.
Are you in need of new eye glasses? New contacts? Perhaps you need an eye exam. Then be sure and visit the Eye Care Associates of western Kentucky (the Paducah location). For all of your families eye care needs.
Visit their web-site here. Or, you can also visit their Facebook page.
Best at Enabling Body Shop Profitability since 1996. Located In Paducah Kentucky and Evansville Indiana; serving all customers in between. They provide Customer Service, along with all the tools necessary for body shops to remain educated and competitive. Click the logo above for their main web-site.
You can find McClintock Preferred Finishes on Facebook, as well
Expressway Carwash and Express Lube are a locally owned and operated full-service Carwash and Lube established in 1987.
They have been proudly serving the community for 29 years now at their Park Avenue location and 20 years at their Southside location. They have been lucky enough to partner with Sidecar Deli in 2015, which allows them to provide their customers with not only quality service, but quality food as well.
If you haven’t already, be sure to make Expressway your one-stop shop, with their carwash, lube and deli. For hours of operation and pricing visit www.expresswashlube.com or Expressway Carwash on Facebook.
.
.
Looking for some tasty holiday treats? Fluff Cupcakes has what you and your family need. Located in Benton, Kentucky. They even deliver!
**** VALENTINE’S DAY SPECIAL **** $25 dollar special includes ~ 4 assorted Valentine fluff cupcakes in a fabulous box! 18″ Mylar Happy Valentine Day cupcake balloon tied to the box! Valentine’s Day enclosure card! Free delivery in Marshall County! Free delivery to businesses in Paducah, Murray, and Mayfield! Payment is required at time of order. To place an order you can message Tracy on the fluff cupcake page, email, text, or call. Tracy will invoice thru PayPal, & also accepts credit/debit cards, cash, and/or checks. 270-205-2552 tracyd@dcelectricinc.com
I have used Fluff Cupcakes, during Thanksgiving and Christmas, for the last couple of years. I can tell you that the cupcakes are delicious. Be sure and contact Tracy and place your order. Birthdays, holidays, or just because! Visit them on Facebook at this link – click here
..
I have launched a new weather texting service! Be sure and sign up and fully support all of the weather data you see each day.
Weather Talk is a monthly subscription texting (and more) service. Supporting this helps cover the daily costs (average monthly costs are $700+) or all of the data, my time, and the Shadow Angel Foundation. The cost is $3 a month for one phone, $5 a month for three phones, and $10 a month for seven phones. You can sign up and opt out of the text messages, as well.
For more information visit BeauDodsonWeather.com
If you would like to receive a text notification, when the winter weather outlooks are updated, then make sure you have opted in to text option three. These are found behind the Personal Notification Settings on the weathertalk.com page.
This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog
NOTICE!
.
I am upgrading the office today. I will be monitoring the severe weather risk for Saturday night and Sunday morning.
Saturday Night Forecast Details
Forecast: Cloudy. A chance for showers and thunderstorms. Chances for rain increase through the night. Well above normal temperatures. A few strong storms possible late tonight. Monitor updates.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. There is a small risk for severe thunderstorms. A non-zero risk. Monitor updates.
Is severe weather expected? There is a non-zero risk for severe weather. Monitor updates.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes:
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% before 11 pm and 80% after 11 pm IL ~ 40% before 11 pm and 80% after 11 pm KY ~ 40% before 11 pm and 80% after 11 pm TN ~ 40% before 11 pm and 80% after 11 pm
Coverage of precipitation: Increasing coverage from south and southwest towards the north and northeast.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor radars.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 48 to 52 IL ~ 48 to 52 KY ~ 50 to 52 TN ~ 50 to 54
Winds: South and southeast at 5 to 10 mph and higher gusts.
Wind Chill when applicable: N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 1:31 a.m. and moonset will be at 12:31 p.m. Waning Crescent
.
January 22, 2017
Sunday Forecast Details:
Forecast: Cloudy. Showers likely. Breezy. Well above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 80% IL ~ 80% KY ~ 80% TN ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps numerous
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 56 to 64 IL ~ 56 to 64 KY ~ 56 to 64 TN ~ 56 to 64
Winds: Variable winds at 8 to 16 mph and gusty. Winds may become strong and gusty during the evening hours.
Wind Chill when applicable: N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Sunrise will be at 7:03 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:09 p.m.
