May 28, 2021. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

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Friday to Friday

1. Is lightning in the forecast? Yes. Next Tuesday through Friday

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? Not at this time. Monitor

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Unlikely.

4. Will the heat index top 100 degrees? No.

5. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees above zero? No.

6. Will there be accumulating snow and ice in the forecast? No.

May 28, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High confidence
Friday Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Turning cooler from NW to SE. A chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms once the morning rain moves off to the east.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% / SE MO ~ 30% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~40% / South IL ~ 50% / West KY ~ 60% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60% / NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to numerous early in the day. Becoming scattered as the day wears on.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of the day.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 74° to 78° / SE MO 68° to 74° falling / South IL 68° to 74° falling / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 74° to 78° falling during the PM hours / West KY 75° to 80° / NW TN 75° to 80°
Wind direction and speed: Southwest to west 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 68° to 80°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars.
UV Index: 7. High.
Sunrise: 5:38 AM
Sunset: 8:08 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Intervals of clouds. Cooler. Patchy fog.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 50° to 52° / SE MO 48° to 52° / South IL 48° to 52° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 50° to 52° / West KY 50° to 52° / NW TN 52° to 54°
Wind direction and speed: North northwest 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 48° to 54°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Lower visibility where fog occurs.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 11:03 PM
Moonset: 7:31 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

May 29, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High confidence
Saturday Forecast: Intervals of clouds. Cool. Drizzle. Highs may struggle where clouds are thickest.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% / SE MO ~ 30% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~20% / South IL ~ 50% / West KY ~ 50% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40% / NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 64° / SE MO 55° to 62° / South IL 55° to 60° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 56° to 62° / West KY 56° to 62° / NW TN 60° to 62°
Wind direction and speed: North northwest at 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 55° to 65°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Chilly. Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 7. High.
Sunrise: 5:37 AM
Sunset: 8:09 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Evening clouds. Clearing overnight.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 44° to 48° / SE MO 42° to 45° / South IL 42° to 45° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 44° to 48° / West KY 44° to 48° / NW TN 44° to 48°
Wind direction and speed: North northeast 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 40° to 45°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 11:58 PM
Moonset: 8:37 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

May 30, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High confidence
Sunday Forecast: A mix of sun and clouds.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~0% / South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 73° to 76° / SE MO 72° to 75° / South IL 72° to 75° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 72° to 75° / West KY 73° to 76° / NW TN 73° to 76°
Wind direction and speed: Northeast at 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 72° to 75°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 8. High.
Sunrise: 5:37 AM
Sunset: 8:09 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Cool.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 52° to 54° / SE MO 50° to 54° / South IL 50° to 54° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 50° to 55° / West KY 50° to 55° / NW TN 52° to 55°
Wind direction and speed: East northeast at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 55°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise:
Moonset: 9:45 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

May 31, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High confidence
Monday’s comfort index is nice. Should be a nice day comfort wise. 100 is nice.

Monday Forecast: Becoming partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / SE MO ~ 10% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 76° to 80° / SE MO 75° to 80° / South IL 75° to 80° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 75° to 80° / West KY 75° to 80° / NW TN 76° to 80°
Wind direction and speed: Southeast at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 75° to 80°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? N0
UV Index: 7. High.
Sunrise: 5:36 AM
Sunset: 8:10 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. A few showers may move into southeast Missouri late tonight. Lower chances across the rest of the area.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% / SE MO ~ 30% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% / South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated over southeast Missouri
Timing of the rain: After midnight
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 58° to 60° / SE MO 55° to 60° / South IL 55° to 60° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 55° to 60° / West KY 55° to 60° / NW TN 55° to 60°
Wind direction and speed: East southeast at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 55° to 60°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None for most.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 12:43 AM
Moonset: 10:53 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

