Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

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I am going to try to streamline the blog.  Centered on the most important aspects of the forecast.   

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Key Messages

🥵 The hottest stretch of the year so far begins today.

• Afternoon temperatures will climb close to 90 degrees.  Temperatures will be a bit cooler where clouds and storms linger.
• High humidity (dew points) will make it feel even hotter, with heat index values reaching around 105 degrees at times through Thursday.
• Some relief from the heat and humidity is expected by Friday and Saturday.

⛈️ A few storms could become strong and/or severe today into this evening.  See the graphics below.

• The hot, humid air will help fuel thunderstorms.  Locally heavy rain is likely in areas that do receive storms.
• A few storms may produce damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph.

⛈️ More showers and thunderstorms are expected Thursday afternoon into Friday.

⛈️ Scattered showers and thunderstorms from Saturday to Monday (around 30% to 40% chances from Saturday to Monday)

• Some storms could be strong and/or severe on Thursday afternoon and Thursday night.
• The main threats will be damaging winds and brief periods of heavy rain.

Bottom Line

• Today through Thursday: Hot and humid with heat index values near 105°.  A bit lower where clouds are thicker.
• Tuesday afternoon/evening: A few strong storms possible.
• Thursday night into Friday: Another round of showers and thunderstorms, some potentially strong. 🌡️⛈️💨🌧️

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A few informational graphics from the NWS.

There is a marginal risk (dark green zone) that a few thunderstorms could be severe today into this evening.  The light green zone is where storms are possible, but likely below severe limits.

The Storm Prediction Center could still shift this around a bit.  Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather App.

Double-click images to enlarge them.

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Isolated flooding is possible in the heavier storms.  Flooding should not be widespread.

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A heat advisory covers portions of the area.  That means heat index values could reach above 100 degrees.

Muggy air.  Tropical air.

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Another chance of severe weather on Thursday afternoon and night.  I will need to monitor the timing of this.

The yellow zone is a level two out of five risk.  The dark green zone is a level one out of five risk.  One is the lowest.  Five is the highest.

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado and Severe Weather Outlook ⛈️

June 9th  through June 15th

Current severe weather risk:  POSSIBLE.  A few of the thunderstorms this afternoon and evening could produce strong wind gusts and small hail.  There is a risk that a few of the thunderstorms will produce damaging wind gusts.  I am monitoring Thursday night.  Additional storms are likely.  See the graphics above for more details.

Current tornado risk:  LOW.  The risk of tornadoes is low through Sunday.  I will keep an eye on the Thursday night thunderstorms.

Current confidence level in the tornado forecast: Medium.

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Seven-day outlook graphic.

This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.

* Scroll down to see your local city rain probability maps.

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Dew Points.  A muggy few days ahead of us.

Notice how humid it feels outside today?  That is because we have high dew points.  Dew point measures the moisture in the air.  It is a better gauge of “mugginess” than humidity.

Look at today’s dew points.  Muggy!

Dew points in the mid to upper 70s.  That is air you wear.  Uncomfortable.

By Friday and Saturday, the dew point temperatures will be a bit lower.  It will feel a bit better outside than the coming days.

Friday’s dew points (the graphic below)

Saturday dew points

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Let’s Look At The Seven-Day Rainfall Totals Forecast

General rainfall total maps for today through next Tuesday morning.

* As is typical for late spring, totals will vary greatly.  Thunderstorms can double your rainfall totals.  Keep that in mind.  I would not be surprised if a few spots receive more than three inches of rain this week.  Perhaps in a short amount of time.

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Western view.

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 86 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below-average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Live Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.30″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways to receive severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you if your home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon, it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF