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Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section.
Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.
This is a blend for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.
See updated detailed forecast further down in the blog
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Friday to Friday
1. Are accumulating snow or ice in the forecast? No.
2. Is lightning in the forecast? Yes.
3. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? Monitor. I am watching the threat of thunderstorms Friday/Friday evening, A small chance of high winds. Small hail.
* The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
4. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Not at this time. Locally heavy rain is possible Sunday night/Monday and perhaps Monday night. Monitor updates.
5. Will there be a chance of a frost or freeze? Monitor next week. Next week we stand a better chance of frost/freeze.
6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees above zero?
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October 23, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High Confidence
Friday Forecast: Friday Forecast: Increasing clouds. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Falling temperatures as the day wears on over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. We will have to see how far the front pushes into Kentucky and Tennessee but falling temperatures will follow its passage. A few storms could be strong with gusty wind and small hail.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 60% IL ~ 70% KY ~ 70% TN ~ 60%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 76° to 80° falling into the 50s SE MO 73° to 76° falling into the 50s South IL 74° to 78° falling into the 50s Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 74° to 78° falling late in the day West KY 76° to 78° falling late in the day NW TN 78° to 80° falling late in the day
Wind direction and speed: South southwest becoming west northwest at 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 76° to 82° falling temperatures
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Small hail. Gusty wind.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates.
UV Index: 5. Moderate
Sunrise: 7:11 AM
Sunset: 6:07 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Cloudy early. Any showers and thunderstorms remaining will push off to the east. Turning cooler.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 30%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 42° to 45° MO 38° to 44° South IL 38° to 44° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 44° to 46° West KY 42° to 45° NW TN 43° to 46°
Wind direction and speed: North northeast 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 35° to 45°
Coverage of precipitation: Ending west to east
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning (early).
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
Moonrise: 2:28 PM
Moonset: 6:00 PM
The phase of the moon: First Quarter
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October 24, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High Confidence
Saturday Forecast: Intervals of clouds. A light shower or drizzle will be possible. There may be some clearing towards the I64 area.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 55° to 58° SE MO 53° to 56° South IL 53° to 56° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 54° to 58° West KY 54° to 56° NW TN 54° to 58°
Wind direction and speed: North northeast at 7 to 14 mph. Higher gusts possible.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 55°
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated/patchy
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? A few wet roadways. Drizzle possible.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cooler and perhaps some drizzle
UV Index: 3. Low to moderate
Sunrise: 7:12 AM
Sunset: 6:06 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Intervals of clouds. Cool. Some clearing possible over our northern counties.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 45° to 50° MO 42° to 45° South IL 42° to 45° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 43° to 46° West KY 43° to 46° NW TN 45° to 50°
Wind direction and speed: Northeast at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 42° to 48°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 3:08 PM
Moonset: 12:23 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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October 25, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Medium Confidence
Sunday Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Scattered drizzle and light rain.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 62° SE MO 54° to 58° South IL 54° to 58° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 54° to 58° West KY 55° to 60° NW TN 60° to 62°
Wind direction and speed: East southeast increasing to 5 to 10.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 52° to 60°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 3. Low to moderate
Sunrise: 7:13 AM
Sunset: 6:05 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Intervals of clouds. Increasing chances of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 50° to 52° MO 43° to 46° South IL 44° north to 50° south Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 50° to 54° West KY 52° to 54° NW TN 52° to 54°
Wind direction and speed: South southwest at 8 to 16 mph becoming west northwest late.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 42° to 54°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates and radars.
Moonrise: 3:41 PM
Moonset: 1:24 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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A large temperature spread is likely Monday through Wednesday. Adjustments are likely. A frontal boundary will be the deciding factor for high and low temperatures.
October 26, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High Confidence
Monday Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. Chances of rain diminish as you move further and further east/southeast. There is a small risk of a thunderstorm embedded in the rain.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 70% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 30%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 54° to 58° SE MO 48° to 52° South IL 50° to 54° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 55° to 60° West KY 54° to 58° NW TN 56° to 60°
Wind direction and speed: North at 7 to 14 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 48° to 60°
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. A small chance of lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor radars. Plan accordingly.
UV Index: 2. Low
Sunrise: 7:14 AM
Sunset: 6:03 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Intervals of clouds. Rain showers likely. Rain chances higher over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. Lower rain chances as you move further and further east/southeast. A small chance of a thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 70% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 50% TN ~ 40%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 40° to 45° MO 35° to 40° South IL 35° to 42° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 44° to 48° West KY 43° to 46° NW TN 43° to 46°
Wind direction and speed: North 5 to 10 mph with higher gusts
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 34° to 44°
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous west and scattered east
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Small chance of lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor radars and plan accordingly.
Moonrise: 4:12 PM
Moonset: 2:24 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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October 27, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Medium Confidence
October 26, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High Confidence
Monday Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. Chances of rain diminish as you move further and further east/southeast.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 70% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 30%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 54° to 58° SE MO 48° to 52° South IL 50° to 54° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 55° to 60° West KY 54° to 58° NW TN 56° to 60°
Wind direction and speed: North at 7 to 14 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 52° to 66°
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?
