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Are you in need of new eye glasses? New contacts? Perhaps you need an eye exam. Then be sure and visit the Eye Care Associates of western Kentucky (the Paducah location). For all of your families eye care needs.
Visit their web-site here. Or, you can also visit their Facebook page.
Best at Enabling Body Shop Profitability since 1996. Located In Paducah Kentucky and Evansville Indiana; serving all customers in between. They provide Customer Service, along with all the tools necessary for body shops to remain educated and competitive. Click the logo above for their main web-site.
You can find McClintock Preferred Finishes on Facebook, as well
Expressway Carwash and Express Lube are a locally owned and operated full-service Carwash and Lube established in 1987.
They have been proudly serving the community for 29 years now at their Park Avenue location and 20 years at their Southside location. They have been lucky enough to partner with Sidecar Deli in 2015, which allows them to provide their customers with not only quality service, but quality food as well.
If you haven’t already, be sure to make Expressway your one-stop shop, with their carwash, lube and deli. For hours of operation and pricing visit www.expresswashlube.com or Expressway Carwash on Facebook.
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Looking for some tasty holiday treats? Fluff Cupcakes has what you and your family need. Located in Benton, Kentucky. They even deliver!
**** VALENTINE’S DAY SPECIAL **** $25 dollar special includes ~ 4 assorted Valentine fluff cupcakes in a fabulous box! 18″ Mylar Happy Valentine Day cupcake balloon tied to the box! Valentine’s Day enclosure card! Free delivery in Marshall County! Free delivery to businesses in Paducah, Murray, and Mayfield! Payment is required at time of order. To place an order you can message Tracy on the fluff cupcake page, email, text, or call. Tracy will invoice thru PayPal, & also accepts credit/debit cards, cash, and/or checks. 270-205-2552 tracyd@dcelectricinc.com
I have used Fluff Cupcakes, during Thanksgiving and Christmas, for the last couple of years. I can tell you that the cupcakes are delicious. Be sure and contact Tracy and place your order. Birthdays, holidays, or just because! Visit them on Facebook at this link – click here
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I have launched a new weather texting service! Be sure and sign up and fully support all of the weather data you see each day.
Weather Talk is a monthly subscription texting (and more) service. Supporting this helps cover the daily costs (average monthly costs are $700+) or all of the data, my time, and the Shadow Angel Foundation. The cost is $3 a month for one phone, $5 a month for three phones, and $10 a month for seven phones. You can sign up and opt out of the text messages, as well.
For more information visit BeauDodsonWeather.com
If you would like to receive a text notification, when the winter weather outlooks are updated, then make sure you have opted in to text option three. These are found behind the Personal Notification Settings on the weathertalk.com page.
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Winter storm forecasts will be posted on the www.weathertalk.com website. Look under the Daily Weather Summary tab.
The winter weather outlook was updated at 1 PM on Monday, January 9, 2017 – Link
This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog
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January 9, 2017
Monday Night: Cloudy. A 40% for showers. At this time, it appears the precipitation should remain liquid. Breezy, at times.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways possible. Gusty winds.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: Low temperatures early in the night (30’s). Temperatures may rise into the 40’s by sunrise
Wind Chill:
Winds: South winds at 10-20 mph with gusts to 35+ mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Increasing coverage through the night
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? Unlikely.
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars and rain coverage.
Sunset will be at 4:56 p.m.
Moonrise will be at 2:34 p.m. and moonset will be at 3:54 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
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January 10, 2017
Tuesday Night: Windy. Cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially early. Mostly dry late. A few storms could produce strong winds.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Gusty winds. Maybe lightning.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Low temperatures from 35 near Mt Vernon to the middle to upper 40’s over western Kentucky. Middle to upper 40’s possible near Poplar Bluff into the Missouri Bootheel and, northwest Tennessee, and southern Kentucky counties.
Wind Chill:
Winds: Southwest to west at 10-20 mph and gusty before midnight. Winds becoming variable at 6 to 12 mph after midnight
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered early and then isolated after 11 pm.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? Small risk. Not a zero risk. Mainly for southern Illinois.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B in case showers linger.
