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Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section.
Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.
This is a blend for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.
The live severe weather blog has been activated.
Link https://wtalk.co/AB6AUKWQ
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Wednesday through Wednesday
The live severe weather blog has been activated.
Link https://wtalk.co/AB6AUKWQ
1. Is lightning in the forecast? Yes. Lightning is possible Wednesday through Tuesday.
2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? Yes. The remnants of Laura will move into our region Friday and Saturday. Tornadoes will be possible in the right front quadrant of Laura. That appears to include our area. The greatest concern would be Friday into Friday night. The system pulls away on Saturday. Hurricanes can produce short-lived tornadoes. They are extremely difficult to issue tornado warnings on because they normally last one or two radar sweeps. A few minutes. In addition to short-lived tornadoes, strong and gusty wind will accompany the remnants of Laura. That would begin Thursday night and continue into Friday night/Saturday. Wind gusts above 40 mph will be possible.
* The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Yes. Flash flooding will be possible. Slow moving thunderstorms today into the weekend could drop an inch of rain in less than 20 minutes. If thunderstorms repeatedly occur over the same area then flash flooding will be an issue. The remnants of Laura will move across the region Friday into Friday night/Saturday. This will produce locally very heavy rain totals in excess of three inches. Avoid flooded roadways. Flash flood watches may be necessary for portions of the region.
4. Will there be a chance of a frost or freeze? No.
5. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees? Possible. Heat index between 95 and 100 degrees today into Thursday.
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August 26, 2020
The live severe weather blog has been activated.
Link https://wtalk.co/AB6AUKWQ
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High confidence
Wednesday Forecast: Partly cloudy. Hot and humid. A few morning showers and then a chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 50%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 92° SE MO 86° to 90° South IL 86° to 90° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 86° to 90° West KY 86° to 90° NW TN 88° to 92°
Wind direction and speed: South at 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 92° to 95°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars
UV Index: 8. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:21 AM
Sunset: 7:32 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mainly during the evening. Warm and humid.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 73° to 76° MO 73° to 76° South IL 73° to 76° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 72° to 75° West KY 73° to 76° NW TN 73° to 76°
Wind direction and speed: South at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 73° to 76°
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars
Moonrise: 2:54 PM
Moonset: 12:00 AM
The phase of the moon: First Quarter
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August 27, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High confidence
Thursday Forecast: Intervals of clouds. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 86° to 90° SE MO 86° to 88° South IL 86° to 88° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 86° to 88° West KY 86° to 88° NW TN 86° to 90°
Wind direction and speed: Southeast at 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 86° to 90°
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars.
UV Index: 7. High.
Sunrise: 6:22 AM
Sunset: 7:30 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Warm and humid.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 73° to 76° MO 73° to 76° South IL 73° to 76° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 72° to 75° West KY 73° to 76° NW TN 73° to 76°
Wind direction and speed: Southeast at 10 to 20 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 73° to 76°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to numerous
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Gusty wind. Locally heavy rain.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars.
Moonrise: 3:57 PM
Moonset: 12:46 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous.
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August 28, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High confidence
Friday Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Strong and gusty winds.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 80% IL ~ 80% KY ~ 80% TN ~ 80%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 83° to 86° SE MO 82° to 85° South IL 83° to 86° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 83° to 86° West KY 83° to 86° NW TN 83° to 86°
Wind direction and speed: South and southwest at 20 to 40 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 83° to 86°
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Gusty wind. Locally heavy rain. Tornadoes. Gusty wind.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
UV Index: 7. High.
Sunrise: 6:23 AM
Sunset: 7:29 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Gusty winds.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 60% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 70% TN ~ 70%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 72° MO 66° to 70° South IL 66° to 68° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 66° to 68° West KY 66° to 70° NW TN 70° to 72°
Wind direction and speed: Southwest at 15 to 30 mph. Gusty. Wind becoming west as Laura moves eastward.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 66° to 72°
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Locally heavy rain. Tornadoes. Gusty wind.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
Moonrise: 4:54 PM
Moonset: 1:38 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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August 29, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High confidence
Saturday Forecast: Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 50% TN ~ 40%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 84° to 88° SE MO 83° to 86° South IL 83° to 86° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 83° to 86° West KY 83° to 86° NW TN 84° to 88°
Wind direction and speed: West and northwest at 15 to 30 mph. Gusty, at times.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 85°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Gusty wind.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars.