June 1, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will be cooler where clouds are thicker and rain develops. Warmer, elsewhere.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% / SE MO ~ 70% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% / South IL ~ 50% / West KY ~ 50% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30% / NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. Becoming scattered as you move further east.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of the day
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 74° to 78° / SE MO 68° to 74° / South IL 70° to 75° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 74° to 78° / West KY 74° to 78° / NW TN 75° to 80°
Wind direction and speed: Light east wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 68° to 80°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. Elsewhere, monitor the radars.
UV Index: 7. High.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset: 8:09 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 90% / SE MO ~ 90% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 80% / South IL ~ 70% / West KY ~ 70% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70% / NW TN ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of the night
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64° / SE MO 60° to 64° / South IL 60° to 64° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 64° / West KY 60° to 64° / NW TN 60° to 64°
Wind direction and speed: East southeast at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and check the weather radars.
Moonrise: 1:17 AM
Moonset: 11:58 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

June 2, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High confidence
Wednesday Forecast: Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 70% / SE MO ~ 70% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 70% / South IL ~ 70% / West KY ~ 70% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70% / NW TN ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of the day
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 74° to 78° / SE MO 74° to 78° / South IL 73° to 76° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 74° to 76° / West KY 74° to 78° / NW TN 74° to 78°
Wind direction and speed: South southwest 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and check the radars.
UV Index: 5. Moderate.
Sunrise: 5:36AM
Sunset: 8:11 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Becoming widely scattered as the night wears. Some clearing west to east overnight.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~40% / SE MO ~ 40% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 50% / South IL ~ 60% / West KY ~ 60% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60% / NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps numerous. Greater coverage east of the Mississippi River vs west.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of the night
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 62° / SE MO 56° to 60° / South IL 60° to 62° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 62° / West KY 60° to 62° / NW TN 60° to 62°
Wind direction and speed: South at 7 to 14 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 56° to 62°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Check the weather radars
Moonrise: 1:50 AM
Moonset: 1:01 PM
The phase of the moon: Last Quarter

June 3, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Thursday Forecast: Intervals of sun and clouds. A chance of a few showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% / SE MO ~ 30% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% / South IL ~ 40% / West KY ~ 40% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40% / NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of the day
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 76° to 78° / SE MO 74° to 78° / South IL 74° to 78° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 74° to 78° / West KY 74° to 78° / NW TN 75° to 80°
Wind direction and speed: South southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 74° to 80°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Check the weather radars
UV Index: 8. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35
Sunset: 8:13 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Partly cloudy with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~20% / SE MO ~ 20% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / South IL ~ 30% / West KY ~ 30% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30% / NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of the night
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64° / SE MO 60° to 62° / South IL 60° to 62° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 62° / West KY 60° to 62° / NW TN 60° to 62°
Wind direction and speed: South at 7 to 14 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Check the weather radars
Moonrise: 2:17 AM
Moonset: 2:01 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

June 4, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Friday Forecast: Partly sunny with a widely scattered morning shower. A thunderstorm possible during the afternoon. Many areas may be dry.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~20% / SE MO ~ 20% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / South IL ~ 20% / West KY ~ 20% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20% / NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of the day
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 76° to 80° / SE MO 75° to 80° / South IL 75° to 80° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 75° to 80° / West KY 75° to 80° / NW TN 75° to 80°
Wind direction and speed: Light wind 4 to 8 mph. Variable in direction.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 75° to 80°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the radars.
UV Index: 10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset: 8:13 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~20% / SE MO ~ 20% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / South IL ~ 20% / West KY ~ 20% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20% / NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of the night
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64° / SE MO 60° to 62° / South IL 60° to 62° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 62° / West KY 60° to 62° / NW TN 60° to 62°
Wind direction and speed: South at 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Isolated wet roadway and lightning. Most of the area should be dry.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 2:42 AM
Moonset: 2:59 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

