March 23, 2026: A cooler start to the week.

🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

March 23th through March 30th

Current risk: None

Current confidence level: High.

Comments: Severe weather is not anticipated.

Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast? MONITOR. Perhaps on Thursday night.

2. Are organized severe thunderstorms. NOT AT THIS TIME. I will monitor Thursday PM.

..3. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? NO.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.

5. Will the temperature fall below 20 degrees? NO.

6. Is the wind chill forecast to drop below ten degrees? NO.

7. Is accumulating snow (one inch or more of snow) or ice in the forecast? NO

⛈️ Here is the short-range thunderstorm concern meter.

⛈️ Here is the extended thunderstorm concern meter.

A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

Here is your bus stop forecast

Tomorrow morning

Tomorrow afternoon

My daily video

Forecast discussion

Cooler today and tomorrow.
Warmer on Wednesday and Thursday.
Cooler this weekend.
A few showers are possible on Thursday and Friday.

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What is the primary weather concern today and tonight?

No major weather concerns today or tonight. Tranquel, cool weather.

A warming trend will develop on Thursday. Cooler by Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.

These were the 4 am temperatures this morning.

Seven-day outlook graphic.

See the video and graphics below for more details specific to your county. This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.

Today through Wednesday

No major weather concerns today through Wednesda night.

It will be a bit breezy today. Nothing too extreme. Normal spring winds gusting to 20 mph.

A slow warming trend into Wednesday.

This past weekend, some locations hit their all-time March records.

This is what the heat ridge looks like on the mean temperature map. This is the anomaly map.

Extreme numbers over a huge portion of the United States.

Some of Saturday’s record high temperatures. The pink dots are all-time monthly records.

Some (not all) of Sunday’s record high temperatures. The pink dots are all-time monthly records.

The heat dome is very large. Covering the central and western United States. One of the bigger heat ridges, for the month of March, that I can remember.

Thursday through Sunday

Near record or record high temperatures are expected on Thursday.

We will return to widespread highs in the 80s. This is quite unusual since we just had record highs this past weekend.

Let’s look at those temperatures.

Thursday’s high temperature map for most of our region.

Double-click on images to enlarge them.

For my western counties. Thursday’s high temperatures.

A strong cold front will push across the region on Thursday night and Friday morning.

This will bring cooler air and a chance of showers and thunderstorms.

A few storms could be strong.

It appears that the bulk of the severe weather threat will remain to our north.

I will be monitoring this part of the forecast.

Currently, the Storm Prediction Center (NWS/NOAA) has the risk of severe storms to our north.

It would not surprise me if this slides south a tad.

Double-click on images to enlarge them.

This does line up quite well with the AI models.

This shows you the peak chance of lightning

The peak chance of hail

The peak chance of damaging wind gusts.

That isn’t too say that we won’t have some of that in our local area (esp northern counties), but the risk is higher to our north. Monitor updates.

Let’s take a look at the rainfall probabilities. What is the % chance of rain or storms?

Wednesday night 7 PM to Thursday 7 AM

Double-click on images to enlarge them.

Thursday 7 AM to Thursday 7 PM

Thursday night 7 PM to Friday 7 AM

Notice the chances are skewed to our north and northeast.

Friday 7 AM to Friday 7 PM

Here are the anticipated rainfall totals. Notice they are higher to our north and northeast. Double-click on the image to enlarge it.

Let’s look at those high temperatures on Thursday. The heat returns.

Record or near record high temperatures are anticipated.

We cool down behind the cold front.

These are the Saturday morning low temperatures.

I can’t rule out patchy frost if the wind subsides.

Western view.

Saturday and Sunday are likely to be dry. Some data shows a 10 to 20% chance of light showers.

For now, I kept it dry. I will monitor it.

I am watching the first two weeks of April for thunderstorms. Some of the data shows increasing chances for thunderstorms. A bit too early to know if severe weather will be a concern. Monitor updates.

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.

This model pops most of the storms east northeast of our region (on Thursday PM)

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

GFS Model

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

EC Model

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 62 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 40 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below-average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 43 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.30″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
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Regional Radar
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** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.