UV Index: 7. High.
Sunrise: 6:24 AM
Sunset: 7:27 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. A chance of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 62° MO 58° to 62° South IL 58° to 62° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 58° to 62° West KY 60° to 64° NW TN 60° to 64°
Wind direction and speed: North at 5 to 10 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 62°
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars.
Moonrise: 5:44 PM
Moonset: 2:35 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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August 30, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Sunday Forecast: Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. The bulk of the region should remain dry.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84° SE MO 78° to 82° South IL 78° to 82° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 84° West KY 80° to 84° NW TN 80° to 84°
Wind direction and speed: East and northeast at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 82°
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Isolated wet roadways. Isolated lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars.
UV Index: 7. High.
Sunrise: 6:25 AM
Sunset: 7:26 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 64° MO 62° to 64° South IL 62° to 64° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 62° to 64° West KY 62° to 64° NW TN 62° to 64°
Wind direction and speed: Southeast at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Isolated wet roadways. Isolated lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars.
Moonrise: 6:27 PM
Moonset: 3:35 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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August 30, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Monday Forecast: Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 84° SE MO 78° to 82° South IL 78° to 82° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 83° West KY 80° to 84° NW TN 80° to 84°
Wind direction and speed: Southeast at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 84°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars.
UV Index: 7. High.
Sunrise: 6:25 AM
Sunset: 7:24 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 66° MO 63° to 66° South IL 63° to 66° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 63° to 66° West KY 63° to 66° NW TN 63° to 66°
Wind direction and speed: South and southeast at 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 63° to 66°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars.
Moonrise: 7:03 PM
Moonset: 4:37 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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August 31, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Low confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 85° SE MO 80° to 84° South IL 80° to 84° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 84° West KY 80° to 84° NW TN 80° to 85°
Wind direction and speed:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 85°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars.
UV Index: 7. High.
Sunrise: 6:26 AM
Sunset: 7:23 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 66° to 70° MO 66° to 68° South IL 66° to 68° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 66° to 68° West KY 66° to 68° NW TN 66° to 70°
Wind direction and speed:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 66° to 70°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars.
Moonrise: 7:35 PM
Moonset: 5:38 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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September 1, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Low confidence
Wednesday Forecast: Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84° SE MO 80° to 82° South IL 80° to 82° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82° West KY 80° to 82° NW TN 80° to 85°
Wind direction and speed:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars.
UV Index: 7. High.
Sunrise: 6:27 AM
Sunset: 7:21 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64° MO 58° to 62° South IL 58° to 62° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 58° to 62° West KY 60° to 64° NW TN 60° to 64°
Wind direction and speed:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 64°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars.
Moonrise: 8:03 PM
Moonset: 6:38 AM
The phase of the moon: Full
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What is the UV index?
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- Hot and muggy.
- Thunderstorms are possible, Wednesday into next week.
- Locally heavy rain.
Click to enlarge the graphics.
Remember, this is an average across our local area. The county by county will vary. See Beau’s detailed forecast above for more details.
Click graphics to enlarge them.
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Graphic-cast
Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
Illinois
During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.
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Kentucky
During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.
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Tennessee
During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.
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Today through August 31st:
The live severe weather blog has been activated.
Link https://wtalk.co/AB6AUKWQ
I am monitoring the risk of tornadoes Friday into Friday night. The remnants of Laura will pass through our region during that time-period. Dying hurricanes can produce tornadoes well inland. These are usually short lived and difficult to issue warnings on. They last a few seconds to minutes.
You do not have to have lightning and thunder to have a tornado during a tropical event.
Thunderstorms over the coming days could also produce strong and gusty wind.
Today’s outlook (below).
Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.
Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.
One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.
A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.
The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.
The black outline is our local area.
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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.
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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.
24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather advice:
Updated August 26, 2020
The live severe weather blog has been activated.
