Friday, July 29, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION.

SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.

Temperatures and precipitation chances are going to vary greatly from north to south today. Keep that in mind.

See the written forecast details further down in the blog for each section of the region.

48-hour forecast

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Friday to Friday

1. Is lightning in the forecast? Yes. Today through Monday. Becoming isolated Tuesday onward.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? Possible. Storms could be locally intense with high wind gusts.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Monitor. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential rain, which can quickly flood roadways and ditches.

4. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees? Yes. Another heat wave next week. Heat advisories are possible Monday or Tuesday onward.

5. Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast? No.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

July 29, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? High confidence
Friday Forecast: Mostly cloudy south and partly sunny north. A chance of scattered thunderstorms over our southern counties. Temperatures may vary based on cloud cover.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 100% / the rest of SE MO ~ 20% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 20% / West KY ~ 40% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 100%
Coverage of precipitation: None north. Numerous south.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84° / SE MO 80° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 80° to 82° / South IL 80° to 82° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82° / West KY 80° to 82° / NW TN 82° to 84°
Winds will be from the: Northeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index: 7. High.
Sunrise: 5:57 AM
Sunset: 8:06 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. A chance of a scattered shower or thunderstorm far south.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% / the rest of SE MO ~ 10% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 20% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered far south
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 68° / SE MO 60° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° / South IL 62° to 64° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border 62° to 64° / West KY 63° to 66° / NW TN 64° to 66°
Winds will be from the: Light northeast wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 6:33 AM
Moonset: 9:08 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

July 30, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Saturday Forecast: Partly sunny. A chance of scattered thunderstorms. Our northern counties may end up dry. Highest rain chances across our far southern counties. Temperatures will vary based on cloud cover.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% / the rest of SE MO ~ 30% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 30% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10% / NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: None north. Scattered over southeast Missouri into the Bootheel and northwest Tennessee. Lower chances everywhere else.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84° / SE MO 80° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 80° to 82° / South IL 80° to 82° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82° / West KY 80° to 82° / NW TN 82° to 84°
Winds will be from the: Northeast 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index: 5. Moderate.
Sunrise: 5:58 AM
Sunset: 8:05 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% / the rest of SE MO ~ 40% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% / the rest of South IL ~ 40% / West KY 40% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40% / NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps numerous.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 68° / SE MO 62° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° / South IL 62° to 64° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border 62° to 64° / West KY 63° to 66° / NW TN 64° to 68°
Winds will be from the: Light northeast wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 7:33 AM
Moonset: 9:37 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

July 31, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? LOW confidence
Sunday Forecast: Intervals of clouds. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% / the rest of SE MO ~ 40% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% / the rest of South IL ~ 40% / West KY ~ 60% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40% / NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps numerous. Confidence in coverage is low.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84° / SE MO 80° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 80° to 82° / South IL 80° to 82° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82° / West KY 80° to 82° / NW TN 80° to 84°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index: 6. High.
Sunrise: 5:59 AM
Sunset: 8:04 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% / the rest of SE MO ~ 40% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% / the rest of South IL ~ 40% / West KY ~4 30% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40% / NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps numerous. Confidence in coverage is low.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 74° / SE MO 66° to 72° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 66° to 72° / South IL 68° to 72° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border 68° to 72° / West KY 68° to 72° / NW TN 70° to 74°
Winds will be from the: Southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 64° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 8:35 AM
Moonset: 10:03 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

August 1, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? High confidence
Monday Forecast: Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% / the rest of SE MO ~ 30% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% / the rest of South IL ~ 30% / West KY ~ 30% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30% / NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 86° to 90° / SE MO 84° to 88° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 84° to 88° / South IL 85° to 90° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 84° to 88° / West KY 85° to 90° / NW TN 85° to 90°
Winds will be from the: Southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 86° to 94°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index: 10. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:00 AM
Sunset: 8:03 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% / the rest of SE MO ~ 20% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / the rest of South IL ~ 20% / West KY ~4 30% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30% / NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 74° / SE MO 70° to 74° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 70° to 74° / South IL 70° to 74° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border 70° to 74° / West KY 70° to 74° / NW TN 70° to 74°
Winds will be from the: Southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 74°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 9:35 AM
Moonset: 10:28 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

August 2, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? High confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Mostly sunny. An isolated thunderstorm possible. Mainly during the afternoon. Hot and humid.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% / the rest of SE MO ~ 20% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / the rest of South IL ~ 20% / West KY ~ 20% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20% / NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Mostly during the PM hours.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 90° to 92° / SE MO 88° to 92° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 88° to 92° / South IL 88° to 92° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 88° to 92° / West KY 90° to 92° / NW TN 90° to 92°
Winds will be from the: Southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 96° to 102°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 10. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:01 AM
Sunset: 8:02 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Mostly clear. A slight chance of an evening thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% / the rest of SE MO ~ 10% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% / the rest of South IL ~ 10% / West KY ~4 10% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10% / NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Before 10 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 73° to 76° / SE MO 73° to 76° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 73° to 76° / South IL 73° to 76° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border 73° to 76° / West KY 73° to 76° / NW TN 73° to 76°
Winds will be from the: Southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 73° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 10:37 AM
Moonset: 10:52 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

August 3, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? High confidence
Wednesday Forecast: Mostly sunny. Hot and humid.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% / the rest of SE MO ~ 10% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% / the rest of South IL ~ 10% / West KY ~ 10% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10% / NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 90° to 95° / SE MO 90° to 94° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 90° to 94° / South IL 90° to 94° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 90° to 94° / West KY 90° to 94° / NW TN 90° to 94°
Winds will be from the: South 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 100° to 105°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 10. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:02 AM
Sunset: 8:01 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% / the rest of SE MO ~ 10% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% / the rest of South IL ~ 10% / West KY ~4 10% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10% / NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 73° to 76° / SE MO 73° to 76° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 73° to 76° / South IL 73° to 76° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border 73° to 76° / West KY 73° to 76° / NW TN 73° to 76°
Winds will be from the: Southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 73° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 11:39 AM
Moonset: 11:17 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

August 4, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? High confidence
Thursday Forecast: Mostly sunny. Hot and humid.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% / the rest of SE MO ~ 10% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% / the rest of South IL ~ 10% / West KY ~ 10% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10% / NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 90° to 95° / SE MO 90° to 94° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 90° to 94° / South IL 90° to 94° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 90° to 94° / West KY 90° to 94° / NW TN 90° to 94°
Winds will be from the: South 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 100° to 105°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 10. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:02 AM
Sunset: 8:00 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% / the rest of SE MO ~ 10% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% / the rest of South IL ~ 10% / West KY ~4 10% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10% / NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 73° to 76° / SE MO 73° to 76° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 73° to 76° / South IL 73° to 76° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border 73° to 76° / West KY 73° to 76° / NW TN 73° to 76°
Winds will be from the: Southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 73° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 12:44 AM
Moonset: 11:45 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down. Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook. You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **

Click the tab below.

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Today through August 7th: Summer thunderstorm can produce isolated wind damage/downburst winds.

Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.

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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

1. Monitoring shower and thunderstorm chances as the front slips southward.
2. Portions of the region still need more rain. Many have received rain.
3. The front moves back north Sunday/Monday.
4. Heat wave next week. The heat is returning.

Weather advice:

Avoid flooded roadways. Thunderstorms can produce one to two inches of rain in less than thirty minutes.

Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather app. Thunderstorms are likely over the next several days. A few could become severe with high wind gusts.

Weather Discussion

Good morning!

Many of you received much needed rainfall over the past 24 hours. Rain totals ranged from nothing to over three inches! Same story from recent days.

Here is what has fallen over the past 24 hours. Double click the images to enlarge them.

Here are the radar estimated 72 hour rainfall totals.

Double click the images to enlarge them.

Centered north

Centered regionally

Here is what has fallen over the past seven days.

This does NOT include the last 24 hours. That will post later today.

Southern regional view. Double click images to enlarge them.

And northern regional view

Yet, even with all of the rain, some areas still need more. The worst area is far western Kentucky. A few counties have still not received significant rainfall. Mostly near the Kentucky/Tennessee border.

These areas need a soaking rain.

Some rain will fall today. Morning radar shows rain across portions of the region. See the live radar links below, as well.

This is a radar screen grab from 7:30 AM. Double click on images to enlarge them.

That rain is spreading east/southeast.

A few more scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible today into Saturday night. Many areas will be not receive precipitation.

The best chance of rain today will be where you see it on radar now. Now meaning 7:30 AM and into the coming hours.

Otherwise, the rest of the region will be dry or have low chances of showers.

The front responsible for all of this rain has been pushing southward. It will continue to move south today and tonight.

Saturday will likely be dry for most of the region. I have low-end thunderstorm chances far south.

I will keep an eye on the placement of the frontal boundary Saturday into Saturday night. If it were to move slightly northward then thunderstorm chances would increase a bit.

Lower than average confidence in rain and thunderstorm coverage Sunday and Monday.

The front will return northward Sunday into Monday. When this occurs, the shower and thunderstorm chances will once again increase.

There has been in a trend in some data, over the past 24-hours, towards a drier solution. This will need to be monitored.

The GFS model has trended drier. The EC has trended wetter. Two models. Two opinions.

The high resolution models are mixed on the idea of rain coverage.

If thunderstorms do return Sunday and Monday, then locally heavy rain will again be a concern. Same as recent weeks. Someone could get a lot of rain. We will need to monitor trends.

It does appear our region will have at least some rain and thunderstorm chances Sunday into Monday. The only question is placement and the extent of the coverage.

If you have outdoor plans Sunday into Monday then you will want to monitor updates and the radars.

The heat will return next week.

Yet another heat wave is forecast to impact the region next week. Temperatures will again return to the 90s. Heat index values will again pop above 100 degrees.

This could be a nasty heat wave for portions of the central United. Some of the data shows high temperatures WELL into the 100’s over portions of Iowa and surrounding states. The corn belt.

Some of the data is even showing highs above 110 degrees. That would again be centered over Iowa.

Our region could hit 100, but that is not for certain. Either way, it will be hot and muggy. Even muggier in areas that have received several inches of rain this week

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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

Morning long-range update (usually updated after 10:30 AM). Double click on images to enlarge them.

Early AM Energy Report.

Double click on images to enlarge them.

This graphic is usually updated between 7 am and 9 am

The highlighted area on some of the charts is considered the corn belt.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.10″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

Click on the image to expand it.

This outlook covers July 29ththrough August 4th

Click on the image to expand it.

These are typically updated between 8:30 and 9:30 AM

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.10″
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This outlook covers August 5th through August 11th

Click on the image to expand it

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY

Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 90 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers August 12th through August 26th

Precipitation outlook

Monthly Outlooks

SUMMER OUTLOOK

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.

E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

August Temperature Outlook

August Precipitation Outlook

E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

September Temperature Outlook

Autumn Forecast

Temperatures

Precipitation

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.