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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page. Link to those threads CLICK HERE
Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com
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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
January 30th through February 5th
Current risk: No concerns.
Current confidence level: High confidence.
Comments: Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? NO.
2. Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.
..3. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? NO.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will the temperature fall below 20 degrees? YES. Tonight through Sunday night.
6. Is the wind chill forecast to drop below ten degrees? YES. Yes, on and off into Sunday night.
7. Is accumulating snow (one inch or more of snow) or ice in the forecast? MONITORING. A few snow showers are possible today into Saturday. I am monitoring next Tuesday and Wednesday.
The mid-week system is still over a thousand miles away. It is out over the Pacific Ocean. A long way to go with that one. Monitor.
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Watch out for black ice each night and morning.
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Keep the kids off the ice-covered lakes and ponds. The ice may not be thick enough to support their weight.
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Check out our weather sponsor.
If you have roof damage from the snow and ice.
⛈️ Here is the short-range thunderstorm concern meter.
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⛈️ Here is the extended thunderstorm concern meter.
We will remain in the green. No thunderstorm threats.
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Here is your bus stop forecast
N/A
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This afternoon
N/A
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Forecast discussion
- Snow showers are possible today. A smaller chance tonight and tomorrow.
- Bitterly cold air arrives again today into Sunday. Some nights will be in the single digits. Wind chill values will be even colder.
- I am watching a system next Tuesday and Wednesday. Centered on Tuesday night/Wednesday. Monitor updates.
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What is the primary weather concern?
Watch out for black ice each night and morning through Monday.
Cold temperatures will be the primary concern today through Sunday. Bitterly cold, at times.
A few snow showers are possible tonight into Saturday.
Several weak disturbances will move across the region.
Accumulation, if any, will be light. A dusting or so.
What is the % chance of precipitation?
Today.
Tonight
Tomorrow
Tomorrow night
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I will keep an eye on next week. Some precipitation is possible.
Don’t forget to change your pets’ outdoor water bowls. They will freeze over.
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Seven-day outlook graphic.
See the video or graphics below for more details specific to your county. This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.
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Today through Monday night
The primary weather story will be the cold temperatures.
A cold weather advisory has been issued.
Wind chills. Brrrr. Use care with those space heaters and wood stoves.
Double-click on this image if you can’t read it.
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Some snow flurries and snow showers are possible today into Sunday. Mainly today.
Wind chills will be an issue this weekend. Remember, wind chill is what it feels like to the human body.
Wind chill can lead to frostbite. Bundle up. Bundle up the kids.
Let me show you the wind chill values
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Several people have fallen through the ice over the past few days. Please make sure the kids stay off the area lakes and ponds. Rivers, as well.
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Let’s take a look at the low temperatures for the upcoming week and weekend.
A WIDE variety of temperatures. If you have a deeper snow pack, then temperatures are a bit lower than shown. If you have a few clouds during the overnight period, then temperatures will be a tad warmer. Either way, it is cold.
Saturday’s low temperatures.
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Saturday’s high temperatures
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Sunday’s high temperatures
Monday’s high temperatures
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I am watching next week and the following week for a few cold fronts.
Model guidance is inconsistent with this system. Some data shows widespread rain and snow. Other data shows no precipitation.
It is still a bit too early to be confident about that event.
Monitor updates moving forward.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange and red indicate locally heavy rain.
Blue is snow.
NAM 3K model
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Red is locally heavy rain. Blue is snow.
GFS model
This is the system next Tuesday/Wednesday.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Blue is snow.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
EC model
This is the system next Tuesday/Wednesday.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 46 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 28 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.60″ to 0.90″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 29 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.60″ to 0.90″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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