Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

Today through Saturday night

No major weather concerns today through Saturday night.

We will have gusty winds from time to time.  Winds today could top 30 mph.

These are non-thunderstorm gradient winds.

Gradient winds are caused by rapidly falling or rapidly rising barometric pressure.  Many of you have barometers in your house.

No rain or snow through Saturday night.

Otherwise, a warming trend into Saturday.

Here are Saturday’s high temperatures.  Not too bad for early March.

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Sunday through Tuesday

** Severe thunderstorms are likely on Sunday afternoon and night .  Monday update. **

A strong cold front will approach the region on Sunday and Sunday night.

Showers and thunderstorms will accompany the front.

You can see that on the EC model animation.

The time-stamp is in Zulu time. 00=7 PM. 06z=1 AM.

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A few of those thunderstorms could produce hail and wind.  Tornadoes are also possible if dew points are higher.

Dew point is a measure of moisture in the atmosphere.  Higher dew points are associated with higher chances for intense thunderstorms.

Here are three different models.  If the dew points are high, the 58-degree mark or higher, then severe weather chances increase on Sunday.

Double-click on images to enlarge them.

GFS model

NAM model

EC model

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The Storm Prediction Center/NOAA has outlined portions of our region for a risk of severe weather on Sunday and Sunday night.

This is an initial outlook, and adjustments are likely.

The yellow zone represents a level two (slight) risk of severe thunderstorms.  The orange zone represents a level three threat.

The threat has increased since 24 hours ago.

The scale ranges from one to five.  Five being the highest.

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The SPC has also hatched our region.  That means that a few of the tornadoes could be strong.
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Zoomed in view.

Here are some National Weather Service graphics.

Adjustments in the outlook are still possible.

My northwest counties.

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Most of our region.

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Here is another graphic from some AI models.

It also shows a signal for a few severe thunderstorms.  Monitor updates moving forward.

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A strong cold front will approach the region on Sunday and Sunday night.

Check out these temperature drops.  This is Sunday night.

Double-click images to enlarge them.

10 PM Sunday.  Here comes the colder air.  Sharp cold front!

A rapid drop in temperatures will occur behind the cold front.

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This front will usher in much colder air.  As a matter of fact, temperatures may drop into the teens in some counties on Monday night.  Brrr.

The rain may change to snow on Sunday night/Monday morning.  A dusting will be possible.

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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Green is rain.  Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.

This model pops most of the storms east northeast of our region (on Thursday PM)

 RRFS Model
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Green is rain.  Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.

EC model

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 56 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 35 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below-average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 57 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 37 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.20″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF

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I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.

Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson

Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live.  I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.

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College of DuPage satellites. Click here

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