February 11, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION.

SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.

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48-hour forecast

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Friday to Friday

1. Is lightning in the forecast? Yes. Lightning will be possible next Thursday.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? Monitor. A few storms could be intense next Thursday. Monitor updates.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Monitor. Locally heavy rain will be possible next Thursday.

4. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

5. Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast? Low chance. A few snow showers are possible Friday night/Saturday and again Sunday. Any accumulation would be light.

6. Will the heat index top 100 degrees? No.

February 11, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? High confidence
Friday Forecast: Intervals of clouds. A shower will be possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 5% / the rest of SE MO ~ 20% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~40% / the rest of South IL ~ 30% / West KY ~ 30% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10% / NW TN ~ 5%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 58° to 62° / SE MO 54° to 56° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 54° to 56° / South IL 54° to 58° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 54° to 56° / West KY 54° to 58° / NW TN 58° to 62°
Winds will be from the: West southwest at 8 to 16 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 48° to 58°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 4. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:49 AM
Sunset: 5:31 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of light shower or flurries.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% / the rest of SE MO ~ 20% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / the rest of South IL ~ 20% / West KY ~ 20% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20% / NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 26° to 28° / SE MO 22° to 24° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 20° to 22° / South IL 23° to 26° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 23° to 26° / West KY 24° to 26° / NW TN 26° to 28°
Winds will be from the: West southwest becoming west northwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 28°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 12:51 PM
Moonset: 3:23 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

February 12, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Saturday Forecast: Intervals of clouds. A slight chance of morning flurries (mainly over KY)
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% / the rest of SE MO ~ 10% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% / the rest of South IL ~ 10% / West KY ~ 20% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20% / NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Before noon
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 36° to 40° / SE MO 32° to 34° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 30° to 34° / South IL 33° to 36° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 33° to 36° / West KY 34° to 38° / NW TN 36° to 40°
Winds will be from the: North 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 30°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 3. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:47 AM
Sunset: 5:32 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. Clearing.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 16° to 18° / SE MO 14° to 18° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 13° to 16° / South IL 14° to 18° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 14° to 18° / West KY 14° to 18° / NW TN 16° to 18°
Winds will be from the: North northwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 10° to 18°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 1:40 PM
Moonset: 4:17 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

February 13, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Sunday Forecast: A mix of sun and clouds. A chance of snow showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% / the rest of SE MO ~ 30% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% / the rest of South IL ~ 30% / West KY ~ 30% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40% / NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 40° to 42° / SE MO 36° to 38° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 34° to 38° / South IL 36° to 38° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 36° to 40° / West KY 38° to 42° / NW TN 40° to 42°
Winds will be from the: West southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 30° to 40°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Monitor the chance of snow.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 4. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:46 AM
Sunset: 5:33 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. A slight chance of an evening snow shower.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% / the rest of SE MO ~ 10% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% / the rest of South IL ~ 10% / West KY ~ 10% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10% / NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: After 9 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 22° to 24° / SE MO 18° to 22° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 18° to 24° / South IL 20° to 25° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 20° to 25° / West KY 22° to 24° / NW TN 22° to 24°
Winds will be from the: North 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 10° to 20°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 2:35 PM
Moonset: 5:07 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

February 14, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? High confidence
Monday Forecast: Some morning clouds. Becoming mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 48° to 50° / SE MO 44° to 46° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 44° to 46° / South IL 44° to 48° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 44° to 48° / West KY 44° to 48° / NW TN 48° to 50°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 38° to 44°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 4. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:45 AM
Sunset: 5:34 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 28° to 32° / SE MO 24° to 28° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 24° to 28° / South IL 24° to 28° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 24° to 28° / West KY 24° to 28° / NW TN 28° to 32°
Winds will be from the: South southeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 22° to 26°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 3:35 PM
Moonset: 5:52 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

February 15, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? High confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Mostly sunny. Breezy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 65° / SE MO 58° to 62° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 56° to 60° / South IL 56° to 60° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 56° to 60° / West KY 60° to 65° / NW TN 62° to 65°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 55° to 60°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 4. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:44 AM
Sunset: 5:35 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Increasing clouds.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 44° to 46° / SE MO 40° to 45° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 40° to 45° / South IL 40° to 45° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 40° to 45° / West KY 40° to 45° / NW TN 44° to 46°
Winds will be from the: South southeast 10 to 20 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 38° to 44°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 4:37 PM
Moonset: 6:30 AM
The phase of the moon: Full

February 16, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? High confidence
Wednesday Forecast: Increasing clouds. Breezy. A chance of mainly afternoon showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% / the rest of SE MO ~ 40% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% / the rest of South IL ~ 30% / West KY ~ 30% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20% / NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Mainly after 12 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 68° / SE MO 63° to 66° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 62° to 64° / South IL 62° to 65° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 62° to 65° / West KY 63° to 66° / NW TN 64° to 68°
Winds will be from the: South 10 to 25 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 65°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 2. Low.
Sunrise: 6:43 AM
Sunset: 5:36 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Breezy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 80% / the rest of SE MO ~ 80% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 70% / the rest of South IL ~ 70% / West KY ~ 70% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70% / NW TN ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Becoming numerous.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 45° to 50° / SE MO 35° to 40° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 35° to 40° / South IL 40° to 45° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 40° to 44° / West KY 45° to 50° / NW TN 45° to 50°
Winds will be from the: South 10 to 25 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 25° to 45°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor the radars
Moonrise: 5:41 PM
Moonset: 7:04 AM
The phase of the moon: Full

