Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

Good morning, everyone

Welcome to August!

We made it through a record stretch of high humidity levels.  It was muggy, as you know.

We have reached the end of the longest stretch of continuously high humidity that Paducah has witnessed in the past 75 years. The number of hours at oppressive levels (dew points 75+) has exceeded 300% of normal for the month of July.

The Paducah NWS made a page about the heat wave.  Here is that page.  Click here.

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Nicer weather has arrived.  It will be less humid today.  Temperatures will be pleasant.  We have earned this nicer weather.

We do still have some clouds in the region.  Those clouds should shift southward with time.

The cold front has pushed off to our south.  You can see that on this morning’s surface weather map.

Dry conditions prevail across the entire area.

Here is the muggy meter.

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I hope you can get outside and enjoy the weather.  A great weekend for camping or mowing.

We do have some Canadian wildfire smoke pushing into the region from the north.  This could be a concern for those with breathing issues.  Illinois has issued an air quality alert for the entire state.

Instead of pure sunshine, the sky could look hazy in some areas.

This was the satellite from yesterday evening.  You can see the smoke to our north.  It is moving south.

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Here is the Hrrr model smoke forecast.  Again, a lot of this may be aloft.  Meaning, not at the surface.  With that said, I can’t rule out some surface smoke in some counties.

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Today and tomorrow will be dry in the region.

I do have a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm on Sunday afternoon east of Land Between the Lakes in western Kentucky.  The vast majority of the region will remain dry.

Some areas could use a little rain.

It will be a bit warmer by Monday and Tuesday.  A bit more humid, as well.  I do not believe we will return to the extreme numbers we witnessed this past week.  But, it could be humid again.  Typical summer/August conditions for our region.

Scattered thunderstorms are possible through much of next week.  There are no strong signals for a 12-hour period to have precipitation probabilities above 40%, but I will monitor it.  A thunderstorm complex or two may impact the region next week.  That would mean higher precipitation probabilities.

The long-range temperature outlook is fairly warm.  Not extreme.

The GEFS model is a bit warmer than the EC model.

Here is the EC model

I chose Paducah as a central point.

Here is the GEFS model

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Here are the daily temperature forecasts.  Better than recent days.

Today

Saturday

Sunday

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

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Lows will range from the upper 50s to middle 60s through Tuesday night.  Climbing into the mid to upper 60s towards the middle/end of next week.

Let me show you two models.  The GEFS model and the EC model.

This shows you the temperatures in the long range.

This looks like fairly typical August weather.

The GEFS model

The EC model

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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Hrrr model

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