Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

May 26, 2021. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store


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Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

The Severe Weather Live-Blog has been activated.  Please see it at this link.  Click here.

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Wednesday to Wednesday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes. Today through Friday morning.  Peak times will be today and then again tomorrow/tomorrow night.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? Yes.   A few storms could produce 40 mph wind and dime size hail Wednesday afternoon and evening.  Storms may become severe Thursday afternoon and night as a stronger system moves through the region.  Damaging wind is the primary concern.  Perhaps a tornado.   See the severe weather blog.  The Severe Weather Live-Blog has been activated.  Please see it at this link.  Click here.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Unlikely.  Thunderstorms may produce some downpours Wednesday and Thursday.  Widespread flood issues are not in the forecast.

4. Will the heat index top 100 degrees? No.

5. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees above zero? No.

6. Will there be accumulating snow and ice in the forecast?  No.

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The Severe Weather Live-Blog has been activated.  Please see it at this link.  Click here.

May 26, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  High confidence
Wednesday  Forecast:  Intervals of clouds.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Rain chances will diminish north to south.  A few storms could be intense with strong wind and hail.  The primary concern for intense storms will be Wednesday afternoon and evening.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 70% /  SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~60% /    South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 70%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~  60%  /  NW TN ~ 90%
Coverage of precipitation:  Numerous
Timing of the rain:  Any given point of the day
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 85°  /  SE MO 82° to 84°  /  South IL 82° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 84°  /  West KY 80° to 85°  /  NW TN 82° to 85°
Wind direction and speed:  Southwest at 5 to 10 mph.  Higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 85°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning.  Strong wind.  Perhaps hail.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and check radars.
UV Index: 8.  High.
Sunrise: 5:39 AM
Sunset: 8:06 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Showers and thunderstorms ending north to south.  Patchy fog developing.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /    South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 50%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 50%  /  NW TN ~ 50%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered early in the night.  Diminishing overnight.
Timing of the rain:  Mainly before 12 AM.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 65° /  SE MO 62° to 65°  /  South IL 60° to 64° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 62° to 64° /  West KY 62° to 65° /  NW TN 62° to 65°
Wind direction and speed:  Light and variable wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 65°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning.  Gusty wind with storms.  Lower visibility in fog.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars
Moonrise: 8:45 PM
Moonset: 5:44 AM
The phase of the moon:  Full

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May 27, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High confidence
Thursday  Forecast:  Partly sunny. Warm.  Showers and thunderstorms developing mainly during the late morning and afternoon hours.  Some storms could be severe.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 50% /  SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~60% /    South IL ~ 50%  /  West KY ~ 40%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation:  Numerous if a line of thunderstorms forms and moves northwest to southeast.
Timing of the rain:  Lower chances before noon.  Higher chances during the afternoon and overnight hours.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 83° to 86°  /  SE MO 83° to 86°  /  South IL 83° to 86°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 83° to 86°  /  West KY 83° to 86°  /  NW TN 83° to 86°
Wind direction and speed:  South at 10 to 20 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 83° to 86°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning,  Strong winds with storms.  Hail.  Severe thunderstorms are possible..
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but check radars.
UV Index: 9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:38 AM
Sunset: 8:07PM
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Thursday night Forecast:  Cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.  Some storms could be severe.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 70% /  SE MO ~ 70%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 70% /    South IL ~ 70%  /  West KY ~ 70%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70%  /  NW TN ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of the night
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 65° to 70° /  SE MO 64° to 68°  /  South IL 64° to 68° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 63° to 66° /  West KY 64° to 68° /  NW TN 64° to 68°
Wind direction and speed:  South southwest at 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 64° to 68°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Downpours.  Wet roadways.  Lightning.  A few storms could be severe with hail and high wind.  Monitor updates.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates and radars.
Moonrise: 9:58 PM
Moonset: 6:34 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Gibbous

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May 28, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Friday  Forecast:  Morning clouds.  Some clearing during the afternoon. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Rain chances should diminish through the day.  Higher chances AM vs PM.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~60% /    South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered to numerous early in the day.  Becoming more scattered as the day wears on.
Timing of the rain:  Any given point of the day.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 85°  /  SE MO 78° to 82°  /  South IL 78° to 82°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82°  /  West KY 80° to 82°  /  NW TN 80° to 84°
Wind direction and speed:  Southwest to west  7 to 14 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 85°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but check radars.
UV Index: 7.  High.
Sunrise: 5:38 AM
Sunset: 8:08 PM
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Friday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /    South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Before midnight.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 52° to 65° /  SE MO 50° to 55°  /  South IL 50° to 55° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 50° to 55° /  West KY 50° to 55° /  NW TN 52° to 55°
Wind direction and speed:  North northwest 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 55°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  A few wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 11:03 PM
Moonset: 7:31 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Gibbous

