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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog.
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This forecast covers the counties in red.
This forecast covers the counties in red.
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New! Video page on the main Weather Talk web-site.
I am posting videos each day on the WeatherTalk website.
The videos can be found under the BeauCast tab. Click here.
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I am giving away a MIDLAND NOAA WEATHER RADIO. The Midland 300 model.
Link to enter – click here
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What impact is expected? Lightning and wet roadways. Heavy downpours. Gusty winds near storms.
Temperatures: Lows in the 70-74 degree range
Winds: Winds Northeast and east at 3-6 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 50%. IL ~ 50%. KY~ 60% . TN ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to numerous
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars.
.August 27, 2016
Saturday – Partly cloudy. Warm and muggy. A 30% chance for showers and thunderstorms.
What impact is expected? Lightning and wet roadways.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 88-94 degree range.
Winds: East and southeast winds at 6-12 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 30%. IL ~ 30%. KY~ 30% . TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely. Isolated gusty winds with the strongest storms.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars.
Sunrise will be at 6:22 a.m. and sunset will be at 7:28 p.m.
UV index will be 4-8. Medium. We will need to monitor cloud cover. UV index would be higher if we have less clouds.
Moonrise will be at 1:42 a.m. and moonset will be at 4:05 p.m. Waning crescent.
Saturday Night – Partly cloudy. Warm. A shower or storm possible.
What impact is expected? Lightning and wet roadways.
Temperatures: Lows in the 72-75 degree range
Winds: Winds east/southeast at 2-4 mph. Winds variable at times in direction.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 30%. IL ~ 30%. KY~ 30% . TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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August 28, 2016
Sunday – Partly cloudy. Hot and humid. Isolated storm or shower possible.
What impact is expected? Lightning and wet roadways.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 88-94 degree range. Heat index 96 to 102 degrees.
Winds: Variable winds at 7-14 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 30%. IL ~ 30%. KY~ 30% . TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation? Isolated
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars
Sunrise will be at 6:23 a.m. and sunset will be at 7:27 p.m.
UV index will be 8-10. Probably high.
Moonrise will be at 2:38 a.m. and moonset will be at 5:00 p.m. Waning crescent
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Sunday Night – Partly cloudy. An isolated storm possible.
What impact is expected? Small chance for lightning during the evening.
Temperatures: Lows in the 72-75 degree range
Winds: Winds east at 3-6 mph. Variable winds at times.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 20%. IL ~ 20%. KY~ 20% . TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments to the forecast might be necessary.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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August 29, 2016
Monday – Partly cloudy. Warm and humid. An isolated thunderstorm possible.
What impact is expected? Lightning and wet roadways.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 88-94 degree range. Heat index 96-102.
Winds: East and southeast winds at 5-10 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 30%. IL ~ 30%. KY~ 30% . TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation? Isolated
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible in the forecast.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 6:24 a.m. and sunset will be at 7:24 p.m.
UV index will be 8-10. High. Unsure about cloud cover.
Moonrise will be at 3:38 a.m. and moonset will be at 5:46 p.m. Waning crescent
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Monday Night – Partly cloudy. Warm. Humid. An isolated thunderstorm possible.
What impact is expected? Perhaps isolated lightning and wet roadways.
Temperatures: Lows in the 72-75 degree range
Winds: Winds east and southeast at 3-6 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 20%. IL ~ 20%. KY~ 20% . TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible in the forecast.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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August 30, 2016
Tuesday – Partly cloudy. Warm and humid. An isolated thunderstorm possible.
What impact is expected? Lightning and wet roadways.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 88-94 degree range. Heat index 96-102 degrees.
Winds: South winds at 5-10 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 30%. IL ~ 30%. KY~ 30% . TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation? Isolated
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible in the forecast.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 6:24 a.m. and sunset will be at 7:24 p.m.
UV index will be 8-10. High. Unsure about cloud cover.