Link https://wtalk.co/AB6AUKWQ
The main concern will be monitoring the track of Hurricane Laura. This will bring heavy rain and strong wind into our region Friday into Friday night/Saturday. Wind gusts above 45 mph are likely with this system.
In addition to the above, we can expect locally heavy rain totals in excess of three inches.
Short-lived tornadoes will also be possible Friday and Friday night as the remnants of Laura pass through our region.
Download the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app from the app store. Search for Weather Talk by the Fire Horn. Download it. Install it. It is for subscribers. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome
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Weather Discussion
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- Hot and humid.
- Increasing shower and thunderstorm chances.
- Tracking Hurricane Laura
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The live severe weather blog has been activated.
Link https://wtalk.co/AB6AUKWQ
An active weather pattern is developing.
I am tracking Hurricane Laura.
AM satellite imagery showers a powerful hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico.
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The latest National Hurricane Center track forecast takes this system over our region later this week.
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Here is the EC forecast for the track of Laura.
The system will have weakened to a tropical depression by the time it crosses our local area.
The green area if the lowest barometric pressure readings. That is the center of the remnants of Laura.
The area of low pressure will pass directly over our local area. It shows 994 millibars. Your home barometer will have a considerable drop Thursday night into Friday night!
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The EC actually has Laura strengthening a bit as it moves across our area. The pressure drops to 991 millibars. We will have to monitor that.
If that happens then the risk of strong and gusty winds would increase.
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Today and tonight:
A few shower and thunderstorms are possible today as the remnants of once Hurricane Marco pushes through our region.
Dew points are high. It will feel muggy today. There is also a lot of moisture in the atmosphere.
Thunderstorms that do form could produce an inch of rain in less than fifteen minutes. This could briefly flood some roadways.
Rain chances today will be higher over extreme southeast Missouri, extreme southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee. Smaller chances as you move northward.
Many areas will remain dry today and tonight. A few locations will pick up heavy rain.
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Thursday and Thursday night:
It will remain warm and muggy Thursday into Thursday night.
A few isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible Thursday. Many areas will remain dry. Storm coverage is forecast to be lower Thursday.
The remnants of Hurricane Laura will push into our region Thursday night.
We will see rain chances begin to rise over southeast Missouri late Thursday night.
Gusty winds may develop late Thursday night, as well. Mostly in the 15 to 25 mph range.
Severe weather is unlikely Thursday night.
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Friday into Saturday:
The remnants of Hurricane Laura will push directly across our region Friday into Friday night/Saturday.
There will be several items of interest with this system.
Strong and gusty wind is likely with Laura. You can expect occasional wind gusts above 40 mph Friday/Friday night. Gusty wind on Saturday morning, as well.
Here is the wind gust field forecast from the EC model.
Strong and gusty winds will develop Friday into Saturday. That will be in response to rapidly falling and rising barometric pressure.
A tight pressure gradient as Laura moves across our region.
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Here is the Saturday 7 AM wind gust map. You can see gusty wind over our local area.
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Here is the NAM model wind forecast for 7 AM Friday.
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10 AM Friday
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1 PM Friday
There remain some questions about just how strong winds will be with Laura. I currently have winds gusting above 40/45 mph.
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Again, there remain some questions about just how high winds will reach. Monitor updates.
Thankfully, Laura will be moving at a decent speed as it moves across our region. This will help keep rain totals somewhat lower.
PWAT values will be high. PWAT is a measure of moisture into the entire atmospheric column.
You can see that slug of moisture as Laura passes over our local area.
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At this time, it appears rain totals of one to three inches will be likely across much of our region.
There will be a higher band closer to the center of Laura’s center.
A band of three to five inches of rain can not be ruled out.
A flash flood watch will likely be issued for portions of the region.
The location of the heaviest rain will need to be monitored. Any shift in Laura’s path will change where the heavier rain totals occur.
At this time, we have the heaviest rain falling across far southeast Missouri, extreme southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee.
Here is the EC rainfall forecast. One model of many.
It shows the possibility of some locations picking up more than three inches of rain.
I would not take this at its word. It is unlikely to be exactly right.
Take the general idea from this.
