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Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section
Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.
This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.
I have started a severe weather blog post. This blog post will cover tomorrow’s event. Details at this link. CLICK HERE FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER BLOG UPDATE
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Tuesday to Tuesday
1. Are accumulating snow or ice in the forecast? No.
2. Is lightning in the forecast? Yes. Lightning will be possible late Tuesday night into Wednesday/Wednesday night. A small risk Thursday. Lightning will be possible next Monday and Tuesday. Lower confidence on Monday.
3. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? Monitor. I have started a severe weather blog post. This blog post will cover tomorrow’s event. Details at this link. CLICK HERE FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER BLOG UPDATE I am monitoring Wednesday and Wednesday night. Severe storms are likely across at least a portion of the region. See graphics below. Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather app. Log into it. Make sure it is working.
I am watching next Monday and Tuesday for additional thunderstorm chances.
* The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
4. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Possible. Locally heavy rain will be possible Wednesday/Wednesday night. Thunderstorms could produce an inch of rain in less than an hour. The ground in many areas remains saturated.
6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees above zero? No.
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March 16, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High Confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Patchy morning dense fog. Otherwise, partly sunny. Cooler near Mt Vernon, Illinois. Warmer as you travel further south.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0% MO Bootheel ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% NW TN ~ 0%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 70° SE MO 50° to 70° South IL 52° far north to 70° far south Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 62° West KY 68° to 72° NW TN 70° to 72°
Wind direction and speed: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 72°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 5. Moderate
Sunrise: 7:04 AM
Sunset: 7:04 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Intervals of clouds. The first half of the night will have a slight chance of a shower. As we move past midnight a few thunderstorms will be possible over the Missouri Bootheel and northwest Tennessee. Those storms will spread north and east with time. Some of the storms could produce hail.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 40% MO Bootheel ~ 60% mainly late IL ~ 30% KY ~ 40% NW TN ~ 60% mainly late
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 50° to 54° SE MO 44° to 46° South IL 44° to 46° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 46° to 50° West KY 48° to 52° NW TN 50° to 54°
Wind direction and speed: East southeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 44° to 50°
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Gusty wind near storms. Lightning. Hail.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the radars
Moonrise: 8:53 AM
Moonset: 10:17 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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March 17, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Medium Confidence
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Some thunderstorms could be severe Wednesday and Wednesday night. Especially across our southern counties. Monitor updates.
I have started a severe weather blog post. This blog post will cover tomorrow’s event. Details at this link. CLICK HERE FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER BLOG UPDATE
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Wednesday Forecast: Increasing clouds. Showers and thunderstorms. Some storms could be severe. Mild. Breezy.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 70% MO Bootheel ~ 90% IL ~ 70% KY ~ 80% NW TN ~ 90%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 72° SE MO 64° to 70° South IL 64° to 68° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 66° to 70° West KY 66° to 72° NW TN 68° to 72°
Wind direction and speed: South southeast at 15 to 25 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 70°
Coverage of precipitation: Becoming numerous
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Severe thunderstorms will be possible.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B. Monitor updates.
UV Index: 5. Moderate
Sunrise: 7:03 AM
Sunset: 7:05 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Some storms could be severe.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 80% MO Bootheel ~ 90% IL ~ 80% KY ~ 90% NW TN ~ 90%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 48° to 54° SE MO 46° to 50° South IL 46° to 50° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 46° to 50° West KY 48° to 52° NW TN 50° to 54°
Wind direction and speed: South southwest at 10 to 25 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 40° to 50°
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Severe thunderstorms will be possible.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and check updates/radars.
Moonrise: 9:20 AM
Moonset: 11:15 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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March 18, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Medium Confidence
Thursday Forecast: Intervals of clouds. A chance of showers. A thunderstorm will also be possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 40% MO Bootheel ~ 40% IL ~ 50% KY ~ 50% NW TN ~ 40%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 65° to 70° SE MO 56° north to 68° south South IL 56° north to 66° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 62° to 66° West KY 64° to 66° NW TN 66° to 70°
Wind direction and speed: East southeast becoming south/southwest and eventually west at 10 to 20 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 52° to 70°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars.
