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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page. Link to those threads CLICK HERE
Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com
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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
August 25th through September 1st
Current risk: NONE.
Current confidence level: High confidence in the forecast.
Comments: We are not anticipating tornadoes.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? NOT AT THIS TIME. I will monitor Thursday into next week. Confidence isn’t high enough to include lightning in the forecast.
2. Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.
3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NO.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees? NO.
6. Will temperatures rise above 100 degrees? NO.
7. Will the heat index (feels like) rise above 100 degrees? NO.
8. Will the heat index rise above 115 degrees? NO.
9. Will the temperature fall below 32 degrees? NO.
Here is the short-range concern meter..
Quiet weather. We are in the green.
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Here is the extended concern meter. This takes us through Sunday.
Organized or widespread extreme weather is not anticipated.
Quiet weather. We are in the green. I will monitor Thursday through Monday. Some data indicates a few showers and thunderstorms.
A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics
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Here is your bus stop forecast.
This afternoon
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Forecast discussion.
- A calm weather pattern, overall.
- Below-average temperatures are expected through the week and into next week.
- Small light rain chances near the MO/AR border into west TN today and tonight.
- Monitoring rain chances the rest of the week and weekend.
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I hope you enjoyed the amazing weekend. Temperatures were nice. Humidity was nice. An A+ all the way around.
I enjoyed it.
We are waking up to cool temperatures. This is more like September than August.
5 AM temperatures
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Nice temperatures will be with us through the week and then into the weekend. As a matter of fact, below normal temperatures will likely be with us into next week.
Here is the GFS model. The blue indicates below-average temperatures. You can see the date at the top of the graphic.
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A fast-moving system could bring a few light showers along the Missouri and Arkansas border today into the Bootheel and then into western Tennessee. There is so much dry air around that the rain may evaporate before reaching the ground.
The rest of the region should remain dry.
You can see the clouds on this morning’s satellite view. The clouds are moving southeast. So, we will have some increase in clouds today. Especially the southwest half of the region.
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Another fast-moving system will arrive on Wednesday night and Thursday. Perhaps a few light showers with that system, as well. Again, the chances will be higher over our southwestern counties vs the northeastern ones. That means higher chances over southeast Missouri and western Tennessee.
I am watching Thursday into the weekend for low-end shower chances, as well. For now, I capped chances at 10% to 20%.
The GFS model is wetter. The EC data is drier. Confidence in the outcome remains low. I will know a bit more later today and tomorrow. I am monitoring trends. Rain chances may need to be bumped up a bit. For now, however, confidence isn’t high enough to do that.
Let me show you that on the precipitation probability maps.
Rain chances from 7 am to 7 pm today.
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Monday 7 PM to Tuesday 7 AM
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Thursday 7 AM to Thursday 7 PM
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Thursday 7 PM to Friday 7 AM
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The 15-day EC model temperature outlook is nice. The worst of the summer heat is likely behind us.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Hrrr model
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
NAM model
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather
Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?
Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account
You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.
Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)
🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.
Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.
Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.
Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)
GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF
I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.
Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson
Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live. I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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We do have some sponsors! Check them out.
Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here
INTEGRITY ROOFING AND EXTERIORS!
⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/
Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.
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Want to add more products to your Beau Dodson Weather App?
Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!
Here is how to do add those additional products to your app notification settings!
Here is a video on how to update your Beau Dodson Weather payment.
The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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