Sunset will be at 4:57 p.m.
Moonrise will be at 3:30 p.m. and moonset will be at 5:01 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
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January 11, 2017
Wednesday: Cloudy. Becoming windy, again. Rain showers likely during the morning. A chance for scattered showers during the afternoon. Rumble of thunder possible. Mild for January.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Lightning. Strong winds during the afternoon and evening.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the middle 50’s in Mt Vernon to middle 60’s over west Kentucky and northwest Tennessee.
Winds: Southerly winds (SE, S, SW) at 7 to 14 mph during the morning and increasing to 20 to 40 mph late in the afternoon.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 60% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? None
Is severe weather expected? No. Lightning possible.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor. Showers possible. Have a plan B in mind.
Sunrise will be at 7:07 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:58 p.m.
UV Index: 0
Moonrise will be at 4:30 p.m. and moonset will be at 6:03 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
Wednesday Night: Cloudy. Mild. Windy. Spotty showers possible. Steady or perhaps rising temperatures overnight.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Perhaps lightning. Strong and gusty winds. Winds above 40 mph possible.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Low temperatures early in the evening. Temperatures should rise through the 50’s overnight and into the 60’s for portions of the region by Thursday morning.
Wind Chill:
Winds: South and southwest winds at 15 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph. Isolated higher winds possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates. Rain is possible.
Complicated forecast Thursday into Sunday. A frontal boundary in or near the region might mean a wide range of temperatures. I can’t rule out a wintry mix over portions of the region late in the week. The boundary and temperatures will need to be closely monitored.
I will be monitoring for the potential of heavy rain, as well.
Significant adjustments are possible in the overall forecast.
January 12, 2017
Thursday: Cloudy. Warm. Windy. A chance for showers and thunderstorms.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Lightning.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 58 to 66 degree range
Wind Chill:
Winds: South and southwest at 8 to 16 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 50% IL ~ 50% KY ~ 50% TN ~ 50%
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered to perhaps widespread
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? None
Is severe weather expected? Monitor updates
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor. Rain is possible. Have a plan B in mind.
Sunrise will be at 7:07 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:59 p.m.
UV Index: 0 to 1
Moonrise will be at 5:35 p.m. and moonset will be at 7:00 a.m. Full moon
Thursday Night: Cloudy. A chance for showers. A thunderstorm possible. Turning colder late. Temperatures over our northern counties may fall below freezing with freezing rain and sleet developing. Monitor the winter weather outlook. There remain questions about how far south the cold air will travel on Thursday night.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Lightning. Freezing rain and sleet (portions of the area)
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Low temperatures from 30 degrees north to 42 degrees over west Kentucky and Tennessee.
Wind Chill:
Winds: Variable winds becoming more northwest and north at 7 to 14 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 80% IL ~ 80% KY ~ 80% TN ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? Perhaps over portions of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. This will need to be closely monitored. Low confidence on the position of the front late Thursday night into Friday morning.
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
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January 13, 2017
Friday: Cloudy. Showers likely south. Freezing rain and sleet middle of the area and northern counties. Draw a line from near Cape Girardeau, MO across extreme southern Illinois from there northward stands the best chance for a wintry mix. South of that line uncertain and confidence is low. Very low confidence on where the 32 degree line will settle. Monitor updates. Some ice is possible in the region on Friday into Saturday morning.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Lightning. Freezing rain. Sleet.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures will have a large spread across the region. Perhaps 40’s or even 50’s south of the cold front and lower to middle 30’s north of the front. Where the front settles is key to precipitation type from county to county.
Wind Chill:
Winds: Variable winds at 6 to 12 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 70% IL ~ 70% KY ~ 70% TN ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation? Widespread
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? Freezing rain and sleet likely across portions of the region. Monitor updates and advisories.
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
Sunrise will be at 7:07 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:00 p.m.