UV Index: 5. Moderate
Sunrise: 7:01 AM
Sunset: 7:06 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. Clearing overnight. Cooler. A slight chance of a few remaining showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 10% MO Bootheel ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% NW TN ~ 20%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 40° to 42° SE MO 34° to 38° South IL 34° to 38° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 34° to 38° West KY 34° to 38° NW TN 40° to 44°
Wind direction and speed: Becoming west northwest at 7 to 14 mph with gusts above 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 32° to 40°
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 9:49 AM
Moonset: 11:15 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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March 19, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High Confidence
Friday Forecast: Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0% MO Bootheel ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% NW TN ~ 0%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 52° to 55° SE MO 52° to 54° South IL 52° to 54° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 52° to 54° West KY 52° to 55° NW TN 52° to 55°
Wind direction and speed: North 10 to 20 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 48° to 56°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 4. Moderate
Sunrise: 7:00 AM
Sunset: 7:07 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Cold. Patchy frost if the wind dies down.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0% MO Bootheel ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% NW TN ~ 0%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 32° to 35° SE MO 30° to 34° South IL 30° to 34° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 30° to 34° West KY 32° to 35° NW TN 33° to 36°
Wind direction and speed: North 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 28° to 35°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 10:22 AM
Moonset: 12:14 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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March 20, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High Confidence
Saturday Forecast: Mostly sunny. Some passing clouds.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0% MO Bootheel ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% NW TN ~ 0%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 58° to 60° SE MO 54° to 58° South IL 54° to 58° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 54° to 58° West KY 56° to 58° NW TN 56° to 60°
Wind direction and speed: East northeast at 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 52° to 58°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 6. High
Sunrise: 7:00 AM
Sunset: 7:07 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Chilly.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0% MO Bootheel ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% NW TN ~ 0%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 36° to 40° SE MO 34° to 38° South IL 34° to 38° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 34° to 38° West KY 36° to 40° NW TN 36° to 40°
Wind direction and speed: East southeast 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 34° to 40°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 11:00 AM
Moonset: 1:12 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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March 21, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High Confidence
Sunday Forecast: Mostly sunny during the morning. Partly cloudy during the afternoon
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0% MO Bootheel ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% NW TN ~ 0%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 65° SE MO 60° to 65° South IL 62° to 65° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 62° to 65° West KY 62° to 65° NW TN 62° to 65°
Wind direction and speed: Becoming south at 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 65°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 6. High
Sunrise: 6:57 AM
Sunset: 7:08 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 10% MO Bootheel ~ 10% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% NW TN ~ 0%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 42° to 45° SE MO 42° to 45° South IL 42° to 45° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 42° to 45° West KY 42° to 45° NW TN 42° to 45°
Wind direction and speed: Southeast at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 40° to 44°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 11:45 AM
Moonset: 2:09 PM
The phase of the moon: First Quarter
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March 22, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? LOW Confidence
Monday Forecast: Increasing clouds. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 20% MO Bootheel ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% NW TN ~ 20%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 68° SE MO 63° to 66° South IL 63° to 66° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 63° to 66° West KY 63° to 66° NW TN 64° to 68°
Wind direction and speed: South at 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 63° to 66°
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updated forecasts.
UV Index: 5. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:55 AM
Sunset: 7:09 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 40% MO Bootheel ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% NW TN ~ 40%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 48° to 52° SE MO 46° to 50° South IL 46° to 50° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 46° to 50° West KY 48° to 50° NW TN 50° to 54°
Wind direction and speed: South at 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 44° to 50°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updated forecasts.
Moonrise: 12:37 PM
Moonset: 3:03 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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Double click on the images to enlarge them.
These graphics are changed out between 9:45 AM and 10:45 AM
Double click on the images to enlarge them.
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Graphic-cast
Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
Illinois
During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.
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Kentucky
During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.
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.Tennessee
During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.
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Today through March 20th. I am monitoring Wednesday into Wednesday night. Some thunderstorms will likely be severe with large hail, damaging wind, and even a tornado. Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather app. Make sure you have it turned on. Load it. Check it.
The event could continue well into Wednesday night.
