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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page. Link to those threads CLICK HERE
Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com
I will be participating in this year’s Dancing With The Stars in Paducah.
I am looking for donations and sponsorships.
You can buy a table at this link and/or donate (you don’t need to buy a table to donate).
More information at this link. CLICK HERE
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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
February 23rd through February 28th
Current risk: NO.
Current confidence level: High confidence.
Comments: None.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? POSSIBLE. I will monitor on Wednesday night and Thursday. A few lightning strikes are possible.
The SPC has us outlined for a few thunderstorms. At this time, no severe weather is anticipated.
2. Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms. No.
..3. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? NO.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? UNLIKELY.
5. Will the temperature fall below 20 degrees? POSSIBLE. Tonight.
6. Is the wind chill forecast to drop below ten degrees? No.
7. Is accumulating snow (one inch or more of snow) or ice in the forecast? No.
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⛈️ Here is the short-range thunderstorm concern meter.
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⛈️ Here is the extended thunderstorm concern meter.
Lightning is possible on Wednesday night and Thursday.
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Here is your bus stop forecast
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This afternoon
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Forecast discussion
- Cold today and tonight.
- Warming trend mid-week. Gusty winds on and off this week, especially on Tuesday.
- A chance of rain on Wednesday evening into Thursday. Thunder is possible.
- Rain totals vary.
- Another chance of rain on Sunday (low chances for now)
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What is the primary weather concern?
No significant concerns through Wednesday afternoon. It will be cold today, but a warming trend will begin tomorrow and continue into Thursday.
Gusty winds on Tuesday. Gusts above 25 mph are likely.
Our next rain chance arrives Wednesday night and Thursday. A few thunderstorms are possible. Severe storms are not anticipated.
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These were the 6 am temperatures.
A few snow flurries around the region.
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Seven-day outlook graphic.
See the video or graphics below for more details specific to your county. This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.
There is a chance of snow showers this morning.
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Today will be a cold day for the region. We have been on a bit of a roller-coaster with temperatures. That is normal for February.
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Wednedsay will be even warmer.
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Saturday will be the warmest day of the week. A bit cooler on Sunday.
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Today into Wednesday Afternoon
No significant concerns. It will be windy on Tuesday, with wind gusts likely above 25 mph.
Use caution if burning leaves or brush.
Wednesday into Sunday Afternoon
Rain chances will increase on Wednesday night and Thursday.
There will be a range of rain totals. It is hard to trust these numbers.
The last two months, they have been too bullish.
Let’s see how this trends over the next few days. We need this rain. We are in a drought. Even though the surface ground might be muddy, the longer-term drought is the problem. Deeper soil moisture.
Keep in mind that this is broad-brushed.
If you find yourself under a thunderstorm, then rain totals would be a bit higher, of course.
Double-click on the image to enlarge it.
Western counties
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Let’s look at rain probabilities for that system.
This is for Friday night. As you can see, there is a low-level chance of rain.
Wednesday 6 PM to Wednesday 6 PM precipitation chances.
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Thursday 6 AM to Thursday 6 PM
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Thursday 6 PM to Friday 6 AM
As you can see, the rain will be moving out on Thursday evening.
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A weak system may impact the region on Sunday. Confidence in that one is low.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange and red indicate locally heavy rain.
This model pops most of the storms east northeast of our region (on Thursday PM)
GFS Model
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Red is locally heavy rain.
NAM model
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 49 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 30 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.60″ to 0.90″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 30 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.60″ to 0.90″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather
Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?
Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account
You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.
Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)
🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.
Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.
Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.
Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)
GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF
I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.
Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson
Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live. I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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We do have some sponsors! Check them out.
Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here
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⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/
Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.
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Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!
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The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
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The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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