Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 

SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.

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** A WIDE RANGE OF WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.  SEE THE WRITTEN FORECAST FOR EACH AREA FURTHER DOWN IN THE BLOG **

SEE THE LIVE WINTER STORM BLOG FOR WINTER STORM UPDATES.  CLICK HERE.

48-hour forecast

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February 3, 2021
SEE THE LIVE WINTER STORM BLOG FOR WINTER STORM UPDATES.  CLICK HERE.
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Thursday Forecast:  Cloudy with freezing rain, sleet, and snow.   Accumulation of frozen precipitation likely.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  100% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 100%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 100% /  the rest of South IL ~ 100%  /  West KY ~ 100%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 100%  /  NW TN ~ 100%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 26° to 32°  /  SE MO 20° to 25° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 20° to 25° /  South IL 24° to 28°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 28° to 32°  /  West KY 26° to 32° /  NW TN 30° to 34°
Winds will be from the: West northwest 10 to 25 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
UV Index: 1.  Low.
Sunrise: 6:57 AM
Sunset:  5:22 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Cloudy.  Colder. A chance of freezing rain, sleet, and snow.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% /  the rest of South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 70%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70%  /  NW TN ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 14° to 16° /  SE MO 10° to 15° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 8° to 12° /  South IL 10° to 15° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 10° to 15° /  West KY 10° to 15° /  NW TN 14° to 16°
Winds will be from the: North 7 to 14 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 0° to 10°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   No
Moonrise: 8:48 AM
Moonset: 8:17 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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February 4, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Friday Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Snow showers possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 30° to 32°  /  SE MO 25° to 30° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 25° to 30° /  South IL 30° to 34°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 30° to 34°  /  West KY 32° to 34° /  NW TN 30° to 32°
Winds will be from the: North 10 to 20 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B in case roads are icy.
UV Index: 1.  Low.
Sunrise: 6:56 AM
Sunset:  5:23 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Clearing and cold.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the precipitation: Mainly before noon
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 10° to 14° /  SE MO 8° to 12° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 8° to 12° /  South IL 10° to 15° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 10° to 15° /  West KY 10° to 15° /  NW TN 10° to 14°
Winds will be from the: North 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 0° to 10°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   No
Moonrise: 9:16 AM
Moonset: 9:22 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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February 5, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Saturday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 32° to 35°  /  SE MO 30° to 34° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 28° to 32° /  South IL 30° to 34°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 30° to 34°  /  West KY 32° to 34° /  NW TN 32° to 35°
Winds will be from the: North 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 1.  Low.
Sunrise: 6:55 AM
Sunset:  5:24 PM
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Saturday night Forecast:  Mostly clear. Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  0% /  the rest of SE MO ~  0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 10° to 15° /  SE MO 8° to 12° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 8° to 12° /  South IL 10° to 15° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 10° to 15° /  West KY 10° to 15° /  NW TN 10° to 15°
Winds will be from the: North 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 0° to 10°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   No
Moonrise: 9:42 AM
Moonset: 10:25 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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February 6, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Sunday Forecast:  Partly sunny.  Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 34° to 36°  /  SE MO 32° to 35° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 30° to 32° /  South IL 30° to 34°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 30° to 34°  /  West KY 32° to 34° /  NW TN 32° to 35°
Winds will be from the: West southwest at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 1.  Low.
Sunrise: 6:54 AM
Sunset:  5:26 PM
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Sunday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  0% /  the rest of SE MO ~  0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 18° to 20° /  SE MO 15° to 20° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 14° to 18° /  South IL 15° to 20° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 15° to 20° /  West KY 15° to 20° /  NW TN 18° to 20°
Winds will be from the: Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 10° to 20°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   No
Moonrise: 10:07 AM
Moonset: 11:26 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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February 7, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Monday Forecast:   Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 34° to 36°  /  SE MO 30° to 35° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 28° to 32° /  South IL 30° to 34°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 30° to 34°  /  West KY 32° to 34° /  NW TN 33° to 36°
Winds will be from the:  North 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 2.  Low.
Sunrise: 6:53 AM
Sunset:  5:27 PM
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Monday night Forecast:   Mostly clear. Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  0% /  the rest of SE MO ~  0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 13° to 16° /  SE MO 8° to 14° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 8° to 12° /  South IL 10° to 15° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 10° to 15° /  West KY 12° to 15° /  NW TN 13° to 16°
Winds will be from the:  North at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 5° to 15°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   No
Moonrise: 10:33 AM
Moonset:
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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February 8, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Tuesday Forecast:  Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 34° to 38°  /  SE MO 33° to 36° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 33° to 36° /  South IL 33° to 36°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 33° to 36°  /  West KY 34° to 38° /  NW TN 34° to 38°
Winds will be from the:  South at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 25° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 2.  Low.
Sunrise: 6:52 AM
Sunset:  5:28 PM
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Tuesday  night Forecast:   Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  0% /  the rest of SE MO ~  0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 22° to 25° /  SE MO 20° to 25° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 20° to 25° /  South IL 20° to 25° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 20° to 25° /  West KY 20° to 25° /  NW TN 22° to 25°
Winds will be from the:  Light wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 20°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   No
Moonrise: 11:01 AM
Moonset: 12:26 AM
The phase of the moon:  First Quarter

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February 9, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Wednesday Forecast:  Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 43° to 46°  /  SE MO 40° to 45° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 40° to 44° /  South IL 40° to 45°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 40° to 45°  /  West KY 42° to 45° /  NW TN 42° to 45°
Winds will be from the:  Southwest at 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 30° to 45°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 2.  Low.
Sunrise: 6:51 AM
Sunset:  5:29 PM
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Tuesday  night Forecast:   Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~  0% /  the rest of SE MO ~  0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~  0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 24° to 28° /  SE MO 23° to 26° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 23° to 26° /  South IL 23° to 26° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 23° to 26° /  West KY 23° to 26° /  NW TN 24° to 28°
Winds will be from the:  Southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 25°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?   No
Moonrise: 11:33 AM
Moonset: 1:26 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Gibbous

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **

Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

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Today through February 7th  Severe weather is not anticipated.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.   

 

 

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 44 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 27 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers January 31st through February 6th

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 45 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 27 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
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This outlook covers February 7th through February13th

Click on the image to expand it.

 

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY

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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  41 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 26 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.40″ to 2.80″

This outlook covers February 8th through February 21st

The next update for these two graphics will be Tuesday after 9 AM.

Precipitation outlook

Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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