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Storm Tracking Links
Interactive local city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
*NEW* Zoom interactive radar (with storm chaser streams)
https://wtalk.co/AVWG7GM7
Real time lightning tracker system two.
https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
The app is for www.weathertalk.com subscribers. Subscriber first and then download the app.
Apple users click here. Android users click here.
What you need to know
Key Points
- Thunderstorms likely late tonight into Friday evening.
- Severe weather risk increase Friday afternoon and evening. Damaging wind, hail, and tornadoes will be possible.
- Have your Beau Dodson Weather app on. Check it. Make sure you have not logged out of the app.
- Remember, a watch means to monitor updates. A warning means to seek shelter. A warning is a higher threat and means to seek shelter immediately. Severe weather may occur in or near your location.
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Here is Facebooks’ Severe Weather Q&A threads.
Link https://www.facebook.com/beaudodsonweather
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The latest blog updates will be posted here at the top of Beau’s severe weather blog.
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Thursday, March 17, 2022
7:00 AM
No weather concerns today.
Shower chances will increase late tonight from west to east. Some rumbles of thunder will also be possible.
The primary change in the forecast has been the threat of severe thunderstorms. If you remember, I told you if the low were to track further north then our severe weather risk would increase. The low is tracking further north.
The primary concern will be Friday afternoon and evening. This is when the ingredients will come together for the potential of damaging wind, hail, and tornadoes.
The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded us to a level two our of five severe weather risk. One being the lowest. Five being the highest.
SPC forecast comments.
I always watch CAPE levels during these events.
Here is the Hrrr model CAPE forecast. Think of CAPE as energy for thunderstorms to tap into.
I also watch dew points. Typically, dew points in the upper 50s to lower 60s are sufficient for a severe weather risk.
Those blue colors represent the 60 degree dew point line. As you can see, it does push into at least a good portion of our local area.
Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather app. Have several ways of receiving your severe weather information in the event one of those ways fails.
Storms will be moving southwest to northeast at 50 mph. Fast moving thunderstorms.
It is possible we have some supercell type thunderstorms Friday afternoon. Those would be the ones that tend to be more scattered. Either way, there is a threat of severe weather.
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The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a zone for the threat of severe weather Friday afternoon and evening across portions of our region.
Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.
Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.
One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.
A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.
The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.
The black outline is our local area.
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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.
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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.
I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.
You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.
Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
Double click the animation to enlarge it.
These maps are in Zulu time. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.
Double click the animation to enlarge it.
Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
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Monitor updates. Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather App. Monitor local media. Have THREE TO FIVE ways of receiving severe weather information. Do not rely on just one source. Every source can fail at one point or another. Thus, having multiple sources of severe weather information is the best advice.
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Know your families safety plan in the event severe weather develops.
Have multiple ways of receiving severe weather information. Not just my weather app. Have other ways, as well. All technology can fail. Thus, having more than one source will help keep you safe.
Remember, a WATCH means to monitor updates. You don’t have to change your behavior for a watch. Be prepared.
A WARNING is more serious. A WARNING means severe weather is imminent in or near your location. A WARNING means to seek shelter.
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Where is a safe place to hide when tornadoes threaten your location.
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Today’s severe weather outlook from the Storm Prediction Center (below).
Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.
Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.
One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.
A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.
The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.
The black outline is our local area.
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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.
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SUBSCRIBERS: Download the WeatherTalk app to keep abreast of my latest information.
The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radar Link: Interactive local city-view radars & regional radars.
You will find clickable warning and advisory buttons on the local city-view radars.
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
New ZOOM radar (with storm chasers)
https://wtalk.co/AVWG7GM7
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Satellite Data
Computers and tablets. These two satellite links may not work well on cell phones.
Visible Satellite. This one is to be used during daylight only. Be sure and hit refresh once you are on the satellite page. Otherwise, the data will be old.
https://col.st/a5A0e
IR Satellite. This one shows cloud temperatures. Bright colors represent cold cloud tops. That could mean thunderstorms. Be sure and hit refresh once you are on the satellite page. Otherwise, the data will be old.
https://col.st/R2fw1
Water Vapor Satellite. This one shows mid-level moisture in the atmosphere. Be sure and hit refresh once you are on the satellite page. Otherwise, the data will be old.
https://col.st/xFVwx
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Not receiving app/text messages?
Log in and out of your app.
USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are slowing or stopping the text messages. Move to the app (not texts).
Make sure you have the correct app/text options turned on. Find those under the personal notification settings tab at www.weathertalk.com. Red is off. Green is on.
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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