Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

Thursday. March 2, 2023. Rain and wind.

 

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Seven-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region.  Scroll down to see the region by region forecast.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION.  Scroll down to see the region by region forecast.

 

Beau’s Two Minute Weather Video

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Today’s Local Almanacs (for a few select cities).  Your location will be comparable.

Note, the low is this morning’s low and not tomorrows.

This shows you the forecast high.  The records.  The average and then the departure (how many degrees above or below average will temperatures be).

The graphic shows you what our average daily rainfall is for the day.  That is not what is expected (that is the average from past year).

 

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48-hour forecast



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Thursday to Thursday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.  Lightning is possible today into Friday morning.

2.  Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Yes.  A few storms could become severe late tonight into early Friday morning.  The primary concern will be damaging wind and a short-lived tornado.  The risk is higher across far southeast Missouri, the Bootheel, western Kentucky, and Tennessee.  The risk is lower farther north and northwest.

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Yes.   Heavy rain is likely Thursday into Friday.  Area-wide rain totals of one to two inches with pockets of two to four inches.

4. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees?  No.

5.  Is measurable snow and/or sleet in the forecast?   No.

6.  Is freezing rain/ice in the forecast?  No.
Freezing rain is rain that falls and instantly freezes on objects such as trees and power lines

6. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  No.

 

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Thursday, March 2, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Thursday Forecast:   Thickening clouds with mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms redeveloping.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 20%
Southeast Missouri ~ 40%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 70%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 20%
Southern Illinois ~ 40%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 40%
Far western Kentucky ~ 70%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 40%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 20%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 70%

Coverage of precipitation:  Numerous
Timing of the precipitation:  Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 52° to 55°
Southeast Missouri ~ 54° to 58°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 62° to 65°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 53° to 56°
Southern Illinois ~ 53° to 56°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 53° to 56°
Far western Kentucky ~ 56° to 60°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 60° to 64°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 54° to 56°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 62° to 65°

Winds will be from this direction:  Northeast 10 to 25 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 60°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Heavy rain.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
UV Index: 3. Moderate
Sunrise: 6:25 AM
Sunset:  5:50 PM
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Thursday night Forecast:   Showers and thunderstorms likely.  Some storms will produce heavy rain.  Monitor the risk of severe weather.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 100%
Southeast Missouri ~ 100%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 100%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 100%
Southern Illinois ~ 100%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 100%
Far western Kentucky ~ 100%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 100%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 100%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 100%

Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 44° to 48°
Southeast Missouri ~ 44° to 48°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 48° to 50°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 44° to 48°
Southern Illinois ~ 44° to 48°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 44° to 48°
Far western Kentucky ~ 46° to 52°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 50° to 52°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 43° to 46°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 52° to 55°

Winds will be from this direction: Becoming east southeastly 25 to 40 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 40° to 50°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.  Heavy rain.  Monitor the risk of severe weather.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Have a plan B.
Moonrise:  1:35 PM
Moonset:  4:12 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

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Friday, March 3, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Friday Forecast:   Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Temperatures will vary based on frontal boundaries.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 80%
Southeast Missouri ~ 80%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 80%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 80%
Southern Illinois ~ 80%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 80%
Far western Kentucky ~ 80%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 80%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 80%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 80%

Coverage of precipitation:  Numerous.
Timing of the precipitation:  Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 48° to 52°
Southeast Missouri ~ 52° to 54°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 58° to 62°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 50° to 55°
Southern Illinois ~ 52° to 54°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 52° to 54°
Far western Kentucky ~ 52° to 54°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 60° to 62°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 53° to 56°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 63° to 66°

Winds will be from this direction:  East becoming south southwest becoming west 15 to 40 mph with gusts above 50 mph possible.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 45° to 55°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Locally heavy rain.  Monitor the risk of severe weather early in the morning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
UV Index: 3. Moderate
Sunrise: 6:24 AM
Sunset:  5:51 PM
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Friday night Forecast:   Mostly cloudy early.  Decreasing clouds.  A slight chance of an early evening shower over Illinois and Kentucky.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 20%
Southern Illinois ~ 20%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 10%
Far western Kentucky ~ 10%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 20%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 20%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%

Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the precipitation: Before 7 PM
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 28° to 32°
Southeast Missouri ~ 33° to 36°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 34° to 38°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 34° to 38°
Southern Illinois ~ 34° to 38°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 34° to 38°
Far western Kentucky ~ 34° to 38°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 34° to 38°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 34° to 38°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 34° to 38°

Winds will be from this direction:  West 15 to 35 mph. Becoming northwest.  Evening gusts above 40 mph possible.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 25° to 30°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Monitor
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise:  2:33 PM
Moonset:  4:55  AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

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Saturday, March 4, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Saturday Forecast:   Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%

Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 53° to 56°
Southeast Missouri ~ 53° to 56°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 54° to 56°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 53° to 56°
Southern Illinois ~ 52° to 54°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 53° to 56°
Far western Kentucky ~ 54° to 56°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 54° to 56°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 54° to 56°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 58° to 60°

Winds will be from this direction:  West northwest 8 to 16 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 48° to 54°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 3. Moderate
Sunrise: 6:22AM
Sunset:  5:52 PM
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Saturday  night Forecast:  Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%

Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 33° to 36°
Southeast Missouri ~ 34° to 36°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 34° to 36°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 33° to 36°
Southern Illinois ~ 33° to 36°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 33° to 36°
Far western Kentucky ~ 34° to 38°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 33° to 36°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 34° to 36°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 34° to 38°

Winds will be from this direction:  West northwest 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 28° to 34°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise:  3:13 PM
Moonset:  5:16  AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

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Sunday, March 5, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Sunday Forecast:   Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%

Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 62° to 64°
Southeast Missouri ~ 62° to 64°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 64° to 68°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 62° to 64°
Southern Illinois ~ 62° to 65°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 63° to 66°
Far western Kentucky ~ 64° to 66°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 64° to 66°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 60° to 64°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 64° to 68°

Winds will be from this direction:   East southeast 8 to 16 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 55° to 65°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 3. Moderate
Sunrise: 6:21AM
Sunset:  5:53 PM
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Sunday  night Forecast:  Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%

Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 44° to 48°
Southeast Missouri ~ 44° to 48°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 44° to 48°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 44° to 48°
Southern Illinois ~ 44° to 48°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 44° to 48°
Far western Kentucky ~ 44° to 48°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 44° to 48°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 44° to 48°°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 44° to 48°

Winds will be from this direction:  South 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 40° to 45°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise:  4:14 PM
Moonset:  5:47  AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

 

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **

Click the tab below.


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This outlook covers southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and far northwest Tennessee.

Today through March 5th:  There will be a chance of severe weather tonight and tomorrow morning.  See discussion below. Monitor updates moving forward and watch for  app messages.

 

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Today’s Storm Prediction Center’s Severe Weather Outlook

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

Explanation of tables.  Click here.

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Tornado Probability Outlook

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Large Hail Probability Outlook

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High wind Probability Outlook

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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Day Three Severe Weather Outlook

 

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The images below are from NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center.

24-hour precipitation outlook..
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.  Wet and windy!
    2.  Flood watch.
    3.  Wind advisory.
    4.  Locally heavy rain could flood some areas.

 

Weather advice:

Monitor your app for updates tonight and tomorrow morning.

There is a low end severe weather risk Thursday night into Friday morning.  We are in a marginal and slight risk of severe weather.

Avoid flooded roadways over the coming days.  It seems every event we have people having to be rescued by emergency management, police, and fire departments.  Driving into flood waters is not safe.

We are also in a risk of excessive rainfall today into Friday morning.

Green is a level one risk.  Yellow is a level two risk.  This simply means some flash flooding will be possible.

Excessive Rainfall Forecast Outlook

The risk continues into Friday.

Excessive Rainfall Forecast Outlook

 

Forecast Discussion

Hailstorms moved across the region yesterday.  There were numerous reports of pea to quarter size hail from portions of southern Illinois into western Kentucky and Tennessee.

