Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

August 2nd, 2021. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATON TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.

 

48-hour forecast



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Monday to Monday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Monitor.  A slight chance today and tonight over southeast Missouri.  Otherwise, I am monitoring late Thursday night into Friday and then Sunday into next week for a few showers and thunderstorms.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? No.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? No.

Slow moving thunderstorms could produce one to two inches of rain in less than 30-minutes.

4. Will the heat index top 100 degrees?  No.

5. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees above zero? No.

6. Will there be accumulating snow and ice in the forecast?  No.

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August 2nd, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  High confidence
Monday Forecast:  Some haze and smoke possible again today.  Northwest winds are back.  That is bringing smoke into the region from Canada.  Mostly sunny (outside of the haze/smoke).  Some PM clouds.  Cooler and less humid.  An isolated shower or thunderstorm  over primarily southeast Missouri.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /    the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 5%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 5%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated
Timing of the rain: After 12 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 84°  / the rest of SE MO 78° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 78° to 82° /  the rest of South IL 80° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 84°  /  West KY  80° to 84° /  NW TN 82° to 84°
Wind direction and speed: Northerly 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 15 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None for most areas.  A slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm over southeast Missouri.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:01 AM
Sunset: 8:02 PM
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Monday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Pleasant.  A few clouds from time to time.  A low-end chance of a few showers and thunderstorms over southeast Missouri.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /    the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:  None for most.  Isolated over southeast Missouri.  Lower chances further east.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64° /  SE MO 58° to 62° /  I-64 Corridor of South IL 58° to 82° /  the rest of South IL  58° to 62° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 58° to 62° /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 60° to 64°
Wind direction and speed:  Northerly 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None for most.  A low end chance of wet roadways and lightning over primarily southeast Missouri.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
Moonrise: 12:57 AM
Moonset:  3:32 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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August 3rd, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  High confidence
Tuesday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of  South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 84°  /  the rest of SE MO 80° to 82° /  I-64 Corridor of South IL 78° to 82° /  the rest of South IL 80° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 84°  /  West KY  82° to 84° /  NW TN 82° to 84°
Wind direction and speed: Northerly 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 15 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:02 AM
Sunset: 8:01 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of  South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 62° /  the rest of SE MO 58° to 62° /  I-64 Corridor of South IL 58° to 82° /  the rest of  South IL  58° to 62° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 58° to 62° /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 60° to 64°
Wind direction and speed:  Northerly 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
Moonrise: 1:31 AM
Moonset:  4:30 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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August 4th, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  High confidence
Wednesday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of  South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 84°  /  SE MO 82° to 84° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 82° to 84° /  the rest of South IL 82° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 84°  /  West KY  82° to 84° /  NW TN 82° to 84°
Wind direction and speed: North 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:03 AM
Sunset: 8:00 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Pleasant.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /   the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 62° /  the rest of SE MO 58° to 62° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 58° to 62° /  the rest of South IL  58° to 62° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 58° to 62° /  West KY 60° to 62° /  NW TN 60° to 62°
Wind direction and speed:  North 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 62°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
Moonrise: 2:11 AM
Moonset:  5:27 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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August 5th, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  High confidence
Thursday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 83° to 86°  /  the rest of SE MO 82° to 85° /  I-64 Corridor of South IL 82° to 84° /  the rest of South IL 82° to 85°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 84°  /  West KY  82° to 85° /  NW TN 83° to 86°
Wind direction and speed:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 86°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:03 AM
Sunset: 7:59 PM
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Thursday night Forecast:  Increasing clouds late.  A chance of a shower or thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /   the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 10%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:  Widely scattered late at night
Timing of the rain: After midnight
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 65° /  the rest of SE MO 60° to 65° /  I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  the rest of South IL  60° to 65° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 65° /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 62° to 65°
Wind direction and speed:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 65°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.  Monitor radars.
Moonrise: 2:58 AM
Moonset:  6:20 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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August 6th, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Friday Forecast:  Increasing clouds.  A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mainly over southeast Missouri.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 10%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 84° to 88°  /  the rest of SE MO 83° to 86° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 84° to 86° /  the rest of South IL 84° to 86°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 84° to 86°  /  West KY  84° to 88° /  NW TN 84° to 88°
Wind direction and speed: East at 5 to 10 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 84° to 88°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:04 AM
Sunset: 7:58 PM
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Friday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.   A bit warmer.  A slight chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% / the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation:  Isolated
Timing of the rain: Any given time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 65° to 70° /  the rest of SE MO 64° to 68° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 63° to 66° /  the rest of South IL  64° to 68° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 63° to 66° /  West KY 64° to 68° /  NW TN 65° to 70°
Wind direction and speed: Southeast at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 64° to 68°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None for most.  Perhaps a few wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
Moonrise: 3:51 AM
Moonset:   7:09 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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** I am monitoring several weak systems Saturday and Sunday.  We will have to see if rain chances need to be introduced moving forward.  More likely, next week is when greater rain chances will arrive.  **

August 7th, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  Low confidence
Saturday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /   the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 90°  /  the rest of SE MO 86° to 90° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 86° to 90° /  the rest of South IL 88° to 90°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 85° to 90°  /  West KY  88° to 90° /  NW TN 88° to 92°
Wind direction and speed: Southerly at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 86° to 92°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:05 AM
Sunset: 7:56 PM
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Saturday night Forecast:  Mostly clear. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /   the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation:  Isolated
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 72° /  SE MO 66° to 68° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 66° to 70° /  South IL  66° to 68° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 66° to 68° /  West KY 66° to 68° /  NW TN 66° to 70°
Wind direction and speed:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 66° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None for most.  Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.  Monitor updates.
Moonrise: 4:51 AM
Moonset:   7:52 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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August 8th, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  Low confidence
Sunday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.   A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% / the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: During the afternoon
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 92°  /  SE MO 85° to 90° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 86° to 90° /  South IL 88° to 90°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 85° to 90°  /  West KY  88° to 90° /  NW TN 88° to 92°
Wind direction and speed: Southerly at 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 86° to 92°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None for most.  Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.  Monitor updates.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:06 AM
Sunset: 7:55 PM
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Sunday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation:  Isolated
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 72° /  SE MO 65° to 70° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 65° to 70° /  South IL  65° to 70° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 65° to 70° /  West KY 65° to 70° /  NW TN 68° to 70°
Wind direction and speed: South southwest at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 65° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None for most.  Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.  Monitor updates.
Moonrise: 5:54 AM
Moonset:   8:30 PM
The phase of the moon:  New

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August 9th, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  Low confidence
Monday Forecast:  Partly sunny.   A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Mainly during the PM hours.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 85° to 90°  /  the rest of SE MO 85° to 90° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 85° to 90° /  the rest of Southern IL 85° to 90°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 85° to 90°  /  West KY  85° to 90° /  NW TN 85° to 90°
Wind direction and speed: Southwest at 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 86° to 90°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.  Monitor updates.
UV Index: 10. Very high
Sunrise: 6:07 AM
Sunset: 7:54 PM
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Monday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /    South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 72° /  SE MO 65° to 70° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 65° to 70° /  South IL  65° to 70° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 65° to 70° /  West KY 65° to 70° /  NW TN 68° to 70°
Wind direction and speed: Southwest at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 65° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.  Monitor updates.
Moonrise: 7:00 AM
Moonset:   9:02 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Crescent

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These graphics are changed out between 10:00 AM and 11:00 AM (Monday through Friday only)

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

Double click the images to enlarge them.

Agriculture outlook from the University of Kentucky.

Double click the image to enlarge it.

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Temperature and heat index/livestock heat-stress.

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Temperature, humidity, and dew point.  Remember, dew point is what makes it feel muggy outside.  Dew points in the 70s are oppressive.

 

Double click on the graphics to enlarge them.

 

 


Graphic-cast

Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

Illinois

Check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.  These are auto-generated.  My actual forecast may vary from these.