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May 29, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  High confidence
Saturday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  A few clouds.  Cooler.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~0% /    South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 75°  /  SE MO 70° to 75°  /  South IL 70° to 75°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 70° to 75°  /  West KY 72° to 75°  /  NW TN 73° to 76°
Wind direction and speed:  Northeast 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 75°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index: 7.  High.
Sunrise: 5:37 AM
Sunset: 8:09 PM
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Saturday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Perhaps a few clouds.  Cool.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /    South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 52° to 55° /  SE MO 50° to 55°  /  South IL 50° to 55° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 50° to 55° /  West KY 50° to 55° /  NW TN 50° to 55°
Wind direction and speed:  North northwest 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 55°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 11:58 PM
Moonset: 8:37 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Gibbous

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May 30, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  High confidence
Sunday Forecast:  Partly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~0% /    South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 74° to 78°  /  SE MO 74° to 78°  /  South IL 74° to 78°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 74° to 78°  /  West KY 74° to 78°  /  NW TN 74° to 78°
Wind direction and speed:  East 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 74° to 78°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index: 8. High.
Sunrise: 5:37 AM
Sunset: 8:09 PM
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Sunday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Cool.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /    South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 54° to 58° /  SE MO 54° to 58°  /  South IL 54° to 58° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 54° to 58° /  West KY 54° to 58° /  NW TN 54° to 58°
Wind direction and speed:  East at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 54° to 58°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise:
Moonset: 9:45 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Gibbous

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May 31, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Monday Forecast:  Partly sunny.  Mild.  A shower will be possible over the Missouri Ozarks.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /    South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None for most
Timing of the rain: PM hours for the Ozarks of Missouri
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 78° to 82°  /  SE MO 75° to 80°  /  South IL 75° to 80°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 75° to 80°  /  West KY 76° to 80°  /  NW TN 78° to 80°
Wind direction and speed:  North 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 85°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None for most
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  N0
UV Index: 7.  High.
Sunrise: 5:36 AM
Sunset: 8:10 PM
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Monday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.   A slight chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /    South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain:  Any given point of the night
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 55° to 60° /  SE MO 52° to 55°  /  South IL 52° to 55° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 52° to 55° /  West KY 52° to 55° /  NW TN 52° to 55°
Wind direction and speed:  North northwest 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 55°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 12:43 AM
Moonset: 10:53 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Gibbous

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These graphics are changed out between 10:00 AM and 11:00 AM (Monday through Friday only)

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

Click the images to enlarge them.

 


Graphic-cast

Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

Illinois

During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.

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Kentucky

During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.


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.Tennessee

During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.


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Today through May 31st: The Severe Weather Live-Blog has been activated.  Please see it at this link.  Click here.

A few storms could produce 40 mph wind and dime size hail Wednesday afternoon and evening.  A low risk of severe thunderstorms.

A greater risk of severe weather will develop Thursday afternoon and night.  Damaging wind will be the primary concern.  A tornado can’t be ruled out.  Thursday’s event is a conditional risk.  Meaning, that there remain questions about whether a line of thunderstorms will form during the afternoon over Missouri and Illinois.  If it does form, then severe weather will be possible.

The risk is higher over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois and a bit lower elsewhere.  Monitor updates.  See the severe weather blog.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather advice:

Monitor severe weather chances today and especially Thursday/Thursday night.  Some storms could produce damaging wind and even a tornado.

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Weather Discussion

    1.   Showers and thunderstorms chances into Friday.
    2.   A few storms could become severe Wednesday and especially Thursday afternoon and night.
    3.   Cooler by the weekend.
    4.   Decent Saturday through Monday forecast.

The Severe Weather Live-Blog has been activated.  Please see it at this link.  Click here.

The primary forecast concern over the coming days continues to be showers and thunderstorms.

We are waking up to scattered showers and perhaps a few embedded thunderstorms.  Nothing of the severe nature.  Just some wet roadways and lightning to deal with for your morning commute.

These showers and thunderstorms will be with us into this afternoon and a few perhaps into the evening hours.