I have started a severe weather blog post. This blog post will cover tomorrow’s event. Details at this link. CLICK HERE FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER BLOG UPDATE
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Today’s outlook (below).
Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.
Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.
One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.
A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.
The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.
The black outline is our local area.
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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.
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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.
24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather advice:
Severe thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday and Wednesday night.
There will be a threat of damaging wind, hail, and even a tornado. Monitor updates.
I have started a severe weather blog post. This blog post will cover tomorrow’s event. Details at this link. CLICK HERE FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER BLOG UPDATE
Weather Discussion
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- AM fog today.
- Dry today. Increasing thunderstorm chances late tonight.
- Another widespread rain/storm event Wednesday/Wednesday night.
- Dry Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.
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I have started a severe weather blog post. This blog post will cover tomorrow’s event. Details at this link. CLICK HERE FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER BLOG UPDATE
An active weather pattern continues across the region.
We just finished a series of rain events and we have another one on the way.
Unfortunately, this one is likely going to produce severe thunderstorms. As always, most severe weather events are conditional. What does conditional mean? Conditional means that everything has to come together just right in order for the forecast to verify.
If we have more clouds and rain then that will keep instability down. If instability is lower then the severe weather risk is lower. This is not unusual. This is part of the forecast that will need to be monitored.
We definitely have a risk of severe weather. Keep in mind, however, that all the ingredients need to come together to actually produce severe thunderstorms.
Concerns are rising for a severe weather risk late tonight into Wednesday night.
A warm front will push northward from the Gulf of Mexico late tonight into Wednesday.
There will be some showers and thunderstorms well north of the warm front. This will occur tonight into early Wednesday morning.
Some of these thunderstorms could produce frequent lightning, gusty wind, and hail.
See the future-cast radars further down in the blog. You can see how the storms move out of Arkansas and Tennessee and eventually spread into the rest of our region.
The bulk of tonight’s activity will be after midnight. Some rumblers may wake you tomorrow morning.
The bigger concern will arrive Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night. It is possible this severe weather event continues well into the night.
As always, you should be prepared to deal with severe weather. Make sure your Beau Dodson Weather app is on. Check it today. Make sure you have not logged out on accident.
The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
I will be sending out messages today and tomorrow. I plan on starting a severe weather blog later today. I will send that out via the app, as well.
Remember, a watch means to monitor updates. A WARNING means seek shelter. A WARNING is worse. A warning means that severe weather is occurring or about to occur at your location. See shelter.
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Let me show you a series of maps. I will explain all of them.
When considering a severe weather forecast, we look at many factors. These factors have to come together in order to produce severe thunderstorms. Just one of them is not enough.
One item forecasters look for are high dew points.
Dew point is a measure of moisture. Once we reach the 58 degree mark, we start to think about severe thunderstorms.
Dew point is what makes it feel muggy outside.
Dew points in the 60s represent more than enough moisture for severe thunderstorms. Of course, there are other ingredients, as well.
NAM model guidance. Dew point forecast animation. This shows you Tuesday into Wednesday night.
You can see the tongue of 60+ dew points attempting to nudge into our region. You can see the blues area mostly to our south.
Those blue colors are the higher dew points.
For widespread severe weather, you would want to see those blues further north. Thus, I continue to monitor this. There are uncertainties on how far north to push the higher severe weather probabilities.
Here is the NAM 3K model forecast for dew points. See how the 60+ degree dew points (blue colors) attempt to push northward into our region? With time, they diminish.
This is sufficient for severe weather concerns (esp early on in the event).
Here is the Hrrr model guidance. Another high-resolution model. It also pushes higher dew points into our region.
Notice how the higher dew points are mainly across far southeast Missouri, far western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee.
With that said, the Hrrr model pushes those 60+ dew points a tad further north than some other models. This is something I will be closely monitoring over the next 24 to 36 hours.
The further those higher dew points (blue color) push northward, the greater the risk of severe thunderstorms.
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The Storm Prediction Center has already outlined the region for a risk of severe weather Wednesday/Wednesday night.
The risk is higher to our south, but we are still included in the risk zone. Higher probabilities across eastern Arkansas into Mississippi and Alabama.
