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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.
This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.
THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION.
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.
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48-hour forecast
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Monday to Monday
1. Is lightning in the forecast? Yes. Lightning will be possible Monday night into Tuesday. I will monitor Wednesday night into Thursday night.
2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? Possible. A few storms could become severe late Monday night and Tuesday. Monitor updates. The primary concern will be damaging wind. A lower risk of large hail and a tornado.
The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Yes. Heavy rain is likely Monday night into Thursday night. A widespread one to three inches of rain is forecast with pockets of higher totals. Flash flooding and general flooding will be possible.
4. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? Monitor. Wind chill temperatures may approach 10 degrees Wednesday night into Thursday night. This will depend on the placement of a stationary front.
5. Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast? Possible. A mix of rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow will be possible Wednesday night into Thursday night. At this time, confidence in the placement of the greatest risk zone remains low. The risk will be higher across southeast Missouri and southern Illinois, but this will depend on the placement of the area of low pressure and the stationary front. The entire area has at least some risk of a wintry mix from the mid to late week system. Monitor updates moving forward. Confidence in the forecast details will increase over the next couple of days.
6. Will the heat index top 100 degrees? No.
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February 21, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? High confidence
Monday Forecast: Increasing clouds. A chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 50% / the rest of SE MO ~ 30% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / the rest of South IL ~ 20% / West KY ~ 30% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20% / NW TN ~ 50%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Mainly after 2 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64° / SE MO 58° to 62° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 58° to 62° / South IL 58° to 62° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 58° to 62° / West KY 60° to 64° / NW TN 60° to 64°
Winds will be from the: South 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 60°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates
UV Index: 4. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:37 AM
Sunset: 5:42 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Locally heavy rain. A few storms could be severe with damaging wind and hail. A low-end tornado risk, as well.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 100% / the rest of SE MO ~ 100% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 100% / the rest of South IL ~ 100% / West KY ~ 100% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 100% / NW TN ~ 100%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 53° to 56° / SE MO 52° to 55° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 52° to 55° / South IL 52° to 55° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 52° to 55° / West KY 52° to 55° / NW TN 53° to 56°
Winds will be from the: South 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 55°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Locally heavy rain. Lightning. Severe storms are possible.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
Moonrise: 11:09 PM
Moonset: 9:23 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous
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February 22, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? High confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Showers and thunderstorms. Locally heavy rain. A few storms could be severe. Temperatures may slowly fall during the afternoon hours behind the cold front.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 90% / the rest of SE MO ~ 90% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 90% / the rest of South IL ~ 90% / West KY ~ 90% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 90% / NW TN ~ 90%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 63° to 66° / SE MO 58° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 58° to 62° / South IL 60° to 64° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 58° to 62° / West KY 62° to 64° / NW TN 62° to 64°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 55° to 60°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Locally heavy rain. Lightning. A few storms could be severe.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
UV Index: 2. Low.
Sunrise: 6:35 AM
Sunset: 5:43 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy with a chance of an evening shower over western Kentucky and Tennessee. The rest of the area should be dry.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% / the rest of SE MO ~ 20% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / the rest of South IL ~ 30% / West KY ~ 40% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40% / NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Ending west to east
Timing of the rain: Mostly before midnight.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 30° to 32° / SE MO 23° to 26° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 22° to 25° / South IL 23° to 26° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 24° to 28° / West KY 26° to 30° / NW TN 28° to 30°
Winds will be from the: North northwest 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 25°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
Moonrise:
Moonset: 9:54 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous
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February 23, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Wednesday Forecast: Thickening clouds. A chance of mainly afternoon showers. Rain may become a wintry mix over portions of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. Colder.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% / the rest of SE MO ~ 40% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% / the rest of South IL ~ 30% / West KY ~ 30% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30% / NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Mainly after 12 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 35° to 40° / SE MO 34° to 36° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 34° to 36° / South IL 35° to 40° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 35° to 40° / West KY 36° to 42° / NW TN 38° to 42°
Winds will be from the: North northwest 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 25° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates.
UV Index: 3. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:34 AM
Sunset: 5:44 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow likely. The placement of the freezing line will need to be monitored. It will likely drape itself across portions of our local area. Frozen precipitation to its north. All rain to its south.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 90% / the rest of SE MO ~ 90% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 90% / the rest of South IL ~ 90% / West KY ~ 90% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 90% / NW TN ~ 90%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 32° to 35° / SE MO 30° to 34° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 30° to 34° / South IL 30° to 34° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 30° to 34° / West KY 32° to 35° / NW TN 32° to 35°
Winds will be from the: North northeast 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 25° to 30°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
Moonrise: 12:19 AM
Moonset: 10:30 AM
The phase of the moon: Last Quarter
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February 24, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Low confidence
Thursday Forecast: Cloudy. Rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 100% / the rest of SE MO ~ 100% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 100% / the rest of South IL ~ 90% / West KY ~ 90% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 90% / NW TN ~ 90%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 40° to 45° / SE MO 32° to 35° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 32° to 35° / South IL 33° to 36° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 34° to 38° / West KY 34° to 38° / NW TN 40° to 45°
Winds will be from the: North northeast 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
UV Index: 2. Low.