UV Index: 0 to 1
Moonrise will be at 2:23 a.m. and moonset will be at 1:03 p.m. Waning Crescent
Sunday Night Forecast Details
Forecast: Cloudy. Windy. Showers likely before 10 pm and then scattered showers after 10 pm. Above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. High winds.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps numerous early.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 38 to 44 IL ~ 38 to 44 KY ~ 38 to 44 TN ~ 38 to 44
Winds: West and northwest at 15 to 35 mph and gusts to 40 mph possible.
Wind Chill when applicable: N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 2:23 a.m. and moonset will be at 1:03 p.m. Waning Crescent
.
January 23, 2017
Monday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none. Perhaps isolated.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 46 to 52 IL ~ 46 to 52 KY ~ 48 to 54 TN ~ 48 to 54
Winds: North and northwest at 10 to 20 mph and gusty
Wind Chill when applicable: N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Sunrise will be at 7:02 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:10 p.m.
UV Index: 0 to 2
Moonrise will be at 3:19 a.m. and moonset will be at 1:48 p.m. Waning Crescent
Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none. Monitor fog chances.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 32 to 36 IL ~ 32 to 36 KY ~ 32 to 46 TN ~ 32 to 36
Winds: North and northwest at 8 to 16 mph and gusty before 10 pm. North and northwest at 5 to 10 mph.
Wind Chill when applicable: N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 3:19 a.m. and moonset will be at 1:48 p.m. Waning Crescent
.
January 24, 2017
Tuesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 54 to 58 IL ~ 52 to 56 KY ~ 52 to 56 TN ~ 52 to 56
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph
Wind Chill when applicable: N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Sunrise will be at 7:02 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:11 p.m.
UV Index: 0 to 1
Moonrise will be at 4:11 a.m. and moonset will be at 2:32 p.m. Waning Crescent
Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Cool. Above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 42 to 46 IL ~ 42 to 46 KY ~ 44 to 48 TN ~ 45 to 50
Winds: South and southwest turning out of the west at 10 to 20 mph and gusty.
Wind Chill when applicable: N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 4:11 a.m. and moonset will be at 2:32 p.m. Waning Crescent
.
January 25, 2017
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly sunny. Above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Maybe wet roadways.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 54 to 58 IL ~ 54 to 58 KY ~ 54 to 58 TN ~ 54 to 58
Winds: West at 8 to 16 mph
Wind Chill when applicable: N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Sunrise will be at 7:01 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:12 p.m.
UV Index: 1 to 2
Moonrise will be at 5:02 a.m. and moonset will be at 3:22 p.m. Waning Crescent
Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. A 20% for showers. Above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Small chance for wet roadways.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 28 to 34 IL ~ 28 to 34 KY ~ 28 to 34 TN ~ 30 to 35
Winds: West at 7 to 14 mph. Gusty early
Wind Chill when applicable: N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 5:02 a.m. and moonset will be at 3:22 p.m. Waning Crescent
.
January 26, 2017
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly sunny. Cooler.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 40 to 45 IL ~ 40 to 45 KY ~ 40 to 45 TN ~ 40 to 45
Winds: North and northwest at 5 to 10 mph
Wind Chill when applicable: N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Sunrise will be at 7:00 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:14 p.m.
UV Index: 1 to 2
Moonrise will be at 5:50 a.m. and moonset will be at 4:14 p.m. Waning Crescent
Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Clearing and colder.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 24 to 28 IL ~ 24 to 28 KY ~ 24 to 28 TN ~ 24 to 28
Winds:
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 5:50 a.m. and moonset will be at 4:14 p.m. Waning Crescent
More information on the UV index. Click her
The School Bus Stop Forecast is sponsored by Heath Health and Wellness. Located next to Crowell Pools in Lone Oak, Kentucky. Visit their website here. Visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!
Heath Health Foods is a locally owned and operated retail health and wellness store. Since opening in February 2006; the store has continued to grow as a ministry with an expanding inventory which also offers wellness appointments and services along with educational opportunities.
Visit their web-site here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!
Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming day
- Some showers and storms
- Above normal temperatures to continue
- Cooling trend, but nothing unusual
- End of January into February. Snow? Colder?
Saturday night
Confidence: Medium
Officially, as of this writing, the Storm Prediction Center has placed our region in a zone for some severe weather risks. The risk appears small. A non-zero risk.
I will monitor radars on Saturday night. I just don’t think we have all of the ingredients for severe thunderstorms. There will be some CAPE (energy for storms to work with). The better dynamics, however, will likely remain to our south.
A few reports of small hail are possible in our region. Lightning, of course, will be a possibility. The threat for tornadoes and damaging winds appears to be quite small. Again, better chances to our south.
The greatest concern for a few strong storms will be over the Missouri Bootheel, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.
As we move into the overnight hours, showers and thunderstorms will spread into the region from the southwest and south.
You can see the rain on this NAM model guidance Future-cast radar.
This image is for 11 PM Saturday night.
And, here is the 1 AM Sunday image
Sunday and Sunday night
Confidence: High
An area of low pressure will move over or near out region on Sunday. Showers and some thunderstorms will be possible across the region. The higher coverage will be over the Missouri Bootheel, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.
As you move northward the rain totals are anticipated to be less. As you move southward the rain totals are anticipated to be higher. See the rain graphics further down in the blow.
Strong and gusty winds will develop on Sunday evening and last into Monday. Gusts to 20 to 40 mph are anticipated.
Sunday 5 AM future-cast radar
Sunday 8 AM. Future-cast radar.
12 PM Sunday. Future-cast radar.
3 PM Sunday future-cast radar.
Sunday 6 PM future-cast radar
10 PM Sunday future-cast radar
9 PM wind gusts.
6 AM Monday wind gusts.
12 AM Tuesday winds. You can see the winds will subside on Monday night and Tuesday morning.
Monday
Confidence: High
Our rain maker will pull away from the region on Monday. Clouds may linger. Precipitation chances will dwindle. I have been trying to leave the Monday forecast dry. I did include a 20% chance for a shower.
Temperatures will be cooler on Monday. Normal high temperatures are around 40 to 43 degrees. Cool on Monday, but nothing out of the ordinary.
Pattern Change:
There are some changes in the pattern over the coming week. a cooler air mass will filter into the region. Even with the cooler air temperatures will still remain slightly above normal.
No true arctic air-mass is in the current forecast.
Winter is quickly running out of time for snow lovers.
There are a couple of clippers in the model data. Clippers dive in from the northwest and occasionally produce snow.
I am closely monitoring the southeast ridge. The southeast ridge could build back into our region. If this happens then winter will be all but over.
There is a pattern battle coming over the coming weeks. Whether the trough or the ridge wins is the real question for forecasters. Troughs deliver colder weather. Ridge would deliver warmer temperatures.
There are several systems to monitor as we end January and push into February. The big question will be precipitation type. February at least stands a better chance of producing winter precipitation than January.
Time will tell.
————-
WINTER WEATHER OUTLOOK was updated on Monday, January 16th. The next update will be this coming weekend
Winter weather outlooks will be posted on the www.weathertalk.com website. Look under the Winter Weather Outlook tab. These are updated at least twice each week.
To register and receive the winter weather outlooks, please visit BeauDodsonWeather.com
If you would like to receive a text notification, when the winter weather outlooks are updated, then make sure you have opted into text option three. The text options are found under the Personal Notification Settings tab on the weathertalk.com website.
Find me on Twitter
How much rain is expected over the coming days?
Click to enlarge these images from weatherbell.com
These are the totals through Sunday night/Monday. This covers the rain event from Saturday night through Monday.
Most of this will fall late Saturday night into Sunday night.
I zoomed in on the north view and south view
High and Low-Temperature Outlook
Sunday morning low temperatures
Sunday afternoon high temperatures
Monday morning low temperatures
Monday Afternoon high temperatures
No major changes.
Strong and gusty winds on Sunday night and Monday. Wind gusts might top 40 mph
Some thunderstorms are possible, especially Saturday night into Sunday morning.
Severe thunderstorm outlook.
Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
Saturday into Sunday night: Some thunderstorms are possible during this time frame. Small risk for severe weather. Monitor updates.
Some general non-severe storms are possible on Sunday into Sunday evening.
We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not update then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
During the winter months you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link—
National interactive radar: Click this link.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky. These are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
Regional Radar
Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
..
The official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).
The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)
The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 39 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology and a Bachelor’s of Science.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Rescue. 2015 through current
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
I am the chief meteorologist for Weather Talk LLC. I am the owner of Weather Talk LLC.
I am also a business owner in western Kentucky.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2005 I helped open the largest American Cross shelter in U.S. history in Houston, Texas. I was deployed to help after Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Rita. I was a shelter manager of one of the Houston, Texas shelter divisions.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, email, texts, and this blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on some television stations or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
Many of the graphics on this page are from www.weatherbell.com
WeatherBell is a great resource for weather model guidance.
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions
