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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
March 18th through March 24th
Current risk: None
Current confidence level: High.
Comments: Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? NO.
2. Are organized severe thunderstorms. NO.
..3. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? NO.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will the temperature fall below 20 degrees? NO. Just this morning.
6. Is the wind chill forecast to drop below ten degrees? NO. Just this morning.
7. Is accumulating snow (one inch or more of snow) or ice in the forecast? NO
⛈️ Here is the short-range thunderstorm concern meter.
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⛈️ Here is the extended thunderstorm concern meter.
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Here is your bus stop forecast
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Tomorrow morning
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Tomorrow afternoon
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Forecast discussion
- A warming trend is in the cards.
- Much warmer from Thursday to Sunday.
- Cooler Sunday night and Monday.
- Dry Thursday through Monday.
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What is the primary weather concern today and tonight?
No major weather concerns. There are a few snow showers in the region. At most, someone might have a dusting.
A warming trend will develop as we move through the work week. Peak days will be Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. Some areas could even hit 80 degrees!
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These were the 5 am temperatures this morning.
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Seven-day outlook graphic.
See the video and graphics below for more details specific to your county. This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.
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Let’s Look Back At Sunday’s Severe Weather Event
A follow-up to last Sunday’s event.
How did the Storm Prediction and forecasters do on their severe weather outlook last Sunday?
Our messaging was that there was a 25% chance of a non-event and a 75% chance of severe thunderstorms/tornadoes.
We called for short-lived tornadoes.
This was the first real event of 2026. We have had a few low-end events since January. This one, however, was the first time we had to enhance our messaging.
We had numerous severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings.
The NWS is still conducting surveys, and a few more tornadoes may be added.
There are quite a few damage swaths in our local area. Either from brief tornadoes or straight-line winds.
On Sunday, there were nearly 800 reports of damaging wind, hail, and tornadoes!
Here are the storm reports (from Sunday) overlaid onto the Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather outlook.
We were in a level three severe weather risk.
Overall, a solid forecast.
Double-click the image to enlarge it.
Today through Sunday Night
A fast-moving system will bring a few rain and snow showers to the region this morning.
Not expecting much.
No major weather concerns through next Tuesday. A quieter weather pattern.
It will warm up late this week and then turn colder on Monday and Tuesday.
Let’s take a look at those temperatures.
A nice weekend ahead of us.
Double-click on these graphics to enlarge them.
Friday’s high temperatures
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Saturday’s high temperatures
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Sunday’s high temperatures
A cold front will sweep across the region on Sunday PM. This will bring somewhat cooler air.
At this time, a freeze is not anticipated.
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Monday and Tuesday
Monday’s high temperatures
The good news is that we do not have any severe weather in the forecast. That is a win in March!
The next system is beyond the long range. A potential cold front with showers and thunderstorms around the 26th to 28th.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.
This model pops most of the storms east northeast of our region (on Thursday PM)
The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.
NAM 3K Model
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 56 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 35 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.20″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below-average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 37 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.20″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather
Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?
Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account
You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.
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Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
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Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)
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I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.
Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson
Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live. I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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We do have some sponsors! Check them out.
Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here
INTEGRITY ROOFING AND EXTERIORS!
⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/
Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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