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Kentucky

Check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.  These are auto-generated.  My actual forecast may vary from these.


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.Tennessee

Check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.  These are auto-generated.  My actual forecast may vary from these.


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Today through August 7th:  Severe weather is not anticipated.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

 

    1.   Nicer weather for the week ahead.  Cooler.  Less muggy.
    2.   Smoke and haze potential.  Northwest wind flow = smoke potential.
    3.   Watching low-end shower/storm chances this afternoon and tonight over southeast Missouri (primarily).
    4.   Watching a disturbance Friday.  Perhaps a few showers.
    5.   Another cold front to watch early next week.

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Weather advice:

Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages.  We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner.  Thus, we made the app.  See links at the bottom of the page.

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Weather Discussion

First, we once again may have to deal with smoke and haze in the region.  Winds aloft are coming in from the northwest.  This is brining smoke and haze from the Canadian wild-fires into our local area.

If you remember, several months ago I mentioned we would have to deal with smoke this summer and autumn.

Notice the jet stream coming in from the Pacific Northwest and Canada?  Then, it dives into our region.  The smoke follows that path.

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Welcome to August, everyone.  Meteorologists consider summer as June, July, and August.  That means this is the last month of summer.  How about that.  We are almost to autumn!  Hard to believe.

We have nice weather today for most of the region.  A boundary is near the region and this boundary produced some surprise showers and thunderstorms Sunday night in the area.

The boundary could pop a couple of showers and thunderstorms over southeast Missouri later today and tonight.  The odds of precipitation further east is lower.

It will be cooler and less humid today.  Some locations may not reach 80 degrees!  Hard to believe after last weeks horrid muggy dew points.  That air-mass is long gone.  Thankfully.

The Week Ahead

The weather will be calm through most of this week.

I could use some rain at the Weather Observatory.  July started out wet.  I recorded over seven inches of rain for the month.  The last fourteen days, however, have been dry.

Seems every summer is like that.  Feast or famine.  Too wet.  Too dry.  That is part of living here.

The region, as a whole, is doing okay in the rain department.  Many areas have received beneficial rains.  With that said, there are other portions of the region that could stand a bit more rain.

Let me show you the seven day rain totals.  Radar estimated.  Notice Massac County and a few other locations have had bad luck and missed out.

Here is the precipitation anomaly.  Again, notice Massac County, Illinois and portions of surrounding counties.  We need some rain.  Bad luck.

There will be a slow warming trend Thursday onward.  Temperatures will creep up a degree or two each day.  Some areas could hit 90 degrees by Saturday and Sunday.  A bit more humid Saturday and Sunday, as well.  Nothing extreme showing up in the charts, yet.

It will feel much nicer outside this week.  Camping weather.  Cook-out weather.  A small taste of September, perhaps.

I am monitoring a couple of weak weather systems.  One brushes the region Friday and another Saturday/Sunday.  A stronger system may approach the region by early next week.  It will bring some shower and thunderstorm chances.

I added low-end rain chances to the Friday portion of the forecast.  I introduced small shower/thunderstorm chances Sunday.  Then, next week, as well.

Dew points will fall this week.  We were seeing readings of 75 to 84 last week.  Very muggy and humid air.

Check out this week’s dew point forecast graphics.

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

Friday


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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
  3. The EC European weather model is in Zulu time.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Longer range GFS

 

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Long range

 

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers August 2nd through August 9th

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.30″
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This outlook covers August 10th through August 17th

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.80″ to 2.10″

This outlook covers August 13th through August 26th

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Precipitation outlook

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Temperature departures

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

August Temperature Outlook

August precipitation outlook

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Preliminary outlooks

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

September Temperature Outlook

September precipitation outlook

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Summer Outlook

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

June, July, and August Temperature Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

June, July, and August Precipitation Outlook

 

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Great news! The videos are now found in your Weathertalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.

These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here



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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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Find Beau on Twitter! Share your weather photos! @beaudodson

2016-11-19_11-50-24

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