Sunrise: 6:33 AM
Sunset: 5:45 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Cloudy. A chance of freezing rain, sleet, and snow.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 90% / the rest of SE MO ~ 90% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 90% / the rest of South IL ~ 90% / West KY ~ 90% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 90% / NW TN ~ 90%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 28° to 32° / SE MO 25° to 30° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 25° to 30° / South IL 25° to 30° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 25° to 30° / West KY 25° to 30° / NW TN 28° to 32°
Winds will be from the: North northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 25°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
Moonrise: 1:31 AM
Moonset: 11:15 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent
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February 25, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Friday Forecast: Morning clouds. A chance of snow showers. Temperatures may be colder if we have snow or ice accumulation from the Wednesday/Thursday evening.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% / the rest of SE MO ~ 20% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / the rest of South IL ~ 20% / West KY ~ 30% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30% / NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Before 12 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 34° to 38° / SE MO 33° to 36° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 33° to 36° / South IL 34° to 36° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 34° to 38° / West KY 34° to 38° / NW TN 35° to 40°
Winds will be from the: North northwest 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B during the morning hours. Monitor road conditions.
UV Index: 3. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:31 AM
Sunset: 5:46 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Cold. Temperatures may be colder if we have snow or ice accumulation from the Wednesday/Thursday evening.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 20° to 25° / SE MO 18° to 22° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 18° to 22° / South IL 18° to 22° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 20° to 22° / West KY 20° to 24° / NW TN 20° to 25°
Winds will be from the: North 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 12° to 18°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 2:41 AM
Moonset: 12:08 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent
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February 26, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Saturday Forecast: Mostly sunny during the morning. Some afternoon clouds. Temperatures may be colder if we have snow or ice accumulation from the Wednesday/Thursday evening.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 40° to 44° / SE MO 38° to 42° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 38° to 42° / South IL 38° to 42° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 38° to 42° / West KY 38° to 42° / NW TN 40° to 44°
Winds will be from the: Northeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 30° to 40°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 4. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:30 AM
Sunset: 5:47 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. Temperatures may be colder if we have snow or ice accumulation from the Wednesday/Thursday evening.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 24° to 28° / SE MO 23° to 26° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 23° to 26° / South IL 24° to 26° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 24° to 26° / West KY 24° to 28° / NW TN 24° to 28°
Winds will be from the: North 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 25°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 3:47 AM
Moonset: 1:11 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent
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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down. Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook. You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **
Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
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Today through February 26th: Severe thunderstorms are possible Monday night and Tuesday. The primary concern will be damaging wind gusts. A secondary concern will be a few reports of large hail. The tornado risk is low, but certainly not zero. The tornado risk will depend on how much surface based CAPE develops. Remember, CAPE is energy that thunderstorms tap into.
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Today’s outlook (below).
Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.
Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.
One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.
A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.
The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.
The black outline is our local area.
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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.
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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.
24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion
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- A busy week of weather.
- Flooding this week.
- A few severe thunderstorms are possible Monday night and Tuesday.
- Winter storm Wednesday into Thursday night.
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Weather advice:
Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages. We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner. Thus, we made the app. See links at the bottom of the page.
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Monday
No weather concerns today. Gusty winds from time to time. Nothing significant. A couple of showers possible. Mild temperatures ahead of our big storm system.
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Monday night through Tuesday night
A cold front and an area of low pressure will push into the region from the southwest.
Copious amounts of moisture will accompany the frontal boundary. The Gulf of Mexico will be wide open. That means heavy rain.
The primary time-frame of concern will be Monday night into Tuesday. A widespread one to three inches of rain is forecast to fall across the region. Locally higher amounts are certainly possible where thunderstorms train over the same area.
I would not be surprised if some locations topped three inches of rain by late Tuesday.
This rain will come on top of our recent heavy rain event. That means flooding is a concern. As always, please avoid flooded roadways. There will be some.
A flood watch blankets the entire area.
A few of the thunderstorms could be severe Monday night into Tuesday. The primary concern, at this time, is damaging wind gusts. Large hail will also be possible. The tornado risk is not zero. As always, I would encourage everyone to stay alert tonight into Tuesday afternoon.
The rain will come to an end Tuesday evening. Ending west to east.
There will be a lull in the precipitation Tuesday night and a portion of Wednesday. Then, two more systems will advance into the region.