June 5, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Saturday Forecast: Partly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~0% / SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 82° / SE MO 80° to 82° / South IL 80° to 82° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82° / West KY 80° to 82° / NW TN 80° to 82°
Wind direction and speed: South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 82°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset: 8:13 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~0% / SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64° / SE MO 60° to 62° / South IL 60° to 62° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 62° / West KY 60° to 62° / NW TN 60° to 62°
Wind direction and speed: South at 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 3:06 AM
Moonset: 3:57 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

June 6, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Sunday Forecast: Partly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~0% / SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 82° / SE MO 80° to 82° / South IL 80° to 82° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82° / West KY 80° to 82° / NW TN 80° to 82°
Wind direction and speed: South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 82°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset: 8:14 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~0% / SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64° / SE MO 60° to 62° / South IL 60° to 62° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 62° / West KY 60° to 62° / NW TN 60° to 62°
Wind direction and speed: South at 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 3:30 AM
Moonset: 4:54 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

These graphics are changed out between 10:00 AM and 11:00 AM (Monday through Friday only)

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

Click the images to enlarge them.

Graphic-cast

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Illinois

During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.

Kentucky

During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.

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.Tennessee

During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.

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Today through May 31st: Severe weather is not anticipated, at this time.

Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather advice:

A few thunderstorms could be severe later today and tonight. Monitor the Beau Dodson Weather app or the live severe weather blog.

Weather Discussion

1. Scattered rain today.
2. Much cooler temperatures into the weekend.
3. Gusty wind today (lake wind advisory).
4. Dry Saturday through Monday.
5. Rain chances next week.

We had a story Thursday across the region. There were numerous reports of 30 to 55 mph wind gusts. Some hail, as well.

There was tree damage in several counties. Thankfully, the storms calmed down as we moved through the overnight hours.

Rain totals varied from less than 0.25″ to over 2.00″.

The Weather Observatory picked up over 1.50″. We needed a bit of rain.

We had a nice shelf cloud pass across most of the region. These are common during the spring and summer months and can be quite dramatic.

Here was the one that passed over the Weather Observatory in Massac County.

We also had a funnel cloud developing at one point from a lone thunderstorm ahead of the line. You can see it to the left of the tree.

We will have windy conditions today (esp this afternoon). There is a lake wind advisory in effect. Use care if you are boating.

Wind gusts animation map.

Dry conditions will prevail after today’s showers. That means Saturday through Monday will be dry.

We will have clouds and cool temperatures Saturday. Saturday is not the pick day of the weekend. That is for sure.

Many areas may struggle to reach the lower 60s. Keep that in mind. Outdoor activities won’t be optimal.

Our next series of weather makers will arrive late Monday night and continue into much of next week.

Keep in mind, it won’t rain all the time. It does appear at least scattered chances of showers and thunderstorms. Of course, as always, there will be peak times. That will need to be ironed out moving forward.

Temperatures will begin to fall this morning across our northwest counties as a cold front sweeps southeast.

You can see that on this animation through this afternoon. Notice how temperatures fall.

The comfort index for Monday is nice. Sunday and Monday will be nice. Either day will have decent afternoon temperatures. Enjoy.

Let’s take a look at some temperature maps.

It is going to be unseasonably cool over the next couple of days. Outside of today’s temperatures falling from NW to SE as we move through the day, there will be some chilly low temperatures and for that matter, high temperatures, as well.

Saturday morning low temperatures

Saturday high temperature departures. How many degrees away from average will temperatures end up being? Here you go!

Saturday highs

Sunday morning low temperatures

Sunday highs

Monday morning low temperatures

Monday highs

Updated Summer Outlook

Click these two images to enlarge them (so you can read them better)

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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
The EC European weather model is in Zulu time.

What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

.This animation is the 3K NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Longer range GFS

This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Long range

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 80 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 60 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.30″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers May 28h through June 2nd

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 83 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 62 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.50″
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This outlook covers June 4ththrough June 10th

Click on the image to expand it.

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY

Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 84 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 63 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.50″ to 2.90″

This outlook covers June 11th through June 24th

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Precipitation outlook