Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

Monday, August 8, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section

Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.


48-hour forecast



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Monday to Monday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.  Scattered through Wednesday evening.  I will monitor next Sunday and Monday.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Low risk.  Isolated damaging wind will be possible.  Isolated hail possible in the most intense thunderstorms.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  Possible.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential rain, which can quickly flood roadways and ditches.

4. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  Possible.  Possible today (Monday)

5.  Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast?   No.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

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August 8, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Monday Forecast:  Partly sunny.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 40% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.  More likely during the PM hours.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 90°  /  SE MO 85° to 90° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 85° to 90° /  South IL 85° to 90°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 85° to 90°  /  West KY 85° to 90° /  NW TN 85° to 90°
Winds will be from the:   South southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 86° to 94°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.  Locally heavy rain. Gusty wind near storms.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather radars
UV Index: 8. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:05 AM
Sunset:  7:55 PM
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Monday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Higher chances far north.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 40% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered (more numerous far north)
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 72°  /  SE MO 70° to 72° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 70° to 72° /  South IL 70° to 72°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 70° to 72°  /  West KY 70° to 72° /  NW TN 70° to 72°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.  Locally heavy rain. Gusty wind near storms.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather radars
Moonrise: 5:27 PM
Moonset:  1:47 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Gibbous

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August 9, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Partly sunny.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 70% /  the rest of South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 84° to 88°  /  SE MO 83° to 86° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 80° to 84° /  South IL 82° to 85°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 84°  /  West KY 84° to 86° /  NW TN 84° to 88°
Winds will be from the:    South southwest becoming west 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 88°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.  Locally heavy rain. Gusty wind near storms.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather radars
UV Index: 8. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:06 AM
Sunset:  7:53 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 72°  /  SE MO 64° to 68° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 64° to 68° /  South IL 65° to 70°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 64° to 66°  /  West KY 66° to 70° /  NW TN 68° to 72°
Winds will be from the:   West northwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 64° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.  Locally heavy rain. Gusty wind near storms.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather radars
Moonrise: 6:32 PM
Moonset:  2:48 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Gibbous

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August 10, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Wednesday Forecast:  A mix of sun and clouds. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Higher chances south vs north.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 60% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps numerous.  Higher chances south vs north
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 85°  /  SE MO 82° to 85° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 82° to 85° /  South IL 82° to 85°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 85°  /  West KY 82° to 85° /  NW TN 82° to 85°
Winds will be from the:    Variable wind direction 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 85°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning. Locally heavy rain.  Gusty wind near storms.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates
UV Index: 9. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:08 AM
Sunset:  7:53 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  A chance of mainly evening showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  10% /  the rest of South IL ~  20%  /  West KY ~  30% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  20%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered (ending)
Timing of the rain: During the early evening
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 66°  /  SE MO 62° to 65° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 62° to 65° /  South IL 62° to 65°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 62° to 65°  /  West KY 63° to 66° /  NW TN 64° to 66°
Winds will be from the:  North 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 66°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars during the evening hours
Moonrise: 7:26 PM
Moonset:  3:59 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Gibbous

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August 11, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Thursday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~  0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  0% /  the rest of South IL ~  0%  /  West KY ~  0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  0%  /  NW TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 84° to 86°  /  SE MO 82° to 85° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 82° to 85° /  South IL 83° to 86°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 85°  /  West KY 83° to 86° /  NW TN 84° to 86°
Winds will be from the:  North 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 85°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 10. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:08 AM
Sunset:  7:52 PM
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Thursday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~  0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  0% /  the rest of South IL ~  0%  /  West KY ~  0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  0%  /  NW TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 65°  /  SE MO 62° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 62° /  South IL 62° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 60° to 64°  /  West KY 62° to 64° /  NW TN 62° to 65°
Winds will be from the:  Northeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 65°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 8:11 PM
Moonset:  5:15 AM
The phase of the moon:  Full

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August 12, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Friday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~  0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  0% /  the rest of South IL ~  0%  /  West KY ~  0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  0%  /  NW TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 84°  /  SE MO 82° to 84° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 80° to 82° /  South IL 80° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 84°  /  West KY 80° to 84° /  NW TN 82° to 84°
Winds will be from the:    Variable wind 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 10. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:09 AM
Sunset:  7:51 PM
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Friday night Forecast:  Mostly clear. Pleasant.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~  0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  0% /  the rest of South IL ~  0%  /  West KY ~  0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  0%  /  NW TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 65°  /  SE MO 62° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 56° to 60° /  South IL 58° to 62°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 60° to 64°  /  West KY 62° to 64° /  NW TN 62° to 64°
Winds will be from the:  Northeast 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 56° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 8:47 PM
Moonset:  6:33 AM
The phase of the moon:  Full

