Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

1:15 PM

February 22, 2023
1:15 PM
Severe Weather Alert

In Missouri: Ste Genevieve, Bollinger, Perry, Cape Girardeau, Dunklin, Pemiscott, New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard, and Butler Counties.

In Illinois: Randolph.

Concern: Damaging wind gusts in excess of 55 mph. There is a low end risk that a short lived tornado could occur today.

Showers and thunderstorms are moving east northeast at 30 mph. They are approaching from the west southwest.

These storms have a history of producing 50 to 60 mph wind gusts. It is possible that there won’t be much lightning with them.

There is quite a bit of jet stream energy today. Some of those wind gusts are being transported downward in showers and thunderstorms.

Video Update

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Seven-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region.  Scroll down to see the region by region forecast.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION.  Scroll down to see the region by region forecast.

Video update

Neau’s Two Minute Weather Forecast

Beau’s Longer AM Weather Video Update

Severe Weather 9 AM Update

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Today’s Local Almanacs (for a few select cities).  Your location will be comparable.

Note, the low is this morning’s low and not tomorrow’s.

This shows you the forecast high.  The records.  The average and then the departure (how many degrees above or below average will temperatures be).

The graphic shows you what our average daily rainfall is for the day.  That is not what is expected (that is the average from past year).

If you have not subscribed to my YouTube Channel then click on this link and it will take you to my videos.

Click the button below and it will take you to the Beau Dodson YouTube Channel.