The largest hailstones, that I saw through social media, were in Caldwell County.  Those were the size of quarters or slightly larger.

I apologize, I am not sure who took this photo.  It was sent to me via social media.

There were several reports of wind damage, as well in western Kentucky.

All in all, about what we expected.  A few reports of severe weather.

Today into Friday.

A potent area of low pressure will move northeast out of Arkansas this afternoon and evening.  This low will move into Missouri and Illinois over the next 24 hours.

It will be deepening as it moves northeast.  This could be record low barometric pressure for March in our region.  Close, at least. You may feel it in your joints.

The models are showing a 978 to 984 mb low.  Somewhere in that range.  We will  have to see how deep it goes.  Deep, either way!

Models over the past 24 hours have been trending south and east with the low.  That is good news if you want to avoid widespread severe weather.

With that said, we will have to keep a close eye on the warm front.  That is where severe storms will be possible.

The heaviest rain will be along the warm front, as well.

The primary concern for severe weather will be after midnight tonight and before noon tomorrow.  A few reports of damaging wind will be possible.  I can’t rule out a short-lived tornado, as well.

This system will bring widespread heavy rain to the region.  PWAT values will be 300% above average.  PWAT is a measure of moisture.  That means prolific rain producers.  Rain showers and thunderstorms will efficiently produce rain/downpours.  Tropical-like rains.

PWAT animation.  Watch that surge of purples into our region.  That is a tropical stream of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico.

Expect one to two inches in most areas.  There is reason to believe bands of two to four inches will occur, as well.

Avoid flooded roadways, as always.

There is already a flood watch for the Missouri Bootheel and northwest Tennessee.  Expect additional counties to be added.

The dark green is the current flood watch.

This will run into Friday.  The only counties not in the watch are Todd and Christian.  They could also experience some downpours.

The strong gradient winds could bring down some trees.  Especially since the ground will be saturated.

Here is the wind advisory zone in tan.

If you live in or near large trees, then be weather aware.  Especially in mobile homes.  Use care when driving, as well.

Here is one of the model’s wind gust forecast.  I can’t rule out some reports of 50+ mph gradient wind gusts.  Again, gradient winds are caused by deep areas of low pressure.  Rapidly rising and falling pressure.

The rain will exit Friday afternoon.  A few remaining showers will be possible Friday evening over southern Illinois and western Kentucky.  For the most part, however, it will be over.

The wind will die down Friday night as colder air arrives.

I have low end rain chances Monday into Wednesday.  I will monitor a cold and warm front in the region.  It is likely those 20% chances will need adjusting as confidence in the final forecast increases.

The latest WPC day 6 to 10 and 8 to 14 day outlooks have been posted.  See the BAMwx ones farther down the blog.

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.

Green is above average precipitation.

Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

 

 

 

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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

Models are not picking up on much precipitation through Sunday night.

They show scattered sprinkles or flurries today into tomorrow.

You can barely see them on these graphics.

 

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This animation is the higher resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

Morning long-range update (usually updated after 10:30 AM). 

 

 


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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 50 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 35 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.00″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

Click on the image to expand it.

This outlook covers March 2, 2023 through March 8, 2023

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 54 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 34 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.00″
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This outlook covers March 9th through March 15th

Click on the image to expand

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  60 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 40 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.90″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers March 14th through March 27th

Precipitation outlook

 

Monthly Outlooks

E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

February Temperature and precipitation Outlook

Double click images to enlarge them.

E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

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March Temperature and precipitation Outlook

Double click images to enlarge them.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

April Temperature and precipitation Outlook

Double click images to enlarge them.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

May Temperature and precipitation Outlook

Double click images to enlarge them.

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Seasonal temperature and precipitation outlook

March through May

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If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool.   Click here.

College of DuPage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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Find Beau on Facebook! Click the banner.

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Find Beau on Twitter! Share your weather photos! @beaudodson

2016-11-19_11-50-24

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