April 14, 2018
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A few patches of sunshine possible. Showery. Some thunderstorm possible during the afternoon. A couple of storms could produce dime to nickel size hail and gusty winds. Lightning, of course. Best chance of rain will be east of the Mississippi River.
Temperatures: MO ~68 to 72 IL ~ 68 to 72 KY ~ 68 to 72 TN ~ 68 to 74
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 50% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps numerous (esp IL/KY/TN)
Winds: South winds becoming west at 10 to 20 mph and gusty. Winds over southeast Missouri may switch to west/southwest.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Monitor the risk of intense thunderstorms.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? A marginal risk that a couple of storms could produce hail and high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B. Monitor radars.
Sunrise: 6:21 AM
Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Scattered showers. Greatest coverage will be across Kentucky and Tennessee. Especially the further east you travel. Turning cooler. Gusty winds. Showers will deminish as we push later into the night.
Temperatures: MO ~ 36 to 42 IL ~ 36 to 42 KY ~ 38 to 45 TN ~ 40 to 44
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered for Missouri and Illinois. Perhaps numerous over the Pennyrile area of western Kentucky into portions of western Tennessee.
Winds: South and southwest winds becoming west at 10 to 20 mph. Gusty winds.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B in case it rains. Monitor radars and updates.
Sunset: 7:28 PM
April 15, 2018
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast: Intervals of clouds. Cooler. A few showers possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 46 to 52 IL ~ 45 to 50 KY ~ 48 to 54 TN ~ 50 to 55
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated to scattered.
Winds: West at 10 to 20 mph and gusty
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise: 6:20 AM
Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Intervals of clouds. Colder. A slight chance of light showers or snow flurries.
Temperatures: MO ~ 33 to 36 IL ~ 32 to 35 KY ~ 34 to 38 TN ~ 35 to 40
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Winds: West and northwest at 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None to perhaps a few wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 7:29 PM
April 16, 2018
Monday Forecast Details
Forecast: Cool. Breezy. Some morning clouds. Snow or rain showers early. Decreasing clouds for those who do have morning clouds.
Temperatures: MO ~ 45 to 50 IL ~ 45 to 50 KY ~ 45 to 50 TN ~ 46 to 50
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: West and northwest at 15 to 30 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise: 6:18 AM
Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Frost likely. Chilly. A freeze possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 28 to 32 IL ~ 28 to 32 KY ~ 30 to 34 TN ~ 30 to 34
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Winds: West 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Frost likely. Freeze possible.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 7:30 PM
April 17, 2018
Tuesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Morning frost. Mostly sunny. Milder.
Temperatures: MO ~ 64 to 68 IL ~ 63 to 66 KY ~ 64 to 66 TN ~ 64 to 66
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Winds: South and southwest at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise: 6:17 AM
Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Not as cold.
Temperatures: MO ~ 53 to 56 IL ~ 48 to 53 KY ~ 53 to 56 TN ~ 54 to 58
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Winds: South and southwest at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 7:31 PM
April 18, 2018
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly sunny. A slight chance of a light shower over southeast Illinois and western Kentucky. Mild temperatures.
Temperatures: MO ~ 70 to 75 IL ~ 70 to 75 KY ~ 70 to 75 TN ~ 72 to 76
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 5% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 5%
Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated
Winds: Southwest at 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 20
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise: 6:16 AM
Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. A slight chance of a shower. Cooler.
Temperatures: MO ~ 43 to 46 IL ~ 40 to 44 KY ~ 42 to 44 TN ~ 43 to 46
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated. Most areas will remain dry.
Winds: Becoming west at 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 18
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 7:31 PM
April 19, 2018
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. Mild.
Temperatures: MO ~ 58 to 64 IL ~ 56 to 60 KY ~ 58 to 62 TN ~ 58 to 62
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Winds: Northwest 10 to 20 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise: 6:14 AM
Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Cool.
Temperatures: MO ~ 38 to 44 IL ~ 35 to 40 KY ~ 36 to 42 TN ~ 38 to 44
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Winds: Mostly north at 6 to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 7:32 PM
April 20, 2018
Friday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. Mild.
Temperatures: MO ~ 60 to 65 IL ~ 58 to 62 KY ~ 58 to 64 TN ~ 58 to 64
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Winds: North and northeast 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise: 6:14 AM
Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy.
Temperatures: MO ~ 42 to 45 IL ~ 38 to 44 KY ~ 42 to 46 TN ~ 43 to 46
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Winds: Northeast and east at 6 to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 7:32 PM
Weekend: Another storm system should approach the region from the south and west. This will likely spread rain into the region. There remain some questions on timing. Saturday may remain mostly dry.
April 21, 2018
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast: Increasing clouds. A chance of rain Saturday night. Most of Saturday may remain dry. Monitor updates.
Temperatures: MO ~ 60 to 65 IL ~ 58 to 62 KY ~ 58 to 64 TN ~ 58 to 64
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
April 22, 2018
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast: Cloudy with rain showers. Another storm system should approach the region from the south and west. This will likely spread rain into the region. There remain some questions on timing.
Temperatures: MO ~ 55 to 60 IL ~ 55 to 60 KY ~ 55 to 60 TN ~ 58 to 64
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
My confidence in the forecast verifying: LOW
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You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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