48-hour forecast

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Wednesday, February 22, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Wednesday Forecast:  Mostly cloudy. Windy.  Showers and thunderstorms developing.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 80%
Southeast Missouri ~ 80%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 60%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 80%
Southern Illinois ~ 70%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 80%
Far western Kentucky ~ 70%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 60%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 80%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation:  Numerous
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time, but more likely late morning into the afternoon hours.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 70° to 74°
Southeast Missouri ~ 70° to 74°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 72° to 75°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 70° to 74°
Southern Illinois ~ 73° to 76°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 73° to 76°
Far western Kentucky ~ 73° to 76°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 73° to 76°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 70° to 74°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 73° to 76°
Winds will be from this direction:   South southwest 15 to 40 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast:  70° to 74°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B during the afternoon
UV Index: 2. Low
Sunrise: 6:36 AM
Sunset:  5:42 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast:   Cloudy with a chance of mainly evening showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 30%
Southeast Missouri ~ 30%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 30%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 30%
Southern Illinois ~ 30%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 40%
Far western Kentucky ~ 30%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 60%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 40%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the precipitation: Before 10 PM
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 50° to 55°
Southeast Missouri ~ 52° to 55°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 55° to 60°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 50° to 55°
Southern Illinois ~ 54° to 56°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 53° to 56°
Far western Kentucky ~ 54° to 58°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~54° to 58°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 52° to 55°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 56° to 58°
Winds will be from this direction:   South southwest 10 to 25 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 48° to 58°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B during the early evening and monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.
Moonrise:  8:11 AM
Moonset:  8:44 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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Thursday, February 23, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Thursday Forecast:  Partly to mostly sunny. Mild.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 66° to 72°
Southeast Missouri ~ 66° to 72°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 66° to 72°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 66° to 72°
Southern Illinois ~ 66° to 72°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 66° to 72°
Far western Kentucky ~ 66° to 72°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 66° to 72°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 66° to 72°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 66° to 72°
Winds will be from this direction:   South southwest becoming west southwest 15 to 25 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 64° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 3. Moderate
Sunrise: 6:34 AM
Sunset:  5:43 PM
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Thursday night Forecast:   Mostly clear. Colder.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 24° to 26°
Southeast Missouri ~ 28° to 32°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 33° to 36°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 24° to 26°
Southern Illinois ~ 24° to 26°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 30° to 32°
Far western Kentucky ~ 32° to 34°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 32° to 34°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 32° to 34°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 33° to 36°
Winds will be from this direction:   West northwest becoming north 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 30°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise:  8:38 AM
Moonset:  9:53 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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Friday, February 24, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Friday Forecast:  Partly cloudy. Cooler.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 42° to 44°
Southeast Missouri ~ 43° to 46°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 43° to 46°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 42° to 44°
Southern Illinois ~ 43° to 46°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 44° to 46°
Far western Kentucky ~ 44° to 48°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 44° to 48°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 44° to 48°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 45° to 50°
Winds will be from this direction:   North northeast 10 to 25 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 43° to 46°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 3. Moderate
Sunrise: 6:33 AM
Sunset:  5:44 PM
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Friday  night Forecast:   A chance of a few rain showers.  Chances are higher the farther south you travel.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 30%
Southeast Missouri ~ 30%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 30%
Southern Illinois ~ 30%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 30%
Far western Kentucky ~ 40%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 40%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 30%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 33° to 36°
Southeast Missouri ~ 38° to 42°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40° to 44°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 33° to 36°
Southern Illinois ~ 38° to 40°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 38° to 40°
Far western Kentucky ~ 38° to 42°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 40° to 44°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 38° to 42°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40° to 44°
Winds will be from this direction:   South southwest 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 28° to 34°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.
Moonrise:  9:06 8 AM
Moonset:  11:00 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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Saturday, February 25, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Saturday Forecast:  Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance of showers.  Chances are higher the farther south you travel.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 20%
Southeast Missouri ~ 20%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 20%
Southern Illinois ~ 20%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 30%
Far western Kentucky ~ 30%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 30%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 20%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 48° to 52°
Southeast Missouri ~ 50° to 54°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 53° to 56°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 48° to 52°
Southern Illinois ~ 50° to 54°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 50° to 54°
Far western Kentucky ~ 50° to 54°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 50° to 54°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 50° to 54°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 50° to 54°
Winds will be from this direction:   North 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 46° to 52°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.
UV Index: 3. Moderate
Sunrise: 6:32 AM
Sunset:  5:45 PM
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Saturday night Forecast:   Mostly cloudy. A chance of a few showers.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 30%
Southeast Missouri ~ 30%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 30%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 30%
Southern Illinois ~ 30%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 30%
Far western Kentucky ~ 30%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 30%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 30%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the precipitation: Before 10 PM
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 36° to 38°
Southeast Missouri ~ 40° to 42°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40° to 44°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 36° to 38°
Southern Illinois ~ 40° to 44°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 40° to 44°
Far western Kentucky ~40° to 44°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 40° to 44°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 40° to 44°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40° to 44°
Winds will be from this direction: South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 34° to 44°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates.
Moonrise:  9:36 8 AM
Moonset:  –:– —
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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Sunday, February 26, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Sunday Forecast:   Mostly cloudy. A chance of a shower.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 20%
Southeast Missouri ~ 30%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 20%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 20%
Southern Illinois ~ 30%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 30%
Far western Kentucky ~ 30%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 30%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 20%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation:  Widely scattered
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 56° to 62°
Southeast Missouri ~ 56° to 62°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 56° to 62°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 56° to 62°
Southern Illinois ~ 56° to 62°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 56° to 62°
Far western Kentucky ~ 56° to 62°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 56° to 62°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 56° to 62°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 56° to 62°
Winds will be from this direction:   South 8 to 16 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast:  56° to 62°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.
UV Index: 3. Moderate
Sunrise: 6:30 AM
Sunset:  5:46 PM
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Sunday night Forecast:   Mostly cloudy. A chance of a few showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 40%
Southeast Missouri ~ 40%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 30%
Southern Illinois ~ 40%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 30%
Far western Kentucky ~ 40%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 30%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 30%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the precipitation: Before 10 PM
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 50° to 55°
Southeast Missouri ~ 50° to 55°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 50° to 55°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 50° to 55°
Southern Illinois ~ 50° to 55°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 50° to 55°
Far western Kentucky ~ 50° to 55°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 50° to 55°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 50° to 55°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 50° to 55°
Winds will be from this direction: South 15 to 30 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 55°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates.
Moonrise:  10:08 8 AM
Moonset:  12:05 AM
The phase of the moon: First Quarter

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Monday, February 27, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Monday Forecast:   Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Windy.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 70%
Southeast Missouri ~ 70%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 70%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 70%
Southern Illinois ~ 70%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 70%
Far western Kentucky ~ 70%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 70%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 70%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation:  Numerous
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 66° to 72°
Southeast Missouri ~ 66° to 72°
The Missouri Bootheel ~  66° to 72°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~  66° to 72°
Southern Illinois ~ 66° to 72°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 66° to 72°
Far western Kentucky ~ 66° to 72°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 66° to 72°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 66° to 72°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 66° to 72°
Winds will be from this direction:   South 15 to 35 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 66° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
UV Index: 3. Moderate
Sunrise: 6:28 AM
Sunset:  5:47 PM
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Monday night Forecast:   Evening clouds with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Ending.  Clearing late.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 20%
Southeast Missouri ~ 20%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 20%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 30%
Southern Illinois ~ 30%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 30%
Far western Kentucky ~ 30%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 40%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 30%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation:  Ending west to east
Timing of the precipitation: Before 10 PM
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 40° to 45°
Southeast Missouri ~ 40° to 45°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40° to 45°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 40° to 45°
Southern Illinois ~ 40° to 45°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 40° to 45°
Far western Kentucky ~ 40° to 45°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 40° to 45°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 40° to 45°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40° to 45°
Winds will be from this direction: Southwest to west 10 to 25 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 35° to 45°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates.
Moonrise:  10:45 AM
Moonset:  1:10 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **

Click the tab below.

Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

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Today through February 27th:  There is a small chance of a severe thunderstorm today.  The risk will be a storm producing high winds.  Overall, the risk appears minimal.  I will be watching next Monday, as well.

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Today’s Storm Prediction Center’s Severe Weather Outlook

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

Explanation of tables.  Click here.

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Tornado Probability Outlook

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Large Hail Probability Outlook

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High wind Probability Outlook

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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Day Three Severe Weather Outlook

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Forecast Discussion

Well, at least it is mild!  There is that.

We are avoiding one snow and ice storm after another.

A deep area of low pressure will pass to our north today.  That places us in the warm and windy sector.

A large chunk of the country is under winter storm advisory products.  Our region, however, is once again in the warm sector of a system.

Areas to the north will experience snow and ice.  You can see that stripe of precipitation on the GFS future-cast radar.  Blue is snow, pink and red is ice, green and yellow represents showers and thunderstorms.

Check out all of the products the NWS has issued.

Our region is under a windy advisory.

Double click images to enlarge them.  Ice storm warnings and blizzard warnings to our north.

Zooming out a bit.

You can see that tight pressure gradient on these two pressure maps.

Tight pressure gradients cause strong and gusty winds.  We are going to have that today.

Those black lines are isobars.  Equal lines of barometric pressure.  Your home barometer will be rapidly falling today and then rising tonight.

National view of the system

A warm front moved northward overnight.

You can clearly see that front on this temperature map (made at 6 am).

All of that mild air is spilling northward ahead of a warm front and a cold front.

Showers and thunderstorms will develop west to east today.  A few of the storms could produce strong wind gusts.

3 PM future-cast radar.  A band of showers and thunderstorms marching east to west across the region.

Officially, the SPC has us in a severe weather risk, but the actual risk is very low.  There just isn’t much in the way of CAPE.  Energy that storms tap into.

There will be a very strong low-level jet stream today.  Some of those winds will mix down with or without showers and thunderstorms.

If we have some sunshine, then wind gusts could top 50 mph in a few spots.  These would be gradient winds.

We are fortunate and lucky that we are not going to have severe thunderstorms and tornadoes on a widespread basis.  All of these systems have been pulling warm and moist air northward.  The dynamics just have not aligned perfectly for a severe outbreak.  Luck is all that is.

Rain totals today and tonight will range from trace amounts to as much as 0.40″.  Not a lot.

Locally higher totals could occur if a couple of spots see repeated thunderstorms.

The cold front won’t push across the region until Thursday afternoon.  The front will move through the region dry.

Thursday will be breezy with mild conditions.  Highs will again reach to near 70 degrees.

Speaking of 70 degrees!

Some locations could touch or exceed their record high temperatures today (see the almanac charts at the top of the page).

Today’s potential high temperature records.  The circles are where record high temperatures may occur.  The squares are record low high temperatures.

Double click images to enlarge them.

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Tonight’s potential record high low temperatures.  Look at all of those squares!

That would be the warmest low temperatures recorded.  Many record books go back to the 1800s.

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Our next series of weather events will push through the region Friday night through Monday night.

I have gone back and forth on what to do with rain chances Friday night through Sunday.

For now, I have chances around 30%.  The odds are a bit higher the farther south you travel.

All in all, plan on a few rain showers on radar.  If it ends up dry, then great.  If not, you were prepared.

A bigger system winds up in the Central United States Monday and Monday night.  This system will bring another round of showers and thunderstorms to the area.  Locally heavy rain, gusty wind, and gusty thunderstorms will again be a possibility.

I will need to monitor the severe weather risk with that event.  Still too soon to know if it is a concern.

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This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 50 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 35 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.00″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

Click on the image to expand it.

This outlook covers February 22, 2023 through March 1, 2023

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 54 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 34 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.00″
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This outlook covers March 2nd through March 9th

Click on the image to expand

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY

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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  60 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 40 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.90″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers March 7th through March 20th

Precipitation outlook

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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