Moonrise will be at 4:38 a.m. and moonset will be at 6:27 p.m. Waning crescent
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Tuesday Night – Partly cloudy. Warm and humid. An isolated thunderstorm possible.
What impact is expected? Perhaps isolated lightning and wet roadways.
Temperatures: Lows in the 72-75 degree range
Winds: Winds south at 3-6 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 20%. IL ~ 20%. KY~ 20% . TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated to perhaps scattered
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible in the forecast.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
.More information on the UV index. Click here.
The School Bus Stop Forecast is sponsored by Heath Health and Wellness. Located next to Crowell Pools in Lone Oak, Kentucky.
Visit their web-site here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!
Heath Health Foods is a locally owned and operated retail health and wellness store. Since opening in February 2006; the store has continued to grow as a ministry with an expanding inventory which also offers wellness appointments and services along with educational opportunities. Visit their web-site here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!
The weekend forecast is sponsored by Farmer and Company Real Estate.
Farmer & Company Real Estate is proud to represent buyers and sellers in both Southern Illinois and Western Kentucky. With 13 licensed brokers, we can provide years of experience to buyers & sellers of homes, land & farms and commercial & investment properties. We look forward to representing YOU! Follow us on Facebook, as well
The weekend forecast is sponsored by Farmer and Company Real Estate. Click here to visit their site.
Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming days…
- A few scattered storms possible
- Summer like air. Hot and muggy.
- Watching the tropics.
We will have a summer air-mass over our region through early next week. Daily highs into the upper 80’s and lower 90’s Heat index values will peak in the 95-105 degree range. Light winds into early next week, as well.Friday night football games may have to deal with a few storms dotting radar. Scattered, at best.
It will be very warm and muggy for those playing the game. Heat exhaustion is certainly a possibility.
A ridge of high pressure will dominate our weather into early next week. Yes, there could be some spotty storms sprinkled over the region. The best chance for rain will be on Saturday and Saturday afternoon. That will occur as a weak disturbance moves through the area. Locally heavy rain and lightning will be the main concern.
Severe weather is not anticipated. If you have an outdoor event then monitor radars. Lightning would be the main concern. I would not cancel any outdoor activities. I would, however, check radars from time to time.
I continue to watch the tropics. A system MAY move into the Gulf of Mexico next week. Where it comes ashore is unknown. Too far out for certainty. The system has not even developed, yet. I do believe it will develop near the Florida coast.
How much rain is forecast to fall through early next week?
This is broad-brushed. Totals will vary based on thunderstorm placement. Stronger storms can produce a quick one inch of rain.
Saturday morning low temperature map
Saturday afternoon high temperature map
Sunday morning low temperatures
Sunday afternoon high temperatures
I will keep the Beau Dodson Weather Facebook page updated, Beau Dodson on Twitter, and the texts. Don’t forget if you want to receive links to the daily blog and Facebook updates to check box number four on the texting site. That is the one used for non-severe days.
Storm Tracking Radar
We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not seem to be updating then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here —
We also have a new national interactive radar – you can view that radar by clicking here.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky – these are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
Live Lightning Data – zoom and pan: Click here
Live Lightning Data with sound (click the sound button on the left side of the page): Click here
Can we expect severe thunderstorms over the next 24 to 48 hours? Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
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Friday night and Saturday: Some thunderstorms are possible. Severe weather is not anticipated. A few storms could produce gusty winds. Locally heavy downpours and lightning, as always.
Saturday night into Tuesday: A few scattered/isolated storms possible. Locally heavy rain and lightning will be the main concern.
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No major changes in this update.
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No major concerns.
A few storms over the coming days. Lightning would be the main concern for outdoor events.
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Monitor radars if you have outdoor plans. A few storms will be possible into early next week.
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Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
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Here is the official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).
The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA).
The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 37 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology from Mississippi State University and an Associate of Science (AS). I am currently working on my Bachelor’s Degree in Geoscience.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, and the blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross. In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
Many of my graphics are from www.weatherbell.com – a great resource for weather data, model data, and more
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions.