February 17, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Thursday Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Windy. Showers and thunderstorms. Turning colder. Rain may mix with or change to snow (especially over MO/IL). Monitor the forecast concerning wintry precipitation. Lower confidence on that occurring. I will need to monitor trends in the guidance.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 90% / the rest of SE MO ~ 90% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 90% / the rest of South IL ~ 90% / West KY ~ 90% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 90% / NW TN ~ 90%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 55° to 60° / SE MO 45° to 50° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 45° to 50° / South IL 50° to 55° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 50° to 55° / West KY 54° to 58° / NW TN 58° to 62°
Winds will be from the: South 15 to 35 mph. Gusty. Wind becoming west northwest at 15 to 30 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 35° to 55°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
UV Index: 2. Low.
Sunrise: 6:42 AM
Sunset: 5:37 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Cloudy. A chance of rain or snow showers. Precipitation ending. Turning colder.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% / the rest of SE MO ~ 60% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 70% / the rest of South IL ~ 70% / West KY ~ 70% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70% / NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Mainly before midnight
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 20° to 22° / SE MO 15° to 20° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 15° to 20° / South IL 15° to 20° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 15° to 20° / West KY 20° to 22° / NW TN 20° to 22°
Winds will be from the: North northwest at 10 to 20 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 20°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Monitor temperatures in case we have some frozen precipitation.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
Moonrise: 6:45 PM
Moonset: 7:34 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

February 18, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Friday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 40° to 42° / SE MO 36° to 40° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 36° to 40° / South IL 38° to 40° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 38° to 40° / West KY 40° to 42° / NW TN 40° to 42°
Winds will be from the: North 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 28° to 34°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?
UV Index: 4. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:40 AM
Sunset: 5:38 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 23° to 26° / SE MO 20° to 25° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 20° to 25° / South IL 20° to 25° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 20° to 25° / West KY 22° to 25° / NW TN 23° to 26°
Winds will be from the: Variable wind direction at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 25°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?
Moonrise: 7:50 PM
Moonset: 8:02 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down. Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook. You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **

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Today through February 20th I am watching a strong cold front next Thursday. There could be thunderstorms with this system. Depending on the storm track, some of the thunderstorms could be intense. Monitor updates moving forward.

Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

1. Cold front arrives today.
2. Widely scattered showers.
3. A few snow showers tonight/tomorrow (low-chances).
4. Another cold front Sunday.
5. Widespread rain arrives towards the middle of next week. Some storms possible, as well.

Weather advice:

Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages. We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner. Thus, we made the app. See links at the bottom of the page.

Weather Discussion

A cold front will push across our region today. It will bring increasing clouds and some widely scattered showers. Shower chances will be higher over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois vs areas further south. Rain totals of 0.10″ or less. Not much.

You can see the cold front on this surface map. This is Friday mornings weather map.

You can see it will be well south of the area by tomorrow.

The big weather story will be the warm air ahead of the front. Widespread 50s across the region today. A few locations will hit the 60 degree mark! That won’t last.

The cold front will push from northwest to southeast across the region as we move through today and this evening. This will deliver colder air.

Both Saturday and Sunday will be colder.

A few light snow showers will be possible tonight and early tomorrow morning and again along a fast moving weaker cold front Sunday. Little or no accumulation with these snow showers.

You can see the drop in temperatures on these two animations.

Monday and Tuesday will be dry and cool. No weather concerns.

Our next big weather maker will be a strong cold front associated with an area of low pressure that should pass over our region or to our north.

This weather system will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms to the region by Wednesday night into Thursday night. Peak rain chances will likely arrive Thursday.

Locally heavy rain will be possible with this system. Thunderstorms may also accompany the cold front.

There are mixed signals on the threat of severe weather. A bit too early to be thinking about forecasting severe thunderstorms. I will keep an eye on trends.

Dew points will be key to the severe weather threat. Typically, during the Month of February, I would want to see dew points in the upper 50s or 60s before forecasting severe thunderstorms. It might be close.

The GFS model. Dew point forecast does show us reaching those numbers next Thursday. Other model data keeps those numbers further south of our local area.

Something to monitor moving forward.

One thing is certain. There will be widespread precipitation with this system. Some locations may top an inch of rain.

The GFS model shows that nicely. You can see the red L in Iowa. That is the area of low pressure. The green and yellow represent rain.

This graphic is next Thursday.

Colder air will arrive behind the cold front next Thursday night and Friday.

Some of the guidance shows the rain ending as snow showers. A bit too early to know if that will happen. I will keep an eye on the track of the center of low pressure. If it were to track further south then the chances of the rain ending as snow would increase.

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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

These maps are in Zulu time. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 48 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 29 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers February 11tth through February 17th

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 48 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 29 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
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This outlook covers February 18th through February 24th

Click on the image to expand it.

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY

Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 50 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 30 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.40″ to 2.80″

This outlook covers February 22nd through March 7th

The next update for these two graphics will be Tuesday after 9 AM.

Precipitation outlook

Outlooks

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

February Temperature Outlook

February Precipitation Outlook

Winter Outlook

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

December, January, and February Temperature Outlook

December, January, and February Precipitation Outlook

Green represents above average precipitation.

EC means equal chances of above or below average snowfall.

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

SPRING OUTLOOK

Temperatures

Precipitation.

Monthly Outlooks

March Temperature Outlook

March Precipitation Outlook

April Temperature Outlook

April Precipitation Outlook

May Temperature outlook

May Precipitations Outlook

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
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If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
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Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

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ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
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Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.