You can see that here. The light green zone is where sub-severe storms are possible. The dark green is a level one risk. The yellow is a level two risk. The orange is a level three risk. The red is the highest risk zone. That is a level four out of five. Five is the highest risk that the Storm Prediction Zone has.
The red zone is the moderate risk. The SPC believes that a significant outbreak of severe thunderstorms will be possible (IF all the ingredients do come together). There is a chance that ongoing showers and thunderstorms, during the day on Wednesday, keeps instability somewhat lower. If that happens, then the risk will be a tad lower.
You can see that our entire region is included in the severe weather risk zone. Southern counties have the highest risk.
The SPC will update this more than once over the coming 24 hours. Monitor updates. Let’s see if they shift it around a bit.
Either way, the forecast will remain the same. There will be a chance of severe thunderstorms Wednesday/Wednesday night.
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Zoomed in. Let’s see how this changes over the coming days. They will update this once today and then a couple of times Tuesday.
This is for Wednesday/Wednesday night (a zoomed in view of the above SPC severe weather outlook graphic)
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Let me break down the maps.
Here is the tornado risk zone.
The yellow and red zone is the higher risk area. The hatched zone is where significant tornadoes will be possible.
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Let me break down the maps.
Here is the hail risk zone.
The yellow and red zone is the higher risk area. The hatched zone is where significant hail will be possible.
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Let me break down the maps.
Here is the damaging wind risk zone.
The yellow and red zone is the higher risk area. The hatched zone is where significant wind damage will be possible. That would be 70 MPH or greater.
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In addition to the above, we do have a risk of flash flooding. The WPC/NOAA has outlined our region in a marginal and slight risk of excessive rainfall. That simply means that locally heavy rain could flood some roadways, fields, and streams. Rivers remain high, as well.
Avoid flooded roadways.
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Let me show you some more technical maps.
This is a significant tornado risk zone graphic.
Basically, these are some high numbers. Those pink and red colors are concerning. Will this verify? It depends on whether some of that area can clear out on Wednesday.
Remember, clearing equals sunshine. Sunshine equals energy. If clouds clear, in the higher risk zone, then concerns increase. I will be closely monitoring this.
2 PM
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7 PM
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11 PM
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1 AM
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You will hear me talk about CAPE. CAPE is energy for thunderstorms to tap into. There are several different kinds of CAPE.
Surface based CAPE is typically associated with higher end severe weather.
These maps are showing you surface based CAPE.
Mid-afternoon Wednesday CAPE.
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Early Wednesday evening CAPE.
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11 PM Wednesday CAPE
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3 AM Thursday
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Here are some comments from the Storm Prediction Center and local National Weather Service Offices.
Double click on the text to enlarge it.
SPC comments
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NWS Paducah comments.
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NWS Memphis comments.
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NWS Paducah comments from their area forecast discussion.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.
What should I take from these?
- The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
- The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
- The EC European weather model is in Zulu time.
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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.
I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.
You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.
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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
No rain in the forecast
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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.
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This animation is the 3K NAM American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This next animation is the GFS American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 58 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 40 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.70″ to 1.00″
Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.
This outlook covers March 16th through March 22nd
Click on the image to expand it.
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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 42 degrees
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.70″ to 1.00″
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This outlook covers March 23rd through March 29th
Click on the image to expand it.
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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.
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EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 48 degrees
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.60″ to 2.20″
This outlook covers March 30th through April 12th
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Precipitation outlook
LONG RANGE DISCUSSION
Key Points: This was written by the BAMwx team. I don’t edit it.
Spring Outlook
E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
March, April, and May Temperature Outlook
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March, April, and May Precipitation Outlook
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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
And the preliminary March outlooks
Temperature departures
Precipitation
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And the preliminary April outlooks
E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
Temperature departures
Precipitation
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And the preliminary May outlooks
E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
Temperature departures
Precipitation
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Summer Outlook
E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
June, July, and August Temperature Outlook
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Precipitation Outlook
E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
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Great news! The videos are now found in your Weathertalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.
These are bonus videos for subscribers.
The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radar Link: Interactive local city-view radars & regional radars.
You will find clickable warning and advisory buttons on the local city-view radars.
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of Dupage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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