UV Index: 0
Moonrise will be at 6:40 p.m. and moonset will be at 7:51 a.m. Waning Gibbous
Friday Night: Cloudy. Temperatures may rise late Friday night. Rain likely south of the stationary front. A wintry mix to the north of the front. Monitor updates.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Wintry precipitation possible.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Low temperatures from the upper 20’s near Mt Vernon, Illinois to the upper 30’s and lower 40’s over portions of west Kentucky and west Tennessee. LOW confidence on temperatures Friday night. Changeable numbers are possible.
Wind Chill:
Winds: Variable wind direction at 7 to 14 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 70% IL ~ 70% KY ~ 50% TN ~ 50%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps widespread.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? Monitor updates
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
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January 14, 2017
Saturday: Cloudy. Rain. Perhaps a wintry mix over our far northern counties of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois (Farmington to Mt Vernon). Temperatures should rise above freezing area-wide on Saturday.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Lightning. Perhaps some wintry mix north.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 30’s near Mt Vernon and in the 50’s over west Kentucky and west Tennessee.
Wind Chill:
Winds: East winds and variable winds at 6 to 12 mph.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 50% IL ~ 50% KY ~ 50% TN ~ 50%
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? Monitor updates.
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
Sunrise will be at 7:08 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:01 p.m.
UV Index: 0
Moonrise will be at 7:44 p.m. and moonset will be at 8:35 a.m. Waning Gibbous
Saturday Night: Cloudy. Rain showers likely.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. I will be monitoring temperatures to see how far north the freezing line pushes on Saturday. Perhaps all the precipitation will have changed to plain old rain by Saturday afternoon or evening.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Low temperatures in the upper 30’s to middle 40’s
Wind Chill:
Winds: Variable winds at 7-14 mph.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? Precipitation should have changed to all rain in the region
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates. Have a plan B.
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January 15, 2017
Sunday: Cloudy. A chance for showers and perhaps thunderstorms.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Lightning.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the upper 30’s and lower 40’s towards Mt Vernon and perhaps in the 50’s as you travel south. Low confidence on temperatures for Sunday.
Wind Chill:
Winds: South and southwest at 6 to 12 mph.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 60% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered to perhaps widespread as a new cold front moves into the region.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? Monitor updates.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
Sunrise will be at 7:08 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:02 p.m.
UV Index: 0
Moonrise will be at 8:48 p.m. and moonset will be at 9:14 a.m. Waning Gibbous
Sunday Night: Cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms possible.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Lightning.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Low temperatures from 44 to 48 degrees.
Wind Chill:
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 60% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps widespread.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely, but monitor updates
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
More information on the UV index. Click here
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The School Bus Stop Forecast is sponsored by Heath Health and Wellness. Located next to Crowell Pools in Lone Oak, Kentucky.Visit their website here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!
Heath Health Foods is a locally owned and operated retail health and wellness store. Since opening in February 2006; the store has continued to grow as a ministry with an expanding inventory which also offers wellness appointments and services along with educational opportunities.
Visit their web-site here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!
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Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming day
- Windy!
- Rain showers likely Monday night into Tuesday night
- A few storms possible
- Wintry event late in the week?
- Showers and storms with a cold front on Sunday
- Busy week of weather.
- Updated winter weather outlook discusses the potential for snow, sleet, and freezing rain. See that forecast on the www.weathertalk.com website (behind the Daily Weather Summary tab)
Forecast analysis
I spent a considerable amount of time today on the winter weather outlook. I went ahead and issued a forecast with probabilities for each county in the region.
It is still a bit early to make a forecast, but many people are asking about snow, sleet, and freezing rain chances. See that outlook on the Weather Talk site for all of the details. It is a lengthy update.
Monday night into Tuesday night
Confidence: High
Expect windy conditions with rising temperatures Monday night. By Tuesday morning winds will be gusting above 30 mph. I would not be surprised if we see gusts above 40 mph on Tuesday. Windy!
Scattered showers will develop Monday night into Tuesday. I can’t rule out lightning on Tuesday/Tuesday night. The severe weather risk appears small. As always, monitor updates.
