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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
April 21st through April 28th
Current risk: NOT AT THIS TIME.
Current confidence level: Medium.
Comment: Monitor updates. I am monitoring next Monday and Tuesday. Questions remain about the timing of the system next week. Some data holds it off until mid-week.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? YES. A chance of lightning Thursday into Saturday. The highest chance of lightning will arrive on Thursday and Friday.
Another chance of lightning next Monday and Tuesday. Questions remain about the timing of the system next week. Some data holds it off until mid-week.
2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? MONITOR. I will monitor next Monday and Tuesday. Questions remain about the timing of the system next week. Some data holds it off until mid-week.
3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NOT AT THIS TIME.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees? NO.
6. Will the heat index rise above 100 degrees? NO.
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A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics
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Forecast discussion.
- Mild this week.
- A few showers and storms from Thursday into Friday night. I can’t rule out a few showers lingering into Saturday.
- Another chance of thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday. It is possible that system holds off until the middle of next week. I am monitoring the timing and trends.
- At this time, severe weather is not anticipated Thursday into Saturday. I will monitor next Monday and Tuesday. That system could have a bit more energy to work with.
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Major flooding continues in some counties.
Avoid flooded roadways. Water continues to recede in many areas. Larger rivers, however, continue to rise.
River and lake stages. Forecasts. Click here.
Good morning, everyone.
We are waking up to patchy fog. A decent spring morning for the region. It will be mild today. No weather concerns other than this morning’s fog.
A series of systems will bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms back to the forecast Thursday and Friday. With a few showers lingering into Saturday.
Peak rain chances will likely arrive on Friday and Friday night.
At this time, we are not expecting any severe weather on Thursday, Friday, or Saturday. That is the good news.
I am watching next Monday and Tuesday. A few of those storms could be intense. Energy will be a bit higher with that system.
Some of the guidance holds that the system off until Tuesday into Thursday. Other data shows storm chances returning Monday and Tuesday. I will know more over the coming days.
Temperatures will be mild. The warmest days will likely be next Monday and Tuesday. Some locations could actually hit the middle 80s early next week!
Here is the Monday temperature forecast. That will certainly feel nice.
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Here is the latest seven-day rainfall forecast. Let’s monitor these totals. I can’t rule out them trending a bit higher.
Locally, where the heaviest thunderstorms occur, there would be higher rain totals.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
GFS model
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 46 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.40″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 48 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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We do have some sponsors! Check them out.
Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here
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⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/
Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.
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Want to add more products to your Beau Dodson Weather App?
Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!
Here is how to do add those additional products to your app notification settings!
Here is a video on how to update your Beau Dodson Weather payment.
The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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