UV Index: 2. Low
Sunrise: 7:14 AM
Sunset: 6:03 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Intervals of clouds. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 50% IL ~ 50% KY ~ 70% TN ~ 70%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 40° to 45° MO 35° to 40° South IL 35° to 42° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 44° to 48° West KY 43° to 46° NW TN 43° to 46°
Wind direction and speed: North 5 to 10 mph with higher gusts
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 34° to 44°
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Rain is likely
Moonrise: 4:12 PM
Moonset: 2:24 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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October 27, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Medium Confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Cooler.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 84° to 86° SE MO 82° to 84° South IL 80° to 84° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82° West KY 82° to 85° NW TN 82° to 85°
Wind direction and speed: North at 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 42° to 52°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates and radars.
UV Index: 2. Low
Sunrise: 7:15 AM
Sunset: 6:02 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 38° to 44° MO 34° to 40° South IL 34° to 40° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 38° to 42° West KY 38° to 42° NW TN 40° to 44°
Wind direction and speed: North 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 34° to 40°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
Moonrise: 4:38 PM
Moonset: 3:23 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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October 28, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Medium Confidence
Wednesday Forecast: Increasing clouds. Rain chances increasing from south to north through the day. Rain chances first arriving along the Missouri/Arkansas border and then spreading north/northeast.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 60% IL ~ 50% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 66° SE MO 60° to 65° South IL 60° to 65° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 64° West KY 62° to 65° NW TN 64° to 66°
Wind direction and speed: North northeast at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 14 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 66°
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered. Becoming more numerous as the day wears on.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. I will monitor the chance of lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor updates.
UV Index: 4. Moderate.
Sunrise: 7:16 AM
Sunset: 6:01 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Cloudy. Rain likely. A chance of a thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 80% IL ~ 70% KY ~ 80% TN ~ 80%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 50° to 52° MO 44° to 46° South IL 44° north to 50° south Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 50° to 54° West KY 52° to 54° NW TN 52° to 54°
Wind direction and speed: Northeast at 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 42° to 54°
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Perhaps lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor updates.
Moonrise: 5:03 PM
Moonset: 4:21 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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October 29, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High Confidence
Thursday Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 70% IL ~ 70% KY ~ 70% TN ~ 80%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 62° SE MO 55° to 60° South IL 55° to 60° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 55° to 60° West KY 55° to 60° NW TN 60° to 62°
Wind direction and speed: West northwest at 10 to 15 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 52° to 62°
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor updates.
UV Index: 3. Moderate.
Sunrise: 7:17 AM
Sunset: 6:00 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Any remaining rain showers should end.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 42° to 44° MO 36° to 40° South IL 36° to 42° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 38° to 42° West KY 38° to 42° NW TN 42° to 44°
Wind direction and speed: Northwest at 8 to 16 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 36° to 44°
Coverage of precipitation: Ending.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Rain ending.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars and updates.
Moonrise: 5:27 PM
Moonset: 5:17 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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October 30, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Medium Confidence
Friday Forecast: Mostly sunny. A few patchy clouds. Cool.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 53° to 56° SE MO 50° to 55° South IL 50° to 55° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 50° to 55° West KY 52° to 55° NW TN 52° to 55°
Wind direction and speed: North at 6 to 12 mph with higher gusts
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 55°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 4. Moderate.
Sunrise: 7:18 AM
Sunset: 5:59 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Chilly. Frost possible. Patchy fog.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 38° to 42° MO 34° to 38° South IL 34° to 38° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 36° to 38° West KY 35° to 38° NW TN 40° to 42°
Wind direction and speed: Light north wind.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 34° to 40°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Frost and lower visibility in fog.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 5:52 PM
Moonset: 6:14 AM
The phase of the moon: Full
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October 31, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? High Confidence
Saturday Forecast: Mostly sunny. Pleasant.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 62° SE MO 56° to 60° South IL 56° to 60° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 56° to 60° West KY 56° to 60° NW TN 60° to 62°
Wind direction and speed: Light and variable wind.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 55° to 60°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Morning fog could lower visibility.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 4. Moderate.
Sunrise: 7:19 AM
Sunset: 5:58 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Chilly. Frost possible. Patchy fog.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 34° to 38° MO 32° to 35° South IL 32° to 35° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 33° to 36° West KY 34° to 36° NW TN 38° to 40°
Wind direction and speed: Light wind.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 32° to 38°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Frost possible. Lower visibility in fog.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 6:19 PM
Moonset: 7:11 AM
The phase of the moon: Full
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November 1, 2020
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify? Medium Confidence
Sunday Forecast: Mostly sunny. Pleasant.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 62° SE MO 56° to 60° South IL 56° to 60° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 56° to 60° West KY 56° to 60° NW TN 60° to 62°
Wind direction and speed: Light and variable wind.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 55° to 60°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Morning fog could lower visibility.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 4. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:20 AM
Sunset: 4:57 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Chilly. Frost possible. Patchy fog.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 34° to 38° MO 32° to 35° South IL 32° to 35° Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 33° to 36° West KY 34° to 36° NW TN 38° to 40°
Wind direction and speed: Light wind.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 32° to 38°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Frost possible. Lower visibility in fog.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 5:49 PM
Moonset: 7:09 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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What is the UV index?
