to 95° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 92° to 95° /  South IL 92° to 95°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 92° to 95°  /  West KY  92° to 95° /  NW TN 92° to 95°
Wind direction and speed: From the southwest at 6 to 12 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 104° to 108°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.  Monitor updates.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:09 AM
Sunset: 7:52 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Warm and humid.  A shower or thunderstorm will be possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /    South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered
Timing of the rain:  Before 11 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 72° to 75° /  SE MO 72° to 75° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 72° to 75° /  South IL  72° to 75° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 72° to 75° /  West KY 72° to 75° /  NW TN 672° to 75°
Wind direction and speed: Southwest at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 72° to 75°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Scattered wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No,  Monitor updates.
Moonrise: 9:12 AM
Moonset:   10:01 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Crescent

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These graphics are changed out between 10:00 AM and 11:00 AM (Monday through Friday only)

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

Double click the images to enlarge them.

Agriculture outlook from the University of Kentucky.

Double click the image to enlarge it.

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Temperature and heat index/livestock heat-stress.

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Temperature, humidity, and dew point.  Remember, dew point is what makes it feel muggy outside.  Dew points in the 70s are oppressive.

 

Double click these graphics to enlarge them.  These five graphics are from Wednesday.

 

 


Graphic-cast

Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

Illinois

Check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.  These are auto-generated.  My actual forecast may vary from these.

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Kentucky

Check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.  These are auto-generated.  My actual forecast may vary from these.


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.Tennessee

Check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.  These are auto-generated.  My actual forecast may vary from these.


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Today through August 7th:  Severe weather is not anticipated.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

 

    1.   Nice today into Friday.
    2.   Some clouds, haze, and smoke from time to time.
    3.   Heat returns late weekend into next week.
    4.   Monitoring thunderstorm chances in the long-range.

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Weather advice:

Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages.  We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner.  Thus, we made the app.  See links at the bottom of the page.

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Weather Discussion

Not a lot to talk about in the weather department.  Not that that is a bad thing, for the most part.

Some of us still need rain.  Most of us do not need rain.  It is a bit of a mixed bag.

Portions of Massac County are quite dry.  They missed a lot of the rain during the last two weeks of July.  Meanwhile, other areas area soggy.  Feast or famine summer showers and thunderstorms.

Unfortunately, I don’t have widespread rain in the short-term forecast for those who need it.

I can’t rule out a stray shower or thunderstorm Friday into Sunday.  For the most part, however, most of my forecast counties will remain dry.

There will also be a slow warming trend.  Still, it will be nice today and tomorrow.  Highs in the 80s vs 90s.  We will take that.

A slow warming trend is, however, underway.  Whether you have noticed it yet, or not.

Highs by Friday, Saturday, and Sunday will pop back to around or above 90 degrees.  Dew points will be on the rise, as well.

Dew points control how muggy it feels outside.  Higher dew points combined with higher temperatures equal high heat index values.

Heat index values above 100 will likely return by Sunday and Monday.  That will carry us through much of next week.

I am watching multiple disturbances next Monday through Friday.  It is possible that some of those help pop thunderstorms.  The GFS and EC model show at least a chance of showers/storms next week.  The question will be coverage.  Will it be above 30% numbers of below.

If an MCS forms (a complex of thunderstorms) then out chances for widespread showers and thunderstorms would increase.  For at least a portion of the region.  Let’s keep an eye on that.  Otherwise, we are facing a hot summer week of weather as we pull into next week.

Here are the forecasted heat index numbers Sunday onward.   Remember, your body only cares about the heat index.  That is what your physical body responds to.

Sunday

Those cooler patches are where this model believes thunderstorms may form.

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

Taking a look back at July.  Here are some of the statistics.

It was certainly wet in many others!


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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
  3. The EC European weather model is in Zulu time.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

No rain on the models

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

No rain on the models

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

No rain on the models

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

No rain on the models

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Longer range GFS

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Long range

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers August 4th through August 10th

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.30″
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This outlook covers August 10th through August 16th

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

 

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.80″ to 2.10″

This outlook covers August 17th through August 30th

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Precipitation outlook

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Temperature departures

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

August Temperature Outlook

August precipitation outlook

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Preliminary outlooks

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

September Temperature Outlook

September precipitation outlook

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Summer Outlook

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

June, July, and August Temperature Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

June, July, and August Precipitation Outlook

 

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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2016-11-19_11-50-24

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