A couple of thunderstorms this afternoon could produce brief gusty wind and small hail.  The severe weather risk appears to be small this afternoon and evening.  Low-end risk of a severe thunderstorm warning.  I will send out app messages if need be.

We have a relative lull tonight before a stronger system approaches tomorrow.

This strong system will help usher in much cooler air by Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday.  Then, another rain maker towards the middle of next week.

The atmosphere will become unstable Thursday late morning into Thursday night.

A high amount of moisture will be pushing into the region below a northward moving warm-front.

This northward moving warm-front will be key to what happens later in the day.  How far north it travels will be important to our sensible weather.

There are a couple of ideas on the weather table for tomorrow and tomorrow night.

One is that a line of thunderstorms pushes across Illinois and Missouri tomorrow morning.  Reaching our region after 11 AM.  This line of storm may be weakening.  It could then intensify over our local counties.  That would occur as it bumps into an unstable air-mass.

If that line weakens and then does not intensify, then we would have to wait on the second round of storms Thursday night to produce any risk of severe weather.

For now, it appears that the morning line may move into our north/northwest counties of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois after 11 AM and then move across the rest of the area.  It may be weakening.

A second line of storms would then move into the region after 9 PM Thursday night.  This line would peak over Missouri and perhaps portions of Illinois.  It would then be in a weakening stage as it moves into Kentucky and Tennessee.

Either round of thunderstorms could produce some severe weather.  The main concern appears to be damaging wind.  Straight line winds are possible in some counties.  Any bowing  echoes could produce short-lived tornadoes, as well.

Tomorrow is a conditional severe weather risk.

What does conditional mean?  It means that there is lower than normal confidence in how the forecast unfolds because a few of the ingredients may not materialize.  If they don’t materialize then the severe weather risk will be lower.

My advice is to be prepared for severe weather Thursday and then monitor the severe weather blog throughout the day and night.  I will, of course, be sending out app messages.

Let’s take a look at the CAPE maps.  CAPE is basically energy for thunderstorms to tap into.

Notice how the CAPE is a bit muddled.  It attempts to pump up tomorrow and then is knocked back down.  That is because of the morning showers and thunderstorms.

If that morning line messes with the CAPE then it may be difficult for the CAPE to recover.  If the CAPE does not recover then the risk of severe weather is lower.

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The SPC (Storm Prediction Center) has outlined the risk of severe thunderstorms for our entire area.  As a matter of fact they have a level one, two, and three risk outlined.

Five is their highest risk.

Here is the discussion from the Storm Prediction Center.  The graphic shows you their primary concern zone.  You can see the risk is a bit higher as you travel west/southwest.

Since this is their day three outlook, it is likely to change between now and when the event occurs.  They could add or remove counties from the risk zone.

Thus, monitor updated forecasts.  Adjustments are likely.

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Rain chances will diminish Friday morning becoming less likely as the day wears on.

.Much cooler weather is anticipated Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.

Latest guidance indicates highs will likely remain in the 70s over the weekend and then lows in the 50s.  Much cooler than recent days.

Most likely Saturday and Sunday will be dry.   Monday will likely be dry over most of the region.  Perhaps a shower in the Missouri Ozarks.

Here is the weekend temperature forecast numbers.  Spring temperatures.  Cooler.

Friday

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Saturday

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Sunday (these may need to be lowered a little)

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Monday

 

 


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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
  3. The EC European weather model is in Zulu time.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

 

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.This animation is the 3K NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Longer range GFS

 

This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

 

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 80 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 60 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.30″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers May 26th through May 31st

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 83 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 61 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.50″
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This outlook covers June 2nd through June 8th

Click on the image to expand it.

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 84 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 62 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.50″ to 2.90″

This outlook covers June  8th through June 21st

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Precipitation outlook

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LONG RANGE DISCUSSION

Key Points: This was written by the BAMwx team. I don’t edit it.

Spring Outlook

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

March, April, and May Temperature Outlook

THURSDAY IS A TRAVEL DAY FOR ME.  I WILL UPDATE THESE FRIDAY.

March, April, and May Precipitation Outlook

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May outlooks

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Temperature outlook

May precipitation outlook

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The preliminary June outlooks

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Temperature departures

June precipitation outlook

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Preliminary outlooks

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

July Temperature Outlook

July precipitation outlook

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Preliminary outlooks

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

August Temperature Outlook

August precipitation outlook

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Summer Outlook

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

June, July, and August Temperature Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

June, July, and August Precipitation Outlook

 

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Great news! The videos are now found in your Weathertalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.

These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here



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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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2016-11-19_11-50-24

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