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- Rain chances!
- Two weekend cold fronts.
Click graphics to enlarge them.
The AM AG weather report will return in late winter and early spring (growing season return).
Please refer to the long range video until that time.
Graphic-cast
Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
Illinois
During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.
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Kentucky
During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.
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Tennessee
During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.
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Today through October 28th: A few storms could be intense Friday and Friday evening. The main concern will be gusty wind and small hail. A low-end severe threat. Ingredients are marginal for true severe weather.
Today’s outlook (below).
Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.
Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.
One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.
A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.
The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.
The black outline is our local area.
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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.
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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.
24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather advice:
Updated October 23rd
A couple of storms today could be strong.
Thunderstorms are possible Sunday afternoon into Tuesday. Locally heavy rain in some counties.
Weather Talk by the Fire Horn. Download it. Install it. It is for subscribers. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome
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Weather Discussion
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- Cold front with showers and thunderstorms.
- Cooler Saturday.
- Another series of disturbances Sunday into Wednesday. On and off showers/thunderstorms.
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A strong cold front is pushing into the region. This front will deliver scattered morning showers and thunderstorms and then an increasing chance of a band of thunderstorms late morning into the afternoon.
We will also have gusty winds today.
Temperatures will fall through the day from west to east. As a matter of fact, temperatures will fall into the 50s over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois by late morning and afternoon. It may take a bit longer over western Kentucky and northwestern Tennessee.
Click to enlarge the images and animations.
Here is the temperature forecast for today. You can see the drop.
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Showers and thunderstorms will push off to the east this evening. That will leave us with mostly cloud sky conditions. Perhaps some patchy drizzle overnight.
Saturday will be cooler and breezy. Clouds will linger. I can’t rule out some patchy drizzle. There may be some clearing late in the day over our northern counties. Closer to I64.
Clouds will linger into Saturday night.
The Sunday into Wednesday time-frame will be made up of a series of fronts and disturbances.
Most of Sunday will be dry. Late in the day a few showers and thunderstorms may approach southeast Missouri. The rest of the area is currently forecast to remain dry. I will keep an eye on moisture trends. Sometimes these systems pop a few showers well ahead of the front.
A strong cold front will push into the region Sunday and linger into Monday night.
Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity Sunday night and Monday.
The heaviest rain will be over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois Sunday night. It will then spread eastward into western Kentucky and western Tennessee.
Monday is shaping up to be wet. Locally heavy rain will be possible.
The heaviest rain totals will be near and north of the cold front. I will need to monitor the exact position.
WPC rainfall totals forecast.
The next 72 hours and then the next seven days.
Through Monday morning (7 AM).
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Through Friday 7 AM. These tend to be a bit broad-brushed. You get the general idea.
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Snow may fall across parts of Missouri. That will stay to the west northwest of my forecast counties! Just a sign that winter is not far away.
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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.
What should I take from these?
- The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
- The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.
I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.
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This animation is the Hrrr model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Green is rain. Blue is snow. Pink and red represent sleet and freezing rain.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This animation is the SPC WRF model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
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This animation is the 3K American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This next animation is the NAM American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
This next animation is the GFS American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This next animation is the EC model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 44 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.85″ to 1.20″
Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.
This outlook covers October 23rd through October 29th
Click on the image to expand it.
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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 42 degrees
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.85″ to 1.10″
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This outlook covers October 30th through November 5th
Click on the image to expand it.
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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. For example, if your average rainfall is 1.00″ and the graphic shows 25%, then that would mean 0.25″ of rain is anticipated.
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EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 39 degrees
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.65″ to 1.80″
This outlook covers November 6th through November 19th
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Precipitation outlook
LONG RANGE DISCUSSION
Key Points: This was written by the BAMwx team. I don’t edit it.
THIS WILL RETURN IN THE SPRING. DURING THE GROWING SEASON.
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Fall Outlook
Click to enlarge it. Then, you can read it better.
The October Outlook has been posted.
Temperatures
AN means above average temperatures.
Precipitation
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November Temperature Outlook
M/AN means much above normal (above average)
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November Precipitation Outlook
BN means below normal (below average)
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December through February Temperature Outlook (preliminary)
December through February Precipitation Outlook (preliminary)
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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
December Temperature and Precipitation Preliminary outlook.
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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
January Temperature Outlook (preliminary)
January Precipitation Outlook (preliminary)
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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
February Temperature Outlook (preliminary)
February Precipitation Outlook (preliminary)
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Great news! The videos are now found in your Weathertalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.
These are bonus videos for subscribers.
The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radar Link: Interactive local city-view radars & regional radars.
You will find clickable warning and advisory buttons on the local city-view radars.
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of Dupage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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