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August 13, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Saturday Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Nice.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~  0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  0% /  the rest of South IL ~  0%  /  West KY ~  0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  0%  /  NW TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84°  /  SE MO 78° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 78° to 82° /  South IL 80° to 82°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82°  /  West KY 80° to 82° /  NW TN 82° to 84°
Winds will be from the: East northeast 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:09 AM
Sunset:  7:49 PM
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Saturday night Forecast:  Mostly clear early.  A few late night clouds.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~  0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  0% /  the rest of South IL ~  0%  /  West KY ~  0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  0%  /  NW TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 64°  /  SE MO 60° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 62° /  South IL 60° to 62°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 60° to 64°  /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 62° to 64°
Winds will be from the:  Northeast 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 9:17 PM
Moonset:  7:47 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Gibbous

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August 14, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  LOW confidence
Sunday Forecast: Partly sunny.  A slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~  20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  20% /  the rest of South IL ~  20%  /  West KY ~  20% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  20%  /  NW TN ~  20%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 84°  /  SE MO 80° to 84° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 78° to 82° /  South IL 80° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 84°  /  West KY 82° to 84° /  NW TN 82° to 84°
Winds will be from the: Light wind.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates
UV Index: 9. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:10 AM
Sunset:  7:47 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~  20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  20% /  the rest of South IL ~  20%  /  West KY ~  20% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~  20%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 63° to 66°  /  SE MO 63° to 66° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 63° to 66° /  South IL 63° to 66°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 63° to 66°  /  West KY 63° to 66° /  NW TN 63° to 66°
Winds will be from the:  Northeast 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 63° to 66°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 9:45 PM
Moonset:  8:58 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Gibbous

 

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **

Click the tab below.


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Today through August 12th:  Summer thunderstorms can produce isolated wind damage and hail.  Widespread severe weather is unlikely.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.


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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.   Cold front with showers and thunderstorms.
    2.   Somewhat cooler behind the front.  Less humid.

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Weather advice:

Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather app.   Thunderstorms are likely over the next several days.  A few could become severe with high wind gusts.

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Weather Discussion

The primary weather story, over the coming week, will be a cold front Monday through Wednesday.

This front will push in from the north.  There will be plenty of moisture for this front to tap into.  That equals locally heavy rain from showers and thunderstorms.

The front will approach the region Monday night.  Push across the north and northwest half of the region Tuesday into Tuesday evening.  Then, it will push out of the region late Tuesday night into Wednesday evening.

Shower and thunderstorm activity will first increase over our northern and northwestern counties tonight and then push across the region tomorrow into Wednesday.

The front will exit the region Wednesday evening.  That will bring an end to precipitation chances.

PWAT values will top 2 inches.  That is a high number for a PWAT value.  PWAT is a measure of moisture in the atmosphere.  Two inches is tropical air.  Tropical downpours.

Once again, as we have witnessed over the past two months, rainfall totals will swing wildly from county to county.  Some counties may receive almost no measurable precipitation and other counties will exceed four inches of rain (between now and Wednesday evening).

The risk of severe weather will be low, but perhaps not zero.  An isolated damaging wind gust will be possible in the most intense thunderstorms.

It will be warm and muggy ahead of the front and a bit nicer behind the front.

Here is the dew point animation.  Notice dew points in the 70s ahead of the front.  MUGGY air.  Air you wear.  Tropical air.  Notice the lower numbers filter in behind the front.  Nicer air.

The bulk of the rain will be along and ahead of this cold front.

Drier conditions Thursday into the weekend.   Hopefully, the worst of the summer heat is behind us.  At the very least we are on the downhill side of summer and will soon slide into autumn.

The latest guidance is showing a decent push of cooler and drier air into the region Thursday into the weekend.

As a matter of fact, some areas may remain in the 70s during this time period.  That would most likely be our northern counties.

Area-wide, temperatures will be cooler and it will be much less humid than recent weeks.  The end of this week is shaping up nicely.

You can see the push of cooler air on this animation

I will keep an eye on a boundary Sunday.  I did include 20% shower and thunderstorm chances.  I will continue to monitor trends concerning this subject.  It is certainly possible that it simply remains dry during this time-frame.

The latest drought monitor maps do show some improvement over much of the area.  Portions of Missouri and Kentucky/Tennessee continue to struggle.  There were improvements over the nor tern and eastern half of the region.



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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

Morning long-range update (usually updated after 10:30 AM). 

Double click on images to enlarge them.

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Early AM Energy Report. 

This graphic is usually updated between 7 am and 9 am

The highlighted precipitation area on some of the charts is considered the corn belt.

Double click this image to make it larger.

 

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.10″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

Click on the image to expand it.

This outlook covers August 8th through August 14th

Click on the image to expand it.

These are typically updated between 8:30 and 9:30 AM

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.10″
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This outlook covers August 15th through August 21st

Click on the image to expand it

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  90 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers August 19th through September 1st


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Precipitation outlook

 

Monthly Outlooks

SUMMER OUTLOOK

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

August Temperature Outlook

August Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

September Temperature Outlook

 

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Autumn Forecast

Temperatures

Precipitation

 

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The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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Find Beau on Facebook! Click the banner.

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Find Beau on Twitter! Share your weather photos! @beaudodson

2016-11-19_11-50-24

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