A sharp gradient of rain totals from north to south. Heaviest rains will likely be across far southeast Missouri, extreme southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee.
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The GFS shows a mean rain total of over 2 inches in Paducah, Kentucky. You can see the GFS models range.
Again, the mean is over two inches.
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The WPC/NOAA has issues a low-end risk of excessive rainfall for our region Thursday night.
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A slight to moderate risk of excessive rainfall Friday and Friday night.
The red zone is the moderate risk. Yellow is slight. Green is a marginal risk.
Red is the area of greatest concern. This simply means flash flooding will be possible.
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Here is what the Paducah, Kentucky, National Weather Service has put out as far as rain totals.
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Here is the EC model rainfall forecast totals.
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Here is the NAM models rainfall totals forecast.
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In addition to the above, dying tropical systems can produce short-lived tornadoes.
Tornadoes normally occur in the right front quadrant of hurricanes and the remnants of tropical storms/hurricanes.
We will be in the right front quadrant.
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The Storm Prediction Center has placed our region in a marginal risk of tornadoes Friday/Friday night.
This may need to be upgraded another level.
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These tornadoes are extremely difficult to issue tornado warnings on. They can occur without lightning and thunder.
They typically last a few seconds to a few minutes. One or two radar sweeps.
It is not uncommon for our region to experience tornadoes from dying tropical systems. Be alert Friday/Friday night and perhaps Saturday morning.
I will be sending out messages via my Weather Talk app.
Showers and thunderstorms will begin to wind down Saturday morning into Saturday afternoon.
Winds aloft will be quite strong Friday into Friday night/Saturday morning.
You can see that on this animation showing you the winds at the 850 mb level. Several thousand feet aloft.
This will enhance wind shear. Wind shear can lead to a tornado threat.
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Saturday night into Tuesday:
We will have a cold front moving across our region Saturday into Sunday. This front will help sweep Laura off to our east.
It will also help bring somewhat cooler and less humid air into our region late in the weekend.
We will have lower-end shower and thunderstorm chances Saturday night into Sunday night and then we will bump chances up a bit more Monday and Tuesday.
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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.
What should I take from these?
- The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
- The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.
I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.
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This animation is the Hrrr model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Green is rain. Blue is snow. Pink and red represent sleet and freezing rain.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This animation is the SPC WRF model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Green is rain. Blue is snow. Pink and red represent sleet and freezing rain.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This animation is the 3K American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Green is rain. Blue is snow. Pink and red represent sleet and freezing rain.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This next animation is the NAM American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Green is rain. Blue is snow. Pink and red represent sleet and freezing rain.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
This next animation is the GFS American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Green is rain. Blue is snow. Pink and red represent sleet and freezing rain.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This next animation is the EC American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Green is rain. Blue is snow. Pink and red represent sleet and freezing rain.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.60″ to 0.90″
Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.
This outlook covers August 26th through September 1st
Click on the image to expand it.
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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 63 degrees
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.60″ to 0.90″
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This outlook covers September 2nd through September 7th
Click on the image to expand it.
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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. For example, if your average rainfall is 1.00″ and the graphic shows 25%, then that would mean 0.25″ of rain is anticipated.
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EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 63 degrees
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.40″ to 1.80″
This outlook covers September 8th through the 21st
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Precipitation outlook
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LONG RANGE DISCUSSION
Key Points: This was written by the BAMwx team. I don’t edit it.
Click to enlarge all of the images below
These graphics are updated Monday through Friday between 8:30 AM and 9:30 AM.
NOTE: These may not be updated on Saturday and Sunday.
Click the image below to enlarge it.
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Summer outlook
Click to enlarge it. Then, you can read it better.
June through August
Temperature departures
Precipitation
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Click on the images to enlarge them
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September Temperature Outlook (prelim)
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September Precipitation Outlook (prelim)
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October temperature outlook.
October precipitation outlook.
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November Temperature Outlook
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November Precipitation Outlook
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Great news! The videos are now found in your Weathertalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.
These are bonus videos for subscribers.
The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radar Link: Interactive local city-view radars & regional radars.
You will find clickable warning and advisory buttons on the local city-view radars.
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of Dupage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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