Let me show you one of the models.
The FV3 is a convective model. It does well with thunderstorms.
It shows the possibility of severe thunderstorms late tonight into early Tuesday morning.
This is around 1 AM Tuesday. Heavy storms across portions of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. Some of these could be severe.
Those storms will be moving east/northeast. 5 AM Tuesday future-cast radar.
This is what the FV3 believes will happen. Placement may vary, of course. You get the general idea.
Thee FV3 shows storms continuing into the afternoon hours. This will be highly dependent on the atmosphere being able to destabilize after the morning round. That is not a sure bet. Often times, the atmosphere can’t recover. It will need to be watched.
This is what the Fv3 shows for the 3 PM to 5 PM time-frame.
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Wednesday through Friday
A winter storm will impact the region during this time-frame.
Additional rounds of heavy rain will occur Wednesday into Friday morning. The peak of this precipitation event will be Wednesday night and Thursday. An additional one to two inches of precipitation will occur. Locally higher totals are possible.
That means rain totals from today through Friday could exceed four or five inches in some counties.
Here is the WPC/NOAA official rainfall forecast for this week. Keep in mind, totals will vary and will be highly dependent on showers and thunderstorms training over the same area. Where this training occurs is where the biggest rain totals will occur.
At this time, that is forecast to be somewhere along the Ohio River.
Eastern view
Double click images on the blog to enlarge them.
Over the last few days, that heaviest band has been slowly creeping northward. A few days ago it appeared that Tennessee would be ground zero for the heaviest totals.
Western view
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Winter storm watches, winter weather advisories, and ice storm warnings are a possibility Wednesday into Friday morning.
There remain significant questions about the exact placement of the freezing line. This will, of course, be key to who receives frozen precipitation vs plain rain.
I am forecasting all types of precipitation in the region. That includes a chance of thunderstorms, rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow.
At this time, the winter storm threat is higher across southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. The risk could push into Kentucky and Tennessee, but there remain questions about this. It is too soon for certainties on how far southeast the freezing line will push.
Accumulation snow and ice will occur with this event.
A frontal boundary will drape itself across our region. This frontal boundary will divide below freezing air to the north with above freezing air to the south.
One or two waves of low pressure will ripple along this frontal boundary. That means more precipitation.
If you have travel plans Wednesday night into Friday then you will want to monitor the latest forecast. Some travel impacts are likely in our region.
Let me show you some of the difficulties with forecasting temperatures several days out into the future.
Here is the NAM model. These are the Tuesday evening temperatures.
You can see, at this point, colder air pushing into the region from the west/northwest. Warmer air ahead of the front.
Double click to enlarge the images.
These are the NAM model Wednesday evening temperatures. The blue color is basically the 32 degree line. Notice that portions of our region are above freezing and portions below.
IF the models trend colder then the wintry precipitation vs rain line will shift south and east. That means more of the region will experience a winter storm.
This is very much like the event a week or two ago. All precipitation types occurred in the region.
Thursday early afternoon temperatures. Notice the placement of the 32 degree line. Portions of our region are below freezing. Portions are above freezing. The exact placement of that line will need to be closely monitored. A winter storm will occur in the colder air. Plenty of rain in the warmer sector of this event.
Additional flooding will occur Wednesday and Thursday.
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Friday night through Sunday
This time-frame will most likely be dry. The EC model does show another system Saturday and Sunday. For now, however, it is the outlier. I am monitoring trends in the model ensemble packages.
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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.
What should I take from these?
- The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
- The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.
I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.
You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.
Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
Double click the animation to enlarge it.
These maps are in Zulu time. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.
Double click the animation to enlarge it.
Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
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This next animation is the GFS American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
Green is rain. Blue/purple is snow. Red is a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain.
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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
Green is rain. Blue/purple is snow. Red is a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain.
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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
Green is rain. Blue/purple is snow. Red is a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain.
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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 48 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 29 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.
This outlook covers February 17tth through February 24th
Click on the image to expand it.
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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 29 degrees
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
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This outlook covers February 25th through March 3rd
Click on the image to expand it.
The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.
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EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 30 degrees
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.40″ to 2.80″
This outlook covers March 4th to March 17th
The next update for these two graphics will be Tuesday after 9 AM.
Precipitation outlook
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Outlooks
E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
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February Temperature Outlook
February Precipitation Outlook
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Winter Outlook
E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
December, January, and February Temperature Outlook
December, January, and February Precipitation Outlook
Green represents above average precipitation.
EC means equal chances of above or below average snowfall.
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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
SPRING OUTLOOK
Temperatures
Precipitation.
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Monthly Outlooks
March Temperature Outlook
March Precipitation Outlook
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April Temperature Outlook
April Precipitation Outlook
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May Temperature outlook
May Precipitations Outlook
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of Dupage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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