Rainfall totals from this first round of precipitation should remain fairly light. I am forecasting 0.05″ to 0.30″ for the area. The highest totals should be over Kentucky and Tennessee.
Wednesday into Thursday afternoon
Confidence: Medium to high
Off and on shower chances will remain with us during this time period. Temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday should pop into the 60’s. Dew points will rise into the upper 50’s and lower 60’s. Some thunderstorms will be possible. I can’t completely rule out heavy thunderstorms (especially on Thursday). Let’s keep an eye on model guidance trends. If we have more instability then the risk for a few severe thunderstorms would increase. For now, just general thunderstorms are anticipated. That would mean lightning.
Showers on Wednesday will likely be scattered. Increasing coverage is anticipated for Thursday into Thursday night. Rainfall totals from Wednesday into Thursday night should range from 0.20″ to 0.70″. A heavier band of precipitation is likely near the Ohio River on Thursday afternoon into Thursday night. The exact placement is still a bit uncertain.
Thursday night through Sunday
Winter storm potential for portions of the region
Confidence: Low to medium
I went into great detail in the winter weather outlook. I posted the update at 1 pm on Monday.
Currently, I am leaning towards the wintry precipitation to be focused our northern counties. Less confidence south of a line from Cape Girardeau, Missouri to Vienna, Illinois, to Madisonville, Kentucky. North of there wintry precipitation probabilities peak. South of there they decrease. At least for now.
This event is still several days away. Thus, monitor updates.
Winter weather outlooks will be posted on the www.weathertalk.com website. Look under the Daily Weather Summary tab. These are updated at least twice each week.
To register and receive the winter weather outlooks, please visit BeauDodsonWeather.com
If you would like to receive a text notification, when the winter weather outlooks are updated, then make sure you have opted in to text option three. The text options are found under the Personal Notification Settings tab on the weathertalk.com page.
Find me on Twitter
How much rain is expected over the coming days?
Monday night through Wednesday morning
North view and south view
Click to enlarge
These are the NOAA/WPC forecast totals. The heaviest band may still shift around a bit. Monitor updates.
South view
Heavier totals are likely as we push into Wednesday afternoon through Sunday night. Several inches of rain could occur. Monitor updates as we move forward.
Click to enlarge
This is for the entire seven day period.
You can see how they have the heaviest band from southeast Missouri into southern Illinois and then southwest Indiana. Again, this might shift around a bit.
North view
South view
High and Low-Temperature Outlook
Tuesday morning low temperatures
Tuesday afternoon high temperatures
Wednesday morning low temperatures
Wednesday afternoon high temperatures
Severe thunderstorm outlook.
Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated
Tuesday the Tuesday night: Lightning possible. Monitor updated forecasts.
Wednesday through Wednesday night: I can’t rule out storms on Wednesday night. Monitor updates.
Thursday and Thursday night: Monitor updates. Storms are possible. CAPE numbers are in question. If CAPE was higher then I would be concerned about severe weather. Thus, monitor updates.
Friday into Sunday: Monitor updates. Some storms are possible, especially on Sunday.
We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not seem to be updating then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here —
We also have a new national interactive radar – you can view that radar by clicking here.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky – these are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
Regional Radar
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Live Lightning Data – zoom and pan: Click here
Live Lightning Data with sound (click the sound button on the left side of the page): Click here
Update rain chances and temperatures.
Gusty winds are possible late Monday night into Tuesday. Gusty winds may remain with us into Thursday. Wind gusts could top 40 mph.
The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
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Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 38 years of experience in observing our region’s weather patterns.
I hold a Bachelor’s of Science in Geosciences with a concentration in Broadcast Meteorology. I graduated from Mississippi State University.
My resume includes the following:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
I am the owner and operator of Weather Talk (in partnership with The Fire Horn)
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross. In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple…
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, email, and the blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
Many of my graphics are from www.weatherbell.com – a great resource for weather data, model data, and more
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions.
