Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

Tuesday, July 26, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section

Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.

Temperatures and precipitation chances are going to vary greatly  from north to south through Monday.  Keep that in mind.

Areas north of the cold front will be several degrees cooler than areas to the south.  This makes for a complicated AREA-WIDE general forecast.

See the written forecast details further down in the blog for each section of the region.


48-hour forecast



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Tuesday to Tuesday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.  Today through next Tuesday.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Possible. Storms could be locally intense with high wind gusts.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  Monitor.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential rain, which can quickly flood roadways and ditches.

4. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  Yes.   Today.  I will need to monitor Wednesday across our southern counties.  I am watching next Monday and Tuesday as the warm front moves back north.  Hot air may return.

5.  Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast?   No.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

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July 26, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Tuesday Forecast:  Intervals of clouds.  Clouds will be thicker over the northern half of the region.  A chance of scattered thunderstorms.  Coverage will be highest across our northern counties (esp early in the day). A wide range of temperatures north to south.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 100% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~4 30% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 90%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated south to numerous north.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 94° to 96°  /  SE MO 88° to 94° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 84° to 88° /  South IL 88° to 94°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 85° to 90°  /  West KY 88° to 90° /  NW TN 94° to 96°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 90° to 110°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.  Avoid flooded roadways in areas with heavy rain.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:55 AM
Sunset:  8:08 PM
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Tuesday  night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  A chance of scattered thunderstorms
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 30% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Before midnight
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 74° to 76°  /  SE MO 72° to 75° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 72° to 74° /  South IL 72° to 75°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 72° to 75°  /  West KY 73° to 76° /  NW TN 74° to 76°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 72° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 3:41 AM
Moonset:  7:13 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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July 27, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Wednesday Forecast:  Partly sunny.   A chance of  thunderstorms.  Temperatures may vary based on cloud cover.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% /  the rest of South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~4 60% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 92° to 94°  /  SE MO 86° to 90° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 86° to 90° /  South IL 86° to 92°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 86° to 92°  /  West KY 88° to 92° /  NW TN 92° to 94°
Winds will be from the: West southwest 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 90° to 100°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index:   7. High.
Sunrise: 5:56 AM
Sunset:  8:07 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast:  Mostly cloudy.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 70%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 70% /  the rest of South IL ~ 70%  /  West KY ~4 70% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 72° to 74°  /  SE MO 65° to 70° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 65° to 70° /  South IL 70° to 72°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 70° to 72°  /  West KY 70° to 72° /  NW TN 70° to 74°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 66° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 4:35 AM
Moonset:  7:56 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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July 28, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Thursday Forecast:  Mostly cloudy.  A chance of scattered thunderstorms.  Temperatures may vary based on cloud cover.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 70% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% /  the rest of South IL ~ 70%  /  West KY ~4 70% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70%  /  NW TN ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 84° to 88°  /  SE MO 82° to 85° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 82° to 85° /  South IL 82° to 85°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 85°  /  West KY 84° to 86° /  NW TN 84° to 88°
Winds will be from the:  Southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 84° to 88°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index:  7. High.
Sunrise: 5:56 AM
Sunset:  8:07 PM
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Thursday  night Forecast:  Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.  Chances may be lower far north and highest far south.  Depending on the frontal boundaries placement.
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO Bootheel ~ 70% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~4 60% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 72°  /  SE MO 65° to 70° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 65° to 70° /  South IL 66° to 70°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 66° to 70°  /  West KY 66° to 70° /  NW TN 70° to 72°
Winds will be from the:  Variable wind direction 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 65° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 4:35 AM
Moonset:  7:56 PM
The phase of the moon: New

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July 29, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Friday Forecast:  Mostly cloudy.  A chance of scattered thunderstorms.  Temperatures may vary based on cloud cover.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~4 60% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated north.  Scattered south.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84°  /  SE MO 80° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 80° to 82° /  South IL 80° to 82°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82°  /  West KY 80° to 82° /  NW TN 82° to 84°
Winds will be from the:  Northeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index:  7. High.
Sunrise: 5:57AM
Sunset:  8:06 PM
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Friday night Forecast:  Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.  Chances are lower across the northern half of the region vs south.
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~4 30% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation:  Perhaps none far north.  Scattered far south.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 68°  /  SE MO 62° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 62° to 64° /  South IL 62° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 62° to 64°  /  West KY 63° to 66° /  NW TN 64° to 66°
Winds will be from the:  Light northeast wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 6:33 AM
Moonset:  9:08 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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July 30, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Saturday Forecast:  Partly sunny.  A chance of scattered thunderstorms.  Our northern counties may end up dry.  Highest rain chances across our far southern counties.  Temperatures will vary based on cloud cover.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~4 40% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated north.  Scattered south.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84°  /  SE MO 80° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 80° to 82° /  South IL 80° to 82°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82°  /  West KY 80° to 82° /  NW TN 82° to 84°
Winds will be from the:  Northeast 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index:  5. Moderate.
Sunrise: 5:58AM
Sunset:  8:05 PM
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Saturday  night Forecast:  Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.  Chances are lower across the northern half of the region vs south.
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~4 30% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation:  Perhaps none far north.  Scattered far south.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 66°  /  SE MO 62° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  South IL 62° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 62° to 64°  /  West KY 63° to 66° /  NW TN 64° to 66°
Winds will be from the:  Light northeast wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 7:33 AM
Moonset:  9:37 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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July 31, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High  confidence
Sunday Forecast:  Partly sunny.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~4 40% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84°  /  SE MO 80° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 80° to 82° /  South IL 80° to 82°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82°  /  West KY 80° to 82° /  NW TN 80° to 84°
Winds will be from the:  South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index:  6. High.
Sunrise: 5:59AM
Sunset:  8:04 PM
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Sunday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~4 30% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 66° to 70°  /  SE MO 64° to 68° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 64° to 68° /  South IL 64° to 68°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 64° to 68°  /  West KY 64° to 68° /  NW TN 64° to 68°
Winds will be from the:  South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 65° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 8:35 AM
Moonset:  10:03 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **

Click the tab below.


Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

 



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Today through August 5th:  Thunderstorms over the next seven days could produce scattered reports of wind damage.  Monitor forecasts and your Beau Dodson Weather app for updates.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.


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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.   Major flash flood event underway across St Louis and portions of southern Illinois.
    2.   Scattered thunderstorms over the coming days.  Locally heavy rain where storms occur.
    3.   Hot today.  Muggy today (for most areas).
    4.   Weekend cold front!
    5.   Warm front Sunday night/Monday.

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Weather advice:

Avoid flooded roadways.  Thunderstorms can produce one to two inches of rain in less than thirty minutes.

Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather app.   Thunderstorms are likely over the next several days.  A few could become severe with high wind gusts.

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Weather Discussion

Our northern counties are once again being hit by heavy rain.  Same as yesterday.

A major flash flood event is underway in the St Louis area.  Portions of the interstate are even closed around metro-St Louis.

Portions of Missouri and Illinois have received more than 10 inches of rain over the past few hours.

Here are some of the rainfall maps.  These will be outdated by the time you see them.  Additional rain continues across this zone.

I zoomed in on the Mt Vernon, Illinois area.

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

St Louis area

Two additional maps.

Notice the streak of heavy rain?  That is the training.

Double click the images to make them larger.

Those are some crazy rain amounts!

Lambert airport, as of this writing, was approaching 9 inches of rain!  This breaks the old record from 1915.  That record was from a dying hurricane that came up from the Galveston area.

Summer thunderstorms can produce large rain totals in a short amount of time.  This is usually caused by what we call training thunderstorms.

Thunderstorms that train over the same areas.  This enhances rain totals.

PWAT values this morning are extremely high across the region.  PWAT is a measure of moisture in the atmosphere.  Thunderstorms tap into these PWAT values.  The end result of very heavy rain.

Here are this morning’s PWAT values.  You can see the highest numbers where the rain is falling.

These thunderstorm complexes will weaken as we move through the morning.   They are training southeast.  See the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.

IR Satellite shows the cold cloud tops in red.  Those are the tops of thunderstorms.  The white dots are lightning strikes.

These thunderstorms are training southeast across our northern counties.  Again, with time, the storms will weaken.  That is usually what happens with these MCS systems.  They peak during the overnight hours.  They then weaken.

Additional scattered thunderstorms may form today.  Any storms that form could produce locally heavy downpours, gusty winds, and lightning.

It is going to be another hot and muggy day for areas away from the clouds and rain.  Heat index values of 100 to 110 degrees are likely in those areas.

Areas with clouds will be cooler, of course.

A frontal boundary will remain in the region through early next week.

This front will waver back and forth across the region.

One thing that I have noticed in the charts is there will likely be a wide range of rain probabilities Friday and Saturday.

Our far northern counties may remain mostly dry Friday and Saturday.  That would include the Mt Vernon area.  I have lowered rain chances there.

Then, our southern counties, will have the highest rain chances.

Please see the written text forecast near the top of the blog for area by area rain probabilities.

It appears the front will be far enough south, Friday and Saturday, to keep our northern counties dry.   Or mostly dry.

If you have weekend plans, then you will want to monitor forecast updates.  The placement of the frontal boundary will be important to rain chances.

The great news is that Wednesday through Sunday won’t be nearly as hot as recent days.  That is because of the cold front, clouds, and precipitation chances.

Rain totals will continue to vary across the region.  This is normal for the summer months.  You can have four or five inches of rain across the northern portion of a county and no rain across the southern half of a county.  We have all experienced this.

It does appear almost the entire area will experience at least some rainfall over the coming days.

The cold front will move back north as a warm front Sunday into Monday.  That will bring warmer and more humid air back northwards.  We are not finished with the heat waves.  We still have August to go.

The GEFS ensembles show our current upcoming weekend cooling trend (this is a 5 day temp anomaly)

Looking forward, however, it appears the heat returns.  First week of August.  The red equals above average temperature anomalies.



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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

Morning long-range update (usually updated after 10:30 AM).  Double click on images to enlarge them.

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Early AM Energy Report. 

Double click on images to enlarge them.

This graphic is usually updated between 7 am and 9 am

The highlighted area on some of the charts is considered the corn belt.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.10″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

Click on the image to expand it.

This outlook covers July 26th through August 1st

Click on the image to expand it.

These are typically updated between 8:30 and 9:30 AM

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.10″
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This outlook covers August 2nd through August 8th

Click on the image to expand it

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  90 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers August 5th through August 18th


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Precipitation outlook

 

Monthly Outlooks

SUMMER OUTLOOK

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

July Temperature Outlook

July Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

August Temperature Outlook

August Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

September Temperature Outlook

 

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Autumn Forecast

Temperatures

Precipitation

 

Great news! The videos are now found in your WeatherTalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.

These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

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The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
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Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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Find Beau on Twitter! Share your weather photos! @beaudodson